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Analysis of the BTC/ETH market on September 16, 2025, at 10:57 AM
A rate cut is imminent, to be officially announced at 2:00 AM on the 18th, and market performance is becoming more difficult. Currently, the probability of a 25 basis point rate cut is expected to reach 96%, while a 50 basis point cut has risen to about 35%. Trump is still sending signals that Powell should cut rates more than expected. Currently, major and minor non-farm data such as CPI/PPI/PCE support a rate cut. If Powell cuts rates, it will be an independent decision; if Powell continues not to cut rates, it will be a deliberate challenge to Trump, as current data supports it. If Powell does not cut rates, it will return to the issue of Trump's and Powell's decision!
BTC Anxiety
Support 113575/111950
Pressure 119161
At this moment, BTC shows relative strength, having touched a price of 115500 again in the early hours of the morning, and the trend still reflects the performance of the leader! The first support today, if there is an opportunity tomorrow, a 1% gap should be easy to enter, especially since the upcoming night is a critical moment, as the interest rate will be announced on Wednesday evening and until Thursday morning, and the pressure and decline in the market today should leave room for the interest rate tomorrow!
ETH interest
Support 4415/4290/4105
No pressure
The reason for not pressing is that once the explosion happens, it can easily exceed 4730; do not look at the current weakness, but do not forget that Friday saw a sudden rise of more than $200; support today and tomorrow if the opportunity arises, one can enter lightly and boldly in batches, just like with Bitcoin, the bet here is to pressure the buying before the interest rate cut, and the rapid rise in the market before and after the interest rate cut, although the risks are high, the returns are also high, I can only say that if the opportunity arises, it is better to lose than to miss the chance!
Practically: Bitcoin and Ethereum are not retreating, look in the spot market for those that have stabilized at Kma60/ma120 daily or those that are currently breaking through and retesting support, especially new coins or hot recent coins in the last year. If you're unsure, you can leave a message and I will help you!
#BTC #ETH #GT