UBS lifts the bar on MSFT’s capex outlook while keeping Azure growth guidance; price target cut to 480 with a Buy stance, signaling a high spending, low growth setup ahead of earnings. $MSFT

7.28 Su Wan morning market analysis and trading ideas
There is already a certain amount of pressure above. And the strength of the rebound is also gradually weakening; it may face a second dip, while there is a need for some short-term correction. Keep the same approach—no need to blindly chase shorts. If it rebounds to resistance, continue to look for a pullback.
BTC: Short around 64,500-65,000, target around 63,800-63,300
ETH: Short around 1,940-1,970, target around 1,880-1,850 $BTC $SOL #ETH重返1900美元

a closed-model lab just wrote the memo on open weights. anthropic, the company that has never released claude's weights, published its official position on the exact category it does not build. that framing alone is why it pulled 300 points and 357 comments on hacker news before the two hour mark. the fight is not about a product. it is about who gets to run frontier ai locally.

【$SOL Signal】Bear trap attack: 1H breaks below the Bollinger lower band + MACD dead cross widens
$SOL 1H: A break below the Bollinger lower band at 75.11; the MACD histogram keeps sliding down to -0.14, with sell-side power dominating. The 4H middle band at 75.03 forms the final line of defense; once it breaks, downside could accelerate. In the order book, buy-lot standing orders gradually decrease, showing a clear intent by the bears to push prices lower. No clear evidence of inbound support is showing below; near-term selling pressure is expected to continue.
🎯 Direction: short
⚡ Entry/lim

Let’s do a low-calorie breakfast run!
People need to live with a routine!

Stop treating missed opportunities as the end of the road or you will unwilling restart the loop you despise so much.

Congratulations on all of the above being “up in the air”
🩸(Congratulations, bosses—making money again!)
Crude oil: 93 “up in the air” Gold 4116 “up in the air” SanDisk 1209’s 🈳
Hynix 1245’s “up in the air” Asman 1800’s “up in the air” mu 950’s “up in the air”
BTC 65700 ETH 1950/1980

#DirectIPOSeason2JerseyMikes
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$SNXX Within 24 hours, it fell 33% to 10.31. This wave of panic directly broke the bottom of the “fear and greed index” over the past three months—what does the funding rate at -0.05% say about how crazy the shorts have gotten? Last year, the average rebound after similar data came out was 40%.
The current market sentiment is in an extreme value range. Historically, this type of oversold signal has only appeared twice: once at the end of September last year, and once after the policy crackdown in February. Both times triggered turning points. Now look—trading volume of 280 million is 3 times t

【$ON Signal】Long positions set in advance; 1H pulls back to the support zone
$ON Buy order depth ratio: 13.76%, bid/ask ratio: 1.32. The incoming “catching” funds below continue to provide support. The price has fallen from the 0.1988 high; 1H MACD dead cross has widened, but RSI 61 has not yet entered overbought. The 4H Bollinger middle band at 0.1454 forms a far-distance support. Chips regrouped around 0.18; after a pullback on reduced volume, signs of the buy-side restarting have appeared.
🎯 Direction: Go long
⚡ Entry/Orders: 0.1800383 - 0.1805800
🛑 Stop-loss: 0.1787742
🚀 Target 1: 0.1

I got a drawing-door type quest early on, and the difficulty immediately jumped from the Diamond tier to the 王者 tier.

$FEFER is going to go crazy soon

#CXMTDebutsWith90.1BTradingVolume
CXMT Is Writing a New Chapter in Market History – The Entire Crypto Community Is Watching
The crypto market is constantly searching for the next standout opportunity, and ChangXin Memory (CXMT) has quickly become one of the brightest stars attracting global attention. From the very first trading session, CXMT delivered an unforgettable performance, surging by more than 500% and instantly becoming one of the hottest assets discussed across the industry.
Such an explosive debut is rare, and it immediately placed CXMT among the most closely watched names in the

Once the Friday interest-rate decision comes out, it’s either a breakout above $2,100 or a drop below $1,700. These days, market sentiment is basically betting—so you can watch and wait for today and tomorrow.
My personal recommendation: around $1,850 for re-entry, and around $2,120 to get out.

$PI Ouch, whose long positions got liquidated again?

【$AKE Signal】Long-term trend continues; 1H pullback to add
$AKE On the 1H timeframe, MACD forms a bearish crossover, RSI falls to 59.8. After the Bollinger Bands tighten, they open upward again, and the 4H uptrend channel is intact. Around 0.00435, buy-side order density is higher than the sell-side, with a Bid/Ask depth ratio of 3.08—clear signs of funds propping up the price. After a daily gain of 40%, a short-term shakeout occurs; the 4H bullish candle body still remains above EMA20, and the bulls have not been broken.
🎯Direction: long
⚡Entry/Orders: 0.004345524 - 0.004358600
🛑Stop-loss:

A regular trader
This is my crypto trading diary, where I record my investment thinking, market observations, and growth along the way.
All trade updates are from my own real positions. I don’t predict the market, and I don’t make decisions for others.
Keep learning, respect the cycles, and trade well on your own.
May I stay independent in my thinking and make steady progress in an ever-changing market.