Latest data shows BTC IV at 46% and ETH IV at 70%, both have declined compared to last week, remaining at high levels with oscillations, reflecting a weakening market expectation of volatility. However, most investors remain optimistic.
From the skew structure perspective, this week BTC 25-Delta Skew across all maturities shows a converging trend, centered around -5 vol. ETH's skew structure, on the other hand, has diverged, indicating increased short-term hedging demand. Meanwhile, ETH's forward Skew remains stable, suggesting limited market concern over medium- to long-term downside risks; in contrast, BTC's forward structure remains relatively steep, consistent with short-term patterns, reflecting a growing demand for long-term downside protection.
This week, in the BTC and ETH options markets, block trades are mainly bullish spreads. The largest block trades are as follows:
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