WHY YOU SHOULD NOT BUY $BTC A $115,000 🚀

1. Valuation and performance expectations

Bitcoin at $115,000. An impressive figure. Is it really worth getting in now? 🔍

Future gains seem limited compared to previous cycles. Buying at $1,000 is not the same as buying at $115,000. Simple math.

The first investors saw astronomical returns between 2011-2020. Those days are behind us. It is no longer possible to multiply by 100.

The market punishes exuberance. Prices rise, then fall. It's the natural cycle. Buying at highs is risky. Very risky 📉.

2. Bubble and Mania Signals

Look around you. Parabolic movements. Unrestrained FOMO. Your taxi driver is talking about Bitcoin. Bad.

Prices are skyrocketing. People are mortgaging homes to buy. Outlandish headlines everywhere. It feels like 2017 again 🌋.

Retail leverage is at dangerous levels. Massive liquidations loom.

Before: "Bitcoin is long-term value" Now: "Buy now or you will be poor forever!"

It's not a good sign. Not at all 🚩.

3. Technical Risks and Market Structure

Technical indicators scream overbought. RSI in red zones. MACD shows exhaustion.

Liquidity evaporates at the peaks. Nobody is selling, everyone is buying. Until they are not.

Such a market is fragile. A whale sells and everything collapses. At these prices, who wouldn't want to take profits? 🐋

4. Macroeconomic and Regulatory Risks

Central banks are unpredictable. They raise rates, BTC suffers. It always happens 🏦.

Wars, pandemics, crises... do they favor Bitcoin? It's not entirely clear.

And the regulators... $10,000 was the same to them. At $115,000 they are already drafting laws. Too much attention. Bad sign 📝.

5. Leverage and Derivatives Risk

Overloaded futures and options. A ticking time bomb.

Funding rates through the roof. People are paying fortunes to maintain long positions. Unsustainable 💥.

6. Psychological and Behavioral Factors

"It has gone up, it will keep going up." Typical thinking of the last to arrive. Dangerous.

Buying at highs hurts more if it falls. The fear intensifies. You sell in panic. You lose.

Your brother-in-law bought. Your neighbor did too. Even your grandmother is asking about Bitcoin. Herd behavior. It won't end well 🐑.

7. More Prudent Alternatives

Other options exist:

• DCA. Buy little by little. Not all at once 📆
• Protect yourself with options if you already have a lot
• Diversify. Bitcoin is not everything.
• Keep cash. Wait. Patience is a virtue 🔍

8. Current Warning Signs

Look at this:

• TikTok flooded with "experts" in Bitcoin 📱
• Everyone betting on the rise
• ETFs absorbing billions daily
• CNBC talking about Bitcoin 24/7 📰

Final Reflection

$115,000 is not an entry, it is an exit. If you still enter, do it with your eyes open.

This market seems overheated. I might be wrong. This is not financial advice.

If you really believe in Bitcoin, wait. You will have better opportunities. Patience wins in the long run 🌕. You don't need to buy right now. The market always offers second chances.