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The probability of the Federal Reserve maintaining interest rates in January next year is as high as 84.5%. How should the market interpret this?

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【Blockchain Rhythm】 According to the latest data from CME Federal Reserve Watch, the probability that the Federal Reserve will keep interest rates unchanged in January next year has reached 84.5%, while the probability of a 25 basis point rate cut is only 15.5%. This indicates that the likelihood of the Fed remaining on hold in the short term is much higher than that of easing. The market generally expects a relatively tight liquidity environment, which will have certain impacts on cryptocurrency asset allocation strategies—tightening expectations usually suppress enthusiasm for high-risk assets, but may also create bottoming opportunities at certain stages. Investors need to closely monitor Federal Reserve officials' statements and economic data trends to prepare in advance for possible interest rate changes.
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