Exploring Almanak: The Future Market Outlook of AI-Driven DeFi

Today, let's talk about the @almanak project. I just finished reading their white paper, which describes an innovative platform combining AI and DeFi, focused on enabling ordinary users to easily create and deploy automated financial strategies. Almanak's goal is to democratize financial intelligence, allowing retail investors to compete on equal footing with institutions. Below, I analyze from a market perspective why I believe Almanak has tremendous potential. The content is based on the core ideas of the white paper and represents my personal opinion~

1. The Explosive Growth of the DeFi Market and Its Perfect Integration with AI

The DeFi market size has exceeded hundreds of billions of dollars, but it remains highly fragmented (over 300 public chains and 4,000 protocols). Almanak abstracts this complexity through AI Swarm (18 specialized AI agents), enabling users to build strategies without delving into technical details. This represents a blue ocean at the intersection of AI and DeFi: according to the white paper, AI can process massive data sets and optimize strategies at speeds far beyond human capability. Market outlook: as AI adoption surges (projected to account for over 50% of finance by 2030), Almanak can capture a share of DeFi quantitative trading, with an initial target TVL of $25 million, with potential to scale to hundreds of millions or even billions.

2. Empowering Retail Investors and Bridging the Gap Between Institutions and Retail

Currently, in DeFi, institutions dominate due to resource advantages, while retail investors face information overload and technical barriers. Almanak’s non-custodial wallets and Trusted Execution Environment (TEE) ensure privacy and security, allowing users to safely deploy AI agents for hedging, arbitrage, and more. The white paper emphasizes that this will “level the playing field.” Market outlook: among hundreds of millions of global crypto users, retail participation is significant. If Almanak successfully attracts them—perhaps via mobile apps and retirement account products—it could become a “Robinhood” for DeFi, driving mass adoption. The potential user base could reach tens of millions, similar to early Uniswap growth.

3. Multi-Chain Compatibility and Global Expansion Potential

Almanak supports multi-chain integration and can connect to CeFi (centralized exchanges) and real-world assets (RWA). The roadmap’s Phase 3 focuses on global retail markets, including low-risk strategies and RWA integration, addressing DeFi’s siloed nature. Market outlook: in a regulatory-friendly environment (such as EU MiCA compliance), Almanak can enter Europe and emerging markets. Coupled with tokenomics (incentivizing contributors and liquidity providers), it can create positive feedback loops attracting capital inflows. Imagine AI agents monitoring markets 24/7 and generating profits—this is especially attractive for users in emerging economies, with market sizes potentially rivaling Aave or Compound.

4. Risks and Challenges, but Greater Opportunities

Of course, the white paper also mentions challenges such as ethical supervision of AI and market volatility. However, Almanak’s human-in-the-loop approach and governance mechanisms can mitigate these risks. Market outlook: DeFi is shifting from speculation to utility, and Almanak’s AI optimization can improve efficiency and reduce market inefficiencies. In the long run, it could lead the “Smart DeFi” wave, similar to how ChatGPT revolutionized AI. If the roadmap progresses smoothly (from beta to Token Generation Event), token value and ecosystem growth could rise significantly.

In summary, Almanak is not just a simple DeFi tool but a financial revolution empowered by AI. It has the potential to reshape the multi-trillion-dollar crypto market and benefit more people.