DXY & Forex

According to CME FedWatch, as of July 6, the Federal Reserve has a 77% probability of keeping rates unchanged in July and a 23% probability of raising rates by 25 basis points. Looking ahead to September, the Fed faces a 41.9% probability of maintaining rates, a 47.6% probability of cumulative 25 b

South Korea's Financial Supervisory Service (FSS) announced 6 key caution points for bond investors on the 6th day, responding to ongoing dispute complaints from investors who suffered losses after purchasing bonds marketed as low-risk products. The regulator highlighted that even government bonds c

According to South Korean securities analysts, foreign investors have sold approximately 150 trillion won (roughly $120 billion) of Korean stocks year-to-date, marking a record-scale 'Sell Korea' trend. However, analysts attribute this to passive fund rebalancing rather than a fundamental retreat

South Korea's government bond issuance relies heavily on ultra-long maturities, with bonds of 20 years or longer accounting for 34% of total issuance, according to data from Standard & Poor's requested by E-Daily. This proportion is nearly four times higher than the United States' 9%, while Korea's

According to e-Daily reporting on July 5, South Korea's government bonds with maturities exceeding 20 years account for 34% of issuance, more than 3.5 times the U.S. level of 9%, according to S&P data. The country's bonds maturing within three months to one year represent only 7% of issuance,

Samsung Electronics will release its Q2 2026 preliminary earnings on July 7, with analysts forecasting revenue exceeding 170 trillion won and operating profit reaching 87-90 trillion won, following the company's record-breaking Q1 performance driven by the global memory semiconductor supercycle.

According to a Reuters survey, 22 of 28 economists polled expect the Reserve Bank of New Zealand to raise interest rates by 25 basis points on July 8, bringing the official cash rate to 2.50%.

According to Citi Research on July 2, U.S. economic data shows rate hike justifications have evaporated. June nonfarm payrolls added only 57,000 jobs, far below expectations, while prior months were revised down by 74,000. The three-month average fell to approximately 111,000 positions monthly

Brazil's Central Bank classified virtual asset service providers (VASPs) as Type 3 entities on Wednesday through Resolution No. 580/2026, imposing the same capital and risk management requirements as traditional securities brokerages. OKX announced a 20 USDT airdrop for verified La Guaira

According to German Finance Ministry officials, Germany plans to increase its net new borrowing for 2027 to €118 billion (approximately $135 billion), up about 7% from April's forecast. The increase reflects lower-than-expected tax revenue, rising interest costs due to higher rates, and additional f

According to Hong Kong Financial Secretary Paul Chan on July 5, over 70% of global offshore RMB settlements and payments are completed through Hong Kong. Local bank interbank RMB settlement volume has exceeded 41 trillion yuan, averaging approximately 2 trillion yuan daily. Hong Kong Monetary

According to market reports, Germany plans to increase net new borrowing for 2027 to 118 billion euros, representing a roughly 7% increase from its April forecast.

The Korean won has depreciated sharply against the dollar despite South Korea's semiconductor export boom and record current account surplus, becoming the second-weakest currency among G20 nations after the Turkish lira, according to analysis by Lim Hye-yoon, researcher at Hanwha Investment &

The New York bond market this week (July 6-10) will focus on the June Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) minutes scheduled for release on July 8. Market participants are seeking clues about the timing of potential rate hikes, with consensus expectations still pointing to one rate increase within t

According to Yonhapinfomax, U.S. 10-year Treasury yields rose 11.5 basis points to 4.487% last week (July 2), marking the first increase in four weeks. The 2-year yield climbed 4.7 basis points to 4.141%, while the 30-year yield jumped 12.3 basis points to 4.989%. The 10-year to 2-year spread

According to Yonhap Infomax, the U.S. dollar index fell 0.49% this week to 100.872, marking its lowest level in three weeks as weak June nonfarm payroll data (57,000 jobs added) dampened expectations for a near-term Fed rate hike. The dollar weakened against major currencies, with USD/JPY

According to Newsis, South Korea's won-dollar exchange rate averaged 1484.6 won per dollar in the first half of 2026, marking the highest level since Q1 1998 during the Asian financial crisis. The rate has remained persistently elevated despite intervention efforts by currency authorities, as

Seoul's foreign exchange market is transitioning to a 24-hour trading system from the 6th. The expansion of trading hours has sparked dual expectations: potential for increased foreign capital inflow and exchange rate stability, alongside concerns that thin liquidity could amplify won volatility in

The Seoul bond market is forecast to fluctuate during the week of July 6-10, with investors closely monitoring domestic stock market movements and the dollar-won exchange rate. The forecast reflects recent patterns where bonds have shown strength when KOSPI volatility intensifies and stocks

According to Yonhap Infomax, the USD-KRW exchange rate touched 1,559.20 on June 3, marking its highest level since March 2009, as South Korea's foreign exchange market launched 24-hour continuous trading this week. The surge follows sustained foreign investor selling pressure, with offshore funds