#十二月行情展望 From the current market perspective

1. Core factors supporting the rebound

- Short-term capital and sentiment recovery: As of December 6, RLS has risen 18.29% in 24 hours, with a trading volume of $310 million, showing signs of short-term net inflows, and the 1-week technical analysis gives a “strong buy” signal;
- Positive catalysts not fully priced in: Recently listed perpetual contracts on Binance and OKX, reached an RWA partnership with Brazil’s AmFi (targeting $1 billion in assets on-chain), and the mainnet launch expected in Q1 2026 is still driving anticipation;
- Continuous liquidity improvement: Spot trading is live on Coinbase, with plans for listing on exchanges like MEXC and KuCoin, which may bring in incremental funds.

2. Key risks restricting the rally

- Significant technical resistance: 1-day technical rating is “strong sell,” with 15 indicators leaning toward sell and only 1 supporting buy, facing resistance from previous highs in the short term;
- Sell-off risk unresolved: Initial circulation rate is only 15%, with no locked liquidity, the team retains minting rights, and early investors taking profits may trigger a pullback;
- Impact of broader market conditions: The overall crypto market trend is weak, and as a newly listed token, RLS is susceptible to volatility in BTC and ETH, making it difficult to sustain an independent rally.

3. Probable trend for this week

In the short term, it may fluctuate within the $0.025-$0.035 range. If it can hold above $0.03, it may test the $0.04-$0.05 resistance level; if it falls below the $0.02 support level, it could further retrace to the $0.018-$0.02 range.