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Just look at how awkward the current cryptocurrency situation is.
To put it simply, after BTC and major coins got involved with stocks and gold, they've only suffered—no benefits at all. When stocks go up, they follow; when stocks fall, they bleed along. When gold drops, Bitcoin drops too—this is no safe haven, it's just a "coffin filler."
Remember how bullish Bitcoin used to be? Called it the ultimate safe haven asset, digital gold. And now? That narrative has long since collapsed. Those so-called correlation indicators have failed one after another. The most painful part is that even the link with gold has been completely reversed—from once being correlated, now there's no connection at all.
Where's the problem? It's in interest rates. No one is seriously discussing the interaction between interest rates and the crypto market—an indicator that hasn't fully failed yet. This is where the real game-changing rule lies.
My judgment is that an inverse trend will emerge, but when exactly? Probably around 2026 or 2027. Of course, we shouldn't rule out a more pessimistic scenario—if this reversal doesn't happen as expected, then be prepared for BTC to go to zero. The crypto market has never been short of black swan events.