Crypto KOL Community & Market Trends

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The breakout at this stage open the doors of sharper move.
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What is the concept of big following small? Here comes a typical case!
Since the rebound from 81K, both BTC and ETH have formed a standard ascending channel on the hourly chart. How to play this channel?
From a small perspective: this is the upward channel on the right side, where you can buy low and sell high around the upper and lower edges. Whenever the channel structure is broken, it's time to change your mindset.
From the 4-hour and higher time frames, this ascending channel can be seen as a flag structure of a medium-term downtrend. Medium-term trend trading involves looking for short positions around the upper region. We exit and change our strategy when a strong breakout channel forms at the 4-hour level.
The above is the application of trading in structural forms.
In addition to observing the structure, one must also consider the order book data. Over the past few days, during the upward movement of the bottom channel, the trading volume has weakened, the CVD has not risen in sync, and the OI open interest has increased moderately, indicating a process of long-short gaming.
According to the principle of "following the big trend and countering the small trend," following the medium-term downward trend and countering the small-level upward channel trend, placing short positions at the upper edge of the channel when the price is high is the application of "following the big trend and countering the small trend."
This is also the idea in the trading plan for the past few days. Continue to short in the range of 88.8K-89.6K during the day, and add to positions at the upper limit of the extreme channel at 90.6K. Only a drop below 85.3K would indicate breaking the channel and looking for new secondary bottom structure support. The short area for Ethereum and Bitcoin is in the range of 2980-3040.
If it strongly breaks through 91K on the 4-hour chart and holds steady, it will be necessary to consider adjusting the bearish outlook and switch back to a mainly bullish stance.
$BTC $ETH

Today's Web3 information gap: Sponsored by #Gate exchange | @Gate_zh

1. Tom Lee: Ethereum $ETH may drop to $2,500 in the short term, and reach $7,000–$9,000 by January next year.

2. The explosive $Amigatido reached a maximum of 500k, 15x, BNB etf $VBNB reached a maximum of 300k, 11x

3. doge launch pad $ANIMALS , supports MrBeast animal protection, up to 3m, 52x

4. Interest rates must be lowered! The new chairman of the Federal Reserve, Hassett, is almost certain to specifically implement Trump's crazy interest rate cut policy.

5. Is Brother Maji finally going to win? The 100x long position of $BTC went from a floating profit of 600,000 to now starting to retrace into a floating loss, it has been targeted.

Today's Web3 information gap: Sponsored by #Gate exchange | @Gate_zh

1. Tom Lee: Ethereum $ETH may drop to $2,500 in the short term, and reach $7,000–$9,000 by January next year.

2. The explosive $Amigatido reached a maximum of 500k, 15x, BNB etf $VBNB reached a maximum of 300k, 11x

3. doge launch pad $ANIMALS , supports MrBeast animal protection, up to 3m, 52x

4. Interest rates must be lowered! The new chairman of the Federal Reserve, Hassett, is almost certain to specifically implement Trump's crazy interest rate cut policy.

5. Is Brother Maji finally going to win? The 100x long position of $BTC went from a floating profit of 600,000 to now starting to retrace into a floating loss, it has been targeted.

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JUST IN:

🇺🇸 BlackRock & Fidelity buy $253.7M in Bitcoin big moves from the giants.

BlackRock and Fidelity purchased 253.7M dollars worth of #BTC

Major confirmation of continued institutional appetite

Signals strong confidence during market uncertainty

#Bitcoin #Crypto

Glassnode shows investor buying is at its lowest, and fear is at peak levels similar to past major stress events like the Covid crash and FTX collapse. Many are selling at losses as Bitcoin drops.

These surrender phases usually mark capitulation, when weak hands exit and strong buyers step in. Historically, this has often happened right before major market bottoms and big rebounds.#NonfarmPayrollsBeatExpectations

Back in 2017, there were quite a few people around me who rushed in with fantasies of "becoming rich overnight," but most never came back after the downturn in 94. At that time, I also suffered significant losses, but later on, I realized that those painful experiences were actually the best risk education.

"Every year is hard, but every year we get through it," sounds like self-comfort, but from another perspective, just surviving is already a significant victory. I have reviewed my trading records over the past few years, and my win rate is only 52%, but the key is controlling individual losses to let compound interest work.

The crypto world is like a magnified version of life, with ups and downs that are more intense than outside. But because of this, it can teach you more quickly what it means to "a leader should not only consider victory, but also think of defeat first."

Those moments when you lick your wounds in the dead of night are actually when you accumulate truly valuable experience. The market will not stop because of your pain, but it will give you opportunities because of your growth.

🔥 Current Market Guide (2025 Passive Income Version )
$BTC : After hitting the 89000 mark yesterday, it pulled back, and started to rebound after the U.S. stock market opened in the evening. This rebound is not over yet, so be cautious when adding to positions.
$BNB : Following the fluctuations of Bitcoin, there will be no rise without good news. Once this rebound is in place, it's time to liquidate, and next year will be a complete bear market.
$ETH : 3000 might be a short-term high point, currently 1.72 million Ethereum is queued for staking, a rebound and liquidation are expected in November!

Important news from yesterday:
1. Two XRP spot ETFs are listed again in the United States, with a total net inflow of $164 million in a single day.
2. The Bitcoin premium of Strategy is approaching the "crypto winter" low point, but still maintains a buy rating.
3. Fed's Daly supports a rate cut in December, subsequently raising the probability of a December rate cut to 81%.

Let's talk about today's daily BTC technical analysis. From the candlestick chart, the 1-hour level is on the rise, the 4-hour level is consolidating, the 12-hour level is rising, and the daily level is falling. The intraday resistance is at 91000, and the support level is at 84000 dollars.

Disclaimer: Personal operation diary, not investment advice! This article comes with a 50% counter-indicator Buff, don't blame me if the market hits back #Bitcoin #Crypto

There are notable #Bitcoin sell orders stacked above $90K, while solid buying interest appears in the $80K–$83K range.

With equities moving higher, $BTC may still make a move toward the $90K area since resistance above is relatively light.”

Over 8% of $BTC ’s entire supply moved in just seven days, one of the biggest on-chain events in Bitcoin’s history.

Similar spikes only happened near the 2018 and 2020 bottoms, right before major accumulation phases and new ATHs.

The CEO of Alibaba stated today that it is unlikely that an artificial intelligence bubble will appear in the next three years and believes that AI resources will generally be in a state of supply shortage. In fact, similar statements have been made by CEOs of major companies over the past few years. When the concept of the Metaverse was hot in 2021, Meta CEO Mark Zuckerberg said there would be no bubble in the next ten years, and then Meta's market capitalization evaporated by more than 500 billion dollars. 2017

I talked about buying yesterday not because I needed attention, but because the direction felt right. This morning's continuation just validated it --- that first push wasn't luck; it was the market waking up. After a long quiet stretch across GameFi, $TIMI is the one showing what

We are facing the same problem.
If you are currently in cash,
Seeing #BTC drop to 80,000 now is a bit tempting,
But you want to continue waiting for lower levels, such as 70,000, 60,000, 50,000, and so on for the "perfect buying point."
Then a question that made everyone anxious arose:
Is it more painful to be in cash while BTC rises to 100,000?
Is it more painful to buy now and see the result drop to 60,000?
Trading is about making choices between the pains of these two factions.

First faction: The waiting faction - "Better to miss out than to be trapped"
The logic of this school is usually:
"The structure hasn't reversed" "It's not cleaned up yet" "There will definitely be another opportunity."
From a long-term perspective, their inference has a certain rationality:
Initially dropped from 125,000 to 80,000, the rebound is limited. The trading volume is weak, overall resembling a continuation of the downward trend. 60,000 to 70,000 serves as a central support range, which is very reasonable.
But what is the real risk?
The pain of being empty-handed is not losing money, but rather:
Watching others make money.
This is a typical ---
"Fear of Missing Out (FOMO negative form)."
And what most short sellers experience is:
Waiting for 80,000 → Waiting for 70,000 to reach 70,000 → Feel like I should wait for 60,000, 50,000, 40,000 to return to 90,000 → Dare not chase it back to 100,000 → Emotional breakdown, getting on is even harder.
Holding no position is the safest, yet the most torturous.
Second faction: Early entry faction - "Don't predict the lowest point"
The other group's thinking is completely different:
I won't guess the bottom, just

$ZEN ‌trading around $12.33 — sitting right at an important mid-range level.

As long as it holds that $12.00–$12.40 support pocket, there’s room for a move back toward the $12.90 – $13.20 zone.
But if it breaks below $12.00, momentum cools and we could see a slide toward the $11.40 – $11.70 area.

$BAS ‌is creeping back up with a clean curl at $0.004968 — looks like early signs of momentum returning. If buyers hold this micro-range, we might see a quick leg up toward previous liquidity pockets.

Buy Zone: $0.00490 – $0.00500
TP 1: $0.00508
TP 2: $0.00516
TP 3: $0.00528
SL: $0.00482

$NCASH hovering around $0.9999 ....holding the line almost perfectly here.

As long as it stays above the $0.998–$1.000 support band, stability looks intact and we could see a move toward the $1.001 – $1.003 range.
But if it slips under $0.998, minor downside opens and we might revisit the $0.995 – $0.9965 zone.