🇺🇸 Would it trigger a bull run if the US includes BTC in its strategic reserves?

The possibility is very high.
Once the United States officially incorporates Bitcoin into its national asset reserves, it will not only be a symbolic recognition but also an "official certification" of the value storage property of BTC by the world's largest economy. Looking back in history, after MicroStrategy first included Bitcoin in its balance sheet in 2020, many listed companies and institutions followed suit, driving Bitcoin from the $10,000 level all the way up to $69,000.
If the U.S. enters at the national level, its signaling significance far exceeds that of corporate behavior, potentially triggering global institutional FOMO (Fear of Missing Out), with liquidity inflows likely to far exceed the previous cycle. Especially when combined with the scarcity logic of the Bitcoin halving cycle, this could very well become the "nuclear-level catalyst" for the next bull run.

📈 BTC price prediction: How high can it go in the short term and long term?

· Short-term (1-2 years): If the proposal is approved, with market sentiment and capital inflows combined, Bitcoin is likely to break through the previous high of $69,000 and quickly challenge the $100,000—$120,000 range.
· Long-term (5-10 years): If multiple countries follow suit in their reserves (such as the EU, Japan, etc.), Bitcoin's positioning as "digital gold" will be thoroughly solidified. Referring to the market value of gold (about $12 trillion) and Bitcoin's current market value (about $1 trillion), there is still over 10 times potential growth space, and $200,000—$500,000 is not a far-fetched idea.
However, it is important to note that high volatility remains a short-term risk, especially as the repeated occurrences during the implementation of policies may trigger sharp corrections.

⏳ When will the proposal be implemented? Will other countries follow suit?

· Timeline: U.S. policy decisions are typically slow, especially regarding issues involving changes to the financial system. Optimistically, there may be initial pilot programs in 2024-2025, but full implementation may take longer (after 2026).
· International impact: Once the United States sets a precedent, many countries will surely follow.
· Allied countries (such as the UK, Canada, and Australia) may respond quickly;
· Emerging markets (such as Brazil and the UAE) may also accelerate their布局 to counteract local currency inflation and the dominance of the US dollar;
· Countries like China, which currently hold a cautious attitude, may reassess their reserve strategies.

🧠 My perspective: Double-edged sword and historical opportunity

While the vision of the US holding BTC is exciting, it is also necessary to view it calmly:

· Positive factors: Institutional entry accelerates, price discovery becomes more sufficient, and the regulatory framework gradually clarifies;
· Risk: National-level manipulation may increase (such as stockpiling to suppress prices), and political games intensify market volatility.

But for ordinary investors, this is undoubtedly a historic opportunity. Early allocation, dollar-cost averaging, and maintaining a long-term perspective remain the best strategies to cope with uncertainty.

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