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Deutsche Bank: The dollar may have room to rise because the rate cut is priced too far

2024-01-04 03:36:30

Tim Baker, an Asia-Pacific G-10 FX and Intrerest Rate strategist at Deutsche Bank in Sydney, said the dollar's recent rebound has some room for expansion, as the market may have gone too far in pricing in a rapid and large rate cut by the Federal Reserve. He said that the dollar was sold off at the end of 2023 after reaching very high levels, but the decline may have been overdone. He believes that the eurozone, as well as the United Kingdom, where inflation has fallen more than the United States, does not rule out cutting Intrerest rates as much, as quickly and even more than the Fed. The current US growth outlook also looks much better, which means that the Fed will not face the same pressure to cut interest rates as the Central Bank and the Central Bank of England. According to Baker, there are many reasons to think that the structural level of the dollar should be higher than in the past. The old belief that the EUR/USD Exchange Rate is 1.10 or 1.20 may need to be changed.

Disclaimer: The information on this page may come from third-party sources and is for reference only. It does not represent the views or opinions of Gate and does not constitute any financial, investment, or legal advice. Virtual asset trading involves high risk. Please do not rely solely on the information on this page when making decisions. For details, see the Disclaimer.

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