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US capital sentiment curve update: Slight capital inflow from the US 🌡
Following the update on the sentiment of US funds from last week (quoted below),
At that time, it was mentioned that "the US funding sentiment is at a relatively low level, but is still suppressed by divergence."
Indeed, the sentiment of US capital has begun to rebound to a certain extent from its low point.
Interestingly, starting from 8/29 (Friday), it coincides with a three-day holiday.
And the US curve happened to rebound during these three days 👀
Combining my analysis of STH-RP from the day before yesterday (
After the price has been stuck at STH-RP for three days, it indeed seems to have stabilized and is showing signs of a rebound.
In yesterday's post (
I also mentioned that BTC's small level has formed a bullish Stop Hunt structure.
As a result, after the US stock market opened last night, BTC experienced a period of increase.
However, even with the above signs, I personally still have no plans to go long in the short term.
The reason was elaborated in my post yesterday, interested friends may refer to it.
Returning to the US funding sentiment curve itself, I do not know how high it can rebound.
After all, the recent rebound in emotions is not as significant as our previous "divergence application" (see details at the end of the article).
There is not much foresight, so I also plan to continue holding long-term short positions.
If a significant rebound really occurs, it is not my hitting zone, so I am not afraid of missing out.
Finally, what I am personally more concerned about is this Friday's unemployment rate and NFP.
After all, the market is still very sensitive to the pricing of interest rate cut expectations.
The data this Friday is indeed one of the factors that is most likely to shake up interest rate cut expectations in the short term‼️
If there are any other special signals, I will report to everyone as soon as possible🫡
//
📚 Related Reading Resources
Introduction to the Principles of the US Fund Sentiment Curve & Analysis Methods for Divergence Signals
Key Week: Massive Realized Profit Reappears, STH-RP's Battle for Defense Begins