#加密领域市场回调 Many people see the recent market and shout '2022 is repeating itself', but I want to say - the script has long been different.

Last year I encountered a real case: my friend's father was worried about his bank savings after retirement, as the annual interest rate of 2% couldn't keep up with the rising prices of groceries. At that time, I was studying the dollar-cost averaging model for mainstream cryptocurrencies, so I gave him a plan to try—investing a fixed amount of 500 USDT every month and sticking to it for three years without wavering.

Now the principal of 12,000 U in the account has grown to 47,000 U. The old man walks straight in the vegetable market and even secretly saves money for his grandson's interest classes. This made me realize: the crypto world is not a casino; finding the right rhythm is like raising a goose that lays golden eggs.

**How to raise? Three dead rules.**

**Rule One: Set time and amount, don't fall in love with the price**
Invest 500U on the 1st and 15th of each month, regardless of whether the coin price is 200 or 600. Backtesting data from the past four years shows that this periodic investment can achieve an annualized return of around 18%, with the maximum drawdown controlled within 35%—which is longer than 90% of those who rely on their instincts to trade. The principle is simple: use time to exchange for space, which is a thousand times more reliable than guessing price fluctuations.

**Rule Two: The harder it falls, the more you buy**
Set three trigger lines: buy 1 lot when the price drops below 400U, double the purchase to 2 lots when it falls to 300U, and directly buy 3 lots when it crashes to 200U. In a bear market, the chips are like discounted goods; my mom even says it's better than a 50% off sale at the supermarket. The key is not to be afraid; the colder it gets, the more you should dare to reach out.

**Rule Three: Adjust positions based on moving averages, don't rush blindly**
Focus on the EMA100 and EMA200 on the daily chart: When the price approaches EMA100, double your position; when it touches EMA200, clear out your position for the next six months. Looking back at the historical data, it has only touched EMA200 7 times from 2018 to now, but the average increase in the following six months has exceeded 80% each time. Moving averages don’t lie; it’s your own hesitation that misleads you.

**Finally, let me say a few heartfelt words:**

Don't check the market every day. The more you look, the more tempted you will be to make impulsive trades. Never borrow money for dollar-cost averaging; leverage can kick you off the table directly. And definitely don't stop supplying during a bear market—often, the darkest times are just one step away from a bull market. If you stop, all your previous efforts will go to waste.

I call this set of things the "Goose Raising Manual". If you also want to rely on patience to earn compound interest, feel free to chat with me. When the next cycle comes, let's fatten this goose together.

Most people are not lacking in effort, but in finding the right direction. Market trends come and go every year, but opportunities do not wait for anyone—staying in sync with the rhythm is more important than anything else.