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Details: ht
The Crypto Assets market is experiencing an intense range-bound battle, with one side being the Fed's monetary policy expectations and the other side being the profit-taking of institutional investors. Currently, the Bitcoin price is hovering around the $110,000 mark, struggling to break through.
The market is showing a standoff between bulls and bears, resulting in a stabilization of price fluctuations. The recent performance of Bitcoin has been quite torturous, with prices oscillating slightly around $110,000, and a 24-hour fluctuation of less than 1%, while trading volume has significantly shrunk. From a technical perspective, the daily chart presents bearish signals, but other indicators such as the Bollinger Bands and the Relative Strength Index (RSI) are in a neutral range, seemingly suggesting that market participants are adopting a wait-and-see attitude.
This range-bound pattern is not coincidental, but rather the market is waiting for the Fed's critical 'ruling' on the interest rate decision on September 18. Currently, both bulls and bears are gathering strength, and whoever loses patience first may suffer a heavy blow.
Regarding the upcoming Fed decision, the market generally expects a 25 basis point rate cut. However, the reasons for the rate cut have sparked controversy. Some officials believe there are risks in the labor market and advocate for an aggressive rate cut; others are concerned that inflation is not yet fully under control and believe that a rate cut could exacerbate inflationary pressures.
It is worth noting that while interest rate cuts are usually seen as positive news, if the cuts are due to concerns about the economic outlook, they may instead raise investors' worries. It's like a patient receiving a blood transfusion while saying they are about to give up; it's hard for onlookers to remain optimistic about their prospects.
At the same time, the movements of institutional funds are also worth paying attention to. Although some Bitcoin ETFs have seen capital outflows, there are also signs that some large holders may be buying on dips. This complex flow of funds further increases the uncertainty in the market.
Overall, the current Crypto Assets market is at a critical crossroads. Investors need to pay close attention to the Fed's policy signals and the flow of institutional funds in order to seize investment opportunities in this range-bound situation.