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#比特币价格走势 I just saw the data on Polymarket, and the probability of Bitcoin reaching $100,000 again this year is only 25%😅. It's only mid-December, wasn't everyone still very optimistic before?
I have to admit, seeing these numbers is a bit confusing, and it feels like market sentiment is indeed cooling down. The forecasted 22% chance of dropping below $80,000—what does that mean? Is it indicating increased risk? And the 4% probability of reaching $110,000 is almost negligible...
For a newcomer like me, this really tests my mindset. I heard a lot of voices saying "aim for $100,000 by the end of the year," but now that the probability has dropped so noticeably, I can't help but feel a bit anxious. But I want to ask the veterans here, is this kind of change in probability normal market fluctuation? How should we interpret data from prediction platforms like Polymarket?
Also, is the risk of dropping below $80,000 a support level that beginners should pay special attention to? Please advise💭