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CoinShares refuted the thesis of a lack of BTC liquidity.
The popular thesis in the community about the liquidity crisis of the first cryptocurrency does not correspond to reality, said Christopher Bendiksen, head of bitcoin research at CoinShares.
The expert analyzed two key arguments: the reduction of digital gold reserves on exchanges and the increase of coins in illiquid UTXO. He pointed out an error in interpretation — when assessing liquidity, it is important to consider not the number of coins, but their value in dollars.
The expert also made a chart of the total value of coins on exchanges, which indicates that there are no liquidity issues:
According to his calculations, a sharp rally in prices requires investors to buy more than a million coins each year at current prices. Only such a scale of demand can create a shortage and provoke a frenzied rise.
“There will always be enough coins”
Bendiksen believes that “any amount of the first cryptocurrency will be enough to satisfy any dollar demand.” He referred to the possibility of digital gold being infinitely divisible, for example, into satoshis.
In his opinion, the ideas about a reduction in liquidity to levels described by some experts “look disconnected from reality.” The only scenario for the “God candle” is a collapse in demand for the US dollar as a base currency. Although such an outcome is possible in the historical perspective, it is unlikely in the foreseeable future, the analyst emphasized.
Let us remind you that the trader under the pseudonym CrypNuevo allowed for the formation of a bottom for digital gold at the level of (000.