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#BTC对标贵金属的竞争格局 The gold market's current trend can be summed up in one word — rise. Once a one-sided rising rhythm is established, trying to guess the top is futile. Rather than following the trend to short, it's better to focus on going long in the direction of the trend.
In this strong market structure, a price increase of 20 dollars is a very normal and smooth trend, while real deep corrections are quite rare. Once a trend is established, it has inertia, and prices will be continuously pushed higher. At this time, any counter-trend operation is just self-defeating. The most reliable approach is one—patiently wait for long opportunities and firmly hold onto long positions.
Today's market continues to be strong, opening with a steady rise. The original plan was to rely on the support at $42 to position, but the price broke through directly. As the pace progresses, by the afternoon, the key anchor point for going long needs to be moved up to the bottom of the hourly candlestick at 4471, which is the important support for the bulls to sustain, and also the core position that must be decisively intervened in the afternoon.
From an intraday perspective, the strong rise in the early session established the tone, and during the European session, the price entered a consolidation phase at a high level. This pattern of "early session frenzy, European session correction" is quite common in a one-sided rising market. The adjustment has not damaged the structure of the bulls; instead, it is accumulating energy for the evening. Therefore, it is highly likely that the price will continue to rise in the evening.
There are two trading strategies for the evening: First, go long directly above the low point during the European session, betting on a second surge in the evening; second, if you are very strict about the entry point, it might be better to just wait and see, waiting for a clear signal from the market in the early morning. The key is to keep an eye on the 4500 level. Once it stabilizes above 4500 in the early morning or maintains a high-level consolidation, the probability of continuing the strong trend tomorrow morning will be very high, and at that time, we still need to focus on the center of going long.
In the end, in such an extreme one-sided rise trend, there is no need to be entangled in the direction of operation—just go long, do not short. Following the trend is the only way to achieve the maximum profit in the market.