Global TradFi & Macroeconomics

Focus on price action and volatility across stocks, bonds, forex, commodities, and major indices. Analyze macro indicators like interest rates, inflation, employment, and policy expectations to decode global liquidity shifts, risk sentiment, and cross-market correlations.
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Fed Holds Through October With 83.9% Probability, CME Survey Shows

According to CME's "Fed Watch" tool, as of October 19, the Federal Reserve has an 83.9% probability of maintaining rates through October, with a 16.1% chance of a 25-basis-point rate hike. For December, the probability of holding rates drops to 8.2%, while a 25-basis-point hike carries a 77.3% proba
CME-4.73%
GateNews·10-18 21:58
Fed Holds Through October With 83.9% Probability, CME Survey Shows

Brent Crude Near $110 as Iran Issues Conflicting Hormuz Statements

Iran's military and foreign minister issued conflicting statements on the Strait of Hormuz as Brent crude traded near $110 per barrel ahead of Sunday's futures reopening. Iranian army spokesperson Mohammad Akraminia said on Friday that Hormuz would reopen if American forces withdrew from the
GAS-0.57%
GateMacroTradfiHub·10-18 21:03
Brent Crude Near $110 as Iran Issues Conflicting Hormuz Statements