Recently studied the history of US government shutdowns and found an interesting phenomenon: since 1976, the US government has shut down 21 times, with an average duration of 6 days. I carefully reviewed several more serious shutdowns and noticed a clear pattern—during shutdowns, the market often remains flat or even declines, but once the shutdown ends, the market seems to hit an ignition switch, generally experiencing a rally.



In simple terms: although markets tend to be volatile during government shutdowns, the historical trend is quite consistent—almost every time a shutdown concludes, the market experiences a significant upward move. Whether it was the 1995-1996, 2013, or the 2018-2019 shutdowns, this pattern has repeatedly proven to be true, almost like a "hidden rule" of the market.

Therefore, if the US government shutdown ends next, it is likely to trigger a market rally. It might be wise to prepare in advance and wait for the right moment.
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