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Is the Fed not cutting interest rates? How will the crypto market cope with this wave?



The expectation of interest rate cuts has been directly halved, and the funding situation is about to change.

The probability of a rate cut in December dropped from 63% directly to 50%. What does this mean? Powell's hawkish remarks are equivalent to pouring a bucket of cold water on the market. Borrowing costs have gone up, and liquidity has naturally tightened. At this critical juncture, if your long positions account for more than half, you really need to consider reducing your positions. Don't wait for the market to teach you a lesson through liquidation.

The collapse of tech stocks drags down the entire market.

The Nasdaq fell more than 2% in a single day, and the AI sector's market value evaporated by $1 trillion. What's worse is that the correlation between Bitcoin and the crypto market has remained above 0.8, making it impossible for either to stand alone.

Practical advice? Keep a close eye on the key support levels of Nvidia and the Nasdaq 100. Once these levels are effectively broken, encryption assets are likely to follow suit with a drop. At this point, running fast is more important than trying to catch the bottom.

Leverage liquidation data is quite illustrative.

In the recent round of market volatility, the amount of leveraged liquidations reached 610 million dollars, with 87% being long positions. When the price plummeted to 100,800 dollars, it triggered a large-scale chain liquidation.

Looking at the capital flow: ETFs saw an inflow of 1.5 million this week, sounds good? But last week there was a net outflow of 1.2 billion. This stark contrast in data indicates that market sentiment is still fluctuating violently.

Spot holders can stay steady, but if you're trading contracts, make sure to set a stop loss. Personally, I suggest placing the stop loss around 98000; it's always wise to leave yourself an exit route. The market won't make exceptions just because of your beliefs.
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PessimisticLayervip
· 19h ago
Powell is really ruthless, a single sentence directly shattered half of people's hopes for interest rate cuts. Those who still dare to have a Full Position long positions are truly warriors.
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SchroedingerMinervip
· 23h ago
Once the PI makes a move, long positions are directly educated; the 600 million liquidation fee is no joke.
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TokenDustCollectorvip
· 11-14 08:55
Here we go again, with interest rates cut, liquidity is gone, and this round of long positions is likely to take a hit. I just want to know if Powell had planned this all along.
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PrivateKeyParanoiavip
· 11-14 08:55
Once the PI takes action, the long positions will suffer. Not lowering interest rates is truly a disaster, and liquidity is now extremely tight. Speaking of that 610 million liquidation order, 87% are long positions? They deserve it, greed has no cure. The ETF saw a flow out of 1.2 billion last week, only to see 1.5 million flow in, this indecisive behavior... the market hasn't made up its mind yet. The line at 98000 must be defended; being quick to react is more important than anything else. If you don't set a stop loss, just wait to be taught a lesson.
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0xOverleveragedvip
· 11-14 08:35
As soon as the PI makes a move, I know it's going to cool off; with liquidity tightening, it's time to run. The long positions at 88888 meters are still dreaming, they should have reduced position long ago, brother.
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