#CPI数据来袭 Recently, through market observation, I found that the current dollar trend, global liquidity situation, and Bitcoin market performance show an astonishing similarity to the bull run period of 2017. As someone who experienced that history firsthand, I believe this market pattern is particularly crucial for new get on board investors.

Looking back at 2017, the market generally had a bearish outlook on the dollar, and the accumulation of short positions led to a strong rally, which was only followed by a genuine downturn; the current market situation is extremely similar, with dollar shorts being highly concentrated, likely to begin a downward trend after a brief spike. It is noteworthy that the dollar's performance is closely related to the cryptocurrency market: after the dollar fell in 2017, the global financial environment became more accommodative, with the money supply (M2) showing a "gradual then rapid 'accelerated expansion'" pattern, which directly ignited the bull run in the crypto market; the current changes in liquidity have an astonishingly similar rhythm, initially slowing down and then stagnating, building energy for acceleration, and this liquidity is the "core driving force" behind the market's rise.
The similarity in the price trend of Bitcoin is even more surprising: from September to December 2017, the "winter surge" began, followed by an adjustment as the M2 growth rate slowed; after September 2023, it also showed similar characteristics of a "winter market." Although the increase is not as significant as that year, the structural pattern is almost identical. Personally, in 2017, I increased my Bitcoin positions by closely monitoring the changes in liquidity, which allowed me to make my first pot of gold when the dollar peaked and fell, and M2 accelerated.
Currently, many investors are caught in a dilemma, unsure whether to wait for a peak to buy low or to continue holding in anticipation of a bull run. In the 2017 market, some exited too early and missed good opportunities, while others became trapped at high positions due to greed. For beginners, there is no need to overthink; the key is to remember the lessons learned: closely track changes in liquidity! When the dollar peaks and declines, and M2 expands rapidly, one can adopt the "235 staggered entry" strategy to position in Bitcoin; while when interest rates rise and liquidity tightens, one should reduce positions to avoid forcefully going against the market.
The future market is likely to see a "liquidity-driven rebound," similar to the situation in 2017. Instead of speculating on market peaks and troughs, it would be more reliable to focus on the trend of the dollar and liquidity indicators. As long as novice investors grasp this market rhythm, they will have the opportunity to seize the investment opportunities brought by historical repetition. #你最看好哪个GateFunMeme？