Crypto KOL Community & Market Trends

The market has been quite volatile lately. After talking with friends around me who are into crypto, everyone says they’re watching the market—but what they actually care about most is how to transfer funds out safely and conveniently, and how to use them.

A question I keep hearing lately is:

"Why has Bitcoin performed so much better than Ethereum?"

At first glance, it seems strange.

Ethereum powers a massive portion of the crypto economy.

Stablecoins move through it.

DeFi was built on it.

Thousands of applications depend on it.

Developers continue building on it every day.

So why does $BTC continue to attract more attention, more institutional capital, and often stronger price performance?

I think the answer is simpler than many people realize.

Bitcoin and $ETH are solving different problems.

Bitcoin's value proposition can be explained in a single sentence:

A scarce digital asset with a fixed supply that cannot be inflated.

That's a narrative institutions understand immediately.

Asset managers understand it.

Corporations understand it.

Governments understand it.

Even people who know very little about crypto can understand the idea of digital scarcity.

Ethereum is different.

Ethereum is not just an asset.

It's an ecosystem.

A settlement layer.

A smart contract platform.

A foundation for decentralized finance.

A home for tokenization, stablecoins, and countless applications.

That creates enormous potential.

But it also creates complexity.

When investors evaluate Bitcoin, they often ask:

"Will more people want to own it in the future?"

When investors evaluate Ethereum, the questions become much broader:

How much activity will happen on-chain?

How will Layer 2 networks evolve?

How much value will ETH capture from ecosystem growth?

How will future upgrades affect demand?

How will competing chains impact adoption?

Those questions are harder to answer.

And markets tend to reward simplicity.

Another factor is institutional adoption.

The arrival of Bitcoin ETFs changed the conversation completely.

For many investors, Bitcoin became the easiest and safest way to gain exposure to crypto.

Large pools of capital that previously couldn't participate suddenly had a familiar structure they could invest through.

That created demand on a scale the market had never seen before.

At the same time, Bitcoin benefits from a narrative that has been strengthening for over a decade:

Digital gold.

A hedge against monetary expansion.

A scarce asset in a world where many things can be created infinitely.

Whether someone agrees with that thesis or not, it is easy to understand.

Ethereum's story is powerful too, but it requires more explanation.

And in investing, the simplest narrative often travels the fastest.

None of this means Ethereum has failed.

Far from it.

Ethereum continues to secure billions in value and remains one of the most important pieces of infrastructure in crypto.

The question isn't whether Ethereum is useful.

The question is whether the market currently values utility more than scarcity.

Right now, it seems scarcity is winning.

But markets evolve.

Narratives evolve.

Technology evolves.

And crypto has a habit of surprising everyone.

For me, the most interesting takeaway isn't that Bitcoin outperformed Ethereum.

It's understanding why.

Because the more we understand what drives capital, attention, and adoption, the better we understand where the industry might be heading next.

What do you think has been the biggest reason for Bitcoin's stronger performance?

Possible events in the next 20 years:
​1. Living off parents, becoming more serious.
​2. Civil servants, no longer a guaranteed stable job.
​3. Bride price of zero will become a reality.
​4. Remote mountainous areas will gradually turn into uninhabited zones.
​5. AI tools will become as widespread as office software.
​6. Cigarettes and alcohol will become more expensive, and cheap ones will no longer be sold.
​7. Autonomous driving will become mainstream, with very strong battery endurance.
​8. Digital inheritance disputes will surpass property inheritance.

Today, I continue to predict the four matches of the World Cup tomorrow (June 15th). Today’s predictions are not random guesses; I have not only relied on my many years of watching experience but also incorporated Zi Wei, Qimen, Liu Yao, and astrology. Let's get straight to the results! Germany 🇩🇪 vs Curaçao 🇨🇼 Score prediction Main choice: 3:0 Secondary choices: 4:0, 2:0 Win/Draw/Lose ✅ Germany big win Netherlands 🇳🇱 vs Japan 🇯🇵 Score prediction Main choice: 2:1 Secondary choices: 1:1, 2:0 Win/Draw/Lose ✅

The World Cup kicks off, and XBIT directly puts a prize pool of 1.1 million USDC on the table.
🔥 XBIT World Cup Carnival Season · 40 days of nonstop fun
Total prize pool of 1.1M USDC, with daily featured matches drawn separately. Predict correctly to share the prize proportionally!
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3️⃣ Collect — if you predict correctly after the match ends, share the daily USDC prize pool based on your ticket proportion!
💡 Example:
A match has a prize pool of 10,000 USDC, with 2,000 tickets in total. You hold 100 tickets → if you win, you get 500 USDC. Less popular matches can yield even higher per-ticket returns!
🏆 One fish, multiple benefits strategy:
✅ Daily featured matches share a big pool of 1 million USDC
✅ Compete for contract leaderboard + prediction market leaderboard, each with 50k USDC, top 100 winners get prizes
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📅 June 11 – July 19, 2026 | Entire World Cup duration
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The World Cup kicks off, and XBIT directly puts a prize pool of 1.1 million USDC on the table.
🔥 XBIT World Cup Carnival Season · 40 Days of Continuous Fun
Total prize pool of 1.1M USDC, with daily featured matches drawing winners independently; correct predictions are shared proportionally!
⚽ How to play? Three simple steps:
1️⃣ Get prediction tickets — trade in prediction markets / contract trading / complete tasks → receive prediction tickets (the more you trade, the more tickets you get = higher weight)
2️⃣ Place bets — choose the daily featured match, bet on the result you believe will happen
3️⃣ Collect winnings — if you predict correctly after the match ends, share the daily USDC prize pool based on your ticket proportion!
💡 Here's an example:
A match has a prize pool of 10,000 USDC, with 2,000 tickets in total, and you hold 100 tickets → if you win, you get 500 USDC, and less popular matches can yield even higher per-ticket returns!
🏆 One fish, multiple benefits strategy:
✅ Daily featured matches share a big pool of 1 million USDC
✅ Compete for contract leaderboard + prediction market leaderboard, each with 50k USDC, top 100 players win prizes
✅ Potential airdrop points, multiple rewards from one operation!
📅 June 11 – July 19, 2026 | Entire World Cup duration
👉 Participation entry:
📢 Official: @XBITDEX / @XBITDEX_ZH
👉 Register now & claim your prediction tickets:

From the Qatar vs. Switzerland draw and the Brazil vs. Morocco draw, it’s clear this World Cup looks like it’s going to be one big massacre—totally ruthless. In the past, during the group stage, they at least talked a bit about doing things by the book based on “paper” strength and handing out some benefits. But now the group stage is already starting to harvest. If it keeps going like this in the later round of 8 and the semifinals, they won’t just make bettors eat bad luck—they’ll basically burn out all the fans who are betting on this tournament. That’s it, that’s it—I can’t play anymore, I’m done, I can’t keep going.

Waton Financial seems serious about this. Not just another app with AI slapped on it. The product has actual thought behind the design.
#MoTA #TradingAgent #FinancialAnalysis #SmartBeta

Wow~wataa~ is a cosplay 🤤🤤

The First Time in AI History: A Model Goes Live for Three Days and Then the Government Forces It Offline—Who’s Binding Themselves Hand and Foot?

What would you do if one day your project gets hit with a “pause button”?

Don’t assume it has nothing to do with you—at least not yet.

On June 9, local time, Anthropic just released two flagship models, Claude Fable 5 and Mythos 5, claiming to comprehensively lead the industry and being seen as key products paving the way for an IPO.

As it turns out, within less than 72 hours, citing national security, the U.S. Department of Commerce placed both models under export controls, forcing access restrictions.

What’s even harsher: it’s not only banning all individuals and institutions outside the U.S. from accessing them—foreign nationals inside the U.S., even including Anthropic’s own foreign employees, are also put on the prohibited list.

This is the first time in AI history that a commercial large model, deployed to hundreds of millions of people, is forcibly recalled by the U.S. government.

However, this isn’t the most ironic part.

1. A company that keeps shouting “safety first” got bitten back by its own “safety” persona

You may not know this, but for a long time, Anthropic’s favorite move has been to paint the government a picture of extreme AI risks—repeatedly emphasizing that “top-tier AI capabilities are directly tied to national security,” and actively calling for strict regulation.

And the fire has finally reached them.

According to a report from The Wall Street Journal, the trigger was Amazon CEO Andy Jassy briefing top White House officials: Amazon researchers found that Fable 5 could be induced to provide sensitive information that could be used for cyberattacks.

White House AI and crypto affairs lead David Sacks then disclosed on X: after the U.S. government discovered a jailbreak vulnerability, it demanded that Anthropic fix it or face being taken offline. Anthropic CEO Dario Amodei refused to fix it, and said in an official statement that the vulnerability was “not serious,” adding that “other companies’ models also have” similar issues.

Sacks blasted: “Anthropic has always emphasized safety first, but this time they prioritized maintaining consumer-grade model services.”

Isn’t it ironic? A company that constantly calls on others to put “safety first” turns around and says “the vulnerability isn’t serious” when it’s their own turn.

It makes me think of a frequently cited quote by Li Xiaolai—although the context is different, the principle is the same: some people urge you to follow the rules because they hope you won’t get in their way.

2. But the more critical question is: should regulation stop at the gate, or be “raised” after the fact?

This incident has split Silicon Valley into two paths.

The White House route (David Sacks): A pre-emptive ban. If risks are found, fix them or get out. If you don’t cooperate, I won’t let you in.

The Silicon Valley route (a16z Marc Andreessen): Post-event accountability. a16z co-founder Marc Andreessen publicly opposes AI regulation centered on the “precautionary principle.” He argues that letting people who don’t understand the technology set complex rules—using layered approvals and compliance costs to crush innovation—will ultimately only help big companies entrench their position and block newcomers.

But he also stresses that he doesn’t oppose all regulation. He supports rules that build market trust and ensure public safety—such as preventing AI voice forgery to carry out financial fraud, preventing deepfakes from interfering with elections, and ensuring consumers and businesses can use new technologies safely.

He offered an analogy an engineer would instantly understand: reasonable regulation is like highway guardrails or car brakes—it doesn’t slow the car down; it makes people dare to “drive fast.” In a car without brakes, nobody dares to step on the accelerator.

Which approach is more conducive to innovation?

3. I’ll state the conclusion directly: both paths are imperfect, but pre-emptive bans hide a “harvesting trap”

First, what’s wrong with the White House route: “opaque and unpredictable enforcement standards” are, in themselves, the biggest killers of innovation. Anthropic itself has warned that if this standard—“find a small vulnerability and recall the entire model”—applies across the industry, then all leading model suppliers won’t be able to release new models.

More realistically, companies with deep resources are more likely to pass reviews, while smaller companies can’t even reach the threshold. In the end, the mechanism will evolve into a “gatekeeper” system that protects vested interests.

Many people say Europe is behind in innovation, and one reason is overregulation. Andreessen put it bluntly: the culture of overregulation has made Europe relatively lag behind in recent years, and regulation shouldn’t become a moat that allows vested interests to raise entry barriers.

So is post-event accountability workable? Also not. Look at the recent subpoenas issued by multiple state attorneys general against OpenAI: the advertising business, user engagement, management of consumer and health data, services for minors and elderly groups, deep learning models… all are under investigation. If you wait to assign accountability only after “something happens,” user harm has already occurred, and the losses are irreversible.

To be frank, I like post-event accountability—because it leaves room for innovators to “try, make mistakes, and be tested.” But you can’t set the bottom line at the edge of a cliff without guardrails.

So my view is: what innovation needs isn’t “no regulation,” but a system of “low barriers and high accountability”—you can enter without getting blocked at the door, but if something goes wrong, you pay a huge price.

4. What does this have to do with you?

If you’re a Web3 founder or investor, you can already feel it—

After this wave of regulatory turmoil broke out, the crypto market reacted quickly. Bittensor (TAO) surged 23.9%, Venice Token rose 18%, and ICP climbed 9.8%. Traders almost reflexively shifted funds into the AI infrastructure sector.

The logic is simple: centralized AI could be shut down at any time → so why not go buy some “decentralized, censorship-resistant” AI infrastructure?

My assessment is that a pre-emptive ban means “possible shutdown at any time,” and in Web3 projects, any that involve centralized API calls or depend on a single AI provider have similar risks. If you built a DApp on the OpenAI API, and one day the government requires OpenAI to pause all foreign users from using certain features, you won’t even be able to keep your business running.

As for how regulation will evolve, the debate between these two approaches will continue for a long time. Don’t assume you’re safe just because you’re standing in the light—when the shadow falls on someone else, it’s only one step away from you.

“Innovation isn’t about nobody regulating it—it’s about the people regulating it truly understanding what you’re doing.”

No matter which path the U.S. government ultimately chooses, we need to recognize this: every “temporary restriction” is a blunt instrument that carves into startups and long-tail projects alike.

And the simplest thing you and I can do is to make our business structure as decentralized as possible, provide redundancy across multiple providers, and reduce the risk of being “neck-blocked” by a single regulatory node. It’s not that because you’re legal, others #我的Gate交易时刻 will let you operate safely.

Trump says signing today, Iran says not signing today.

The biggest script conflict today is hidden in this news.

Trump tweeted late on the 13th, firmly stating—U.S.-Iran agreement to be signed on June 14, after signing, Hormuz will be "immediately fully open," and all parties in Iran have approved.

Iran's Foreign Ministry spokesperson directly rebutted early that morning: the memorandum of understanding will not be signed tomorrow.

One is the current U.S. president, the other is Iran's official spokesperson. Both cannot be telling the truth at the same time.

This scene is so interesting. In the same week that they contradict each other, both sides are also engaged in fierce clashes over Hormuz: the U.S. military just shot down several Iranian one-way attack drones, Iran also shot down a U.S. "Apache" armed helicopter.

Even more surreal, just as the market is digesting the optimistic expectation that the "agreement might be signed," Iran's parliament hardliners have already made it clear: this agreement does not serve national interests and weakens Tehran's influence in the Strait of Hormuz.

The $3 billion fund transfer news from the UAE was also personally denied by UAE officials.

You can deceive me, but you can't fool me with such obviously fake news.

Why is the market still rising? Because too many people are treating "diplomatic easing" as "the end of the story."

Crude oil plummeted over 6% over the weekend, breaking below $88. Brent fell more than $6 in a week, reaching a three-month low. Gold slightly rose to around $4,345, maintaining resilience. Bitcoin surpassed $64.5k, SOL up 3.16%, HYPE up 2.71%, DOGE up 2.22%—the market is catching its breath in a rebound of risk appetite.

Capital markets are fully pricing in the "agreement has been reached" script—oil prices fall, crypto rises, everything seems to be heading toward "peace dividend."

The question is, who said "the agreement has been reached"?

If Trump signs today in Florida, but Nouri Jafari in Tehran hasn't even picked up a pen—will oil still be at the current $87?

More importantly: will the market's expectation of "agreement implementation" that boosts cryptocurrencies tomorrow be completely shattered by a simple "no" from Iran?

Here's a simple judgment framework for everyone—"Active signing vs. Passive response" law.

Trump: tirelessly says "all parties in Iran have approved," "there's no better agreement," even saying "if things go wrong, we still have ultimate means."

Iran's Foreign Minister Araghchi's response is always "the memorandum might be completed in the coming days"—no clear denial, but no confirmed date either; Iran's parliament reaction is "hardliners accuse the agreement of not serving national interests," which is an extremely dangerous signal.

Looking at the core terms: Trump says "Iran is no longer seeking nuclear weapons," Iran's Foreign Minister emphasizes "the U.S. must lift the maritime blockade on Iranian ports." The logic of "opening the strait first or lifting sanctions first" is completely different for both sides, and no alignment has been reached so far.

This is not a signing ceremony time lag, but a stance difference between life and death.

Another shocking discovery, which is also the key reason I started to be cautious about this rebound.

When Iran's hardliners exert pressure in Tehran, and U.S. military still engages in live-fire clashes in Hormuz, the real determinant of market direction is not Trump's bravado, but whether the Hormuz Strait shipping will be suddenly interrupted tomorrow without warning.

As soon as there is a shot, oil prices can recover all recent declines within hours, even spike to new highs. The "risk appetite recovery" in cryptocurrencies will be instantly crushed to dust.

Iran's red line is never the Foreign Ministry spokesperson, but the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps. When the agreement truly does not serve fundamental interests, they will use drones and speedboats to tell you what a "final ultimatum" really looks like.

U.S. senior officials also said they have about an 80% chance of signing the memorandum in the short term. A 20% failure rate— in the crypto world, this is equivalent to a tail risk enough to wipe out all positions.

Before and after the agreement is implemented, Iran could use a small-scale conflict at any time to "adjust" the overly optimistic market pricing on the negotiation table.

So, which signals are worth trading, and which are complete noise? Here's the direct answer:

Signals worth trading:

Number of U.S. drone shootdowns: Yesterday, the U.S. shot down multiple Iranian drones. If tomorrow the U.S. intercepts another armed drone from Iran, that’s solid proof that "the agreement isn't signed, conflict hasn't stopped." At this point, you should go long on gold, long on oil, and short BTC and altcoins.

Whether hardliners' pressure escalates: If the parliament signals "impeachment negotiations," it likely means the agreement won't get political backing in Tehran. This is a lagging indicator and a violent signal—once it appears, Iran has no room to back down from "signing."

Complete noise that cannot be traded:

Single-day rumors of "$3 billion funds received," or "agreement text completed" without official confirmation: UAE officials have directly denied the existence of this fund. Based on this alone, anyone going "all-in" on such news could blow up in place.

Trump's tweets: I admire his Twitter governance efficiency. But when he announces "signing on the 14th" while Iran's Foreign Ministry says "not signing on the 14th," do you still dare to hold your positions on his words?

In the next 48 hours, there are things more important than K-line charts:

You don't need to guess whether Trump has obtained Iran's signature. What you need to observe are these three things:

First, tomorrow—June 15—when Trump's "signing deadline" arrives, will Iran silently implement it, or again deny "not yet completed"? If the latter occurs, don't wait until the weekend—the oil price will fill in all missed gains at the Asian open on Monday.

Second, whether Hormuz can remain open. As long as there is a new military conflict there—regardless of who initiates—you that are still dreaming of BTC reaching $70k will turn that dream into a nightmare amid pulse-like oil price surges.

Third, the frequency of military contact between U.S. forces and Iran's Revolutionary Guard within 72 hours. Yesterday's frequency was "multiple drones shot down." If tomorrow it turns into "U.S. forces forced to self-defend and retaliate," crypto risk appetite will be instantly crushed.

Finally, a sincere word:

Never bet everything on a president's tweet, because the truly heavy news is always the missile that hits the oil tanker first.

Once it happens, all long positions in cryptocurrencies will be instantly pressured, inflation expectations will shatter central banks' rate cut dreams, and liquidity tightening clouds will once again cover the entire market.

At this moment, your position is "hold tight and wait for rate hikes to end," or decisively switch to a hedge mode—your choice determines whether you are prey or predator #我的Gate交易时刻 before the next storm hits.

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Bitcoin has never experienced a bull-bear cycle under a 5% U.S. bond yield; this is the first time.
Do you know what the 30-year U.S. Treasury yield was on the day Bitcoin was born?
About 3.5%.
And today? 5.2%—the highest in nearly 19 years.
In other words, from the genesis block to now, Bitcoin has never fully gone through a bull-bear cycle in an environment where "long-term interest rates stay above 5%." This time, it’s the first.
This isn’t just about high interest rates.
CPI at 4.2%, PPI at 6.5%, and the European Central Bank just raised rates—stagflation is written all over the face.
Inflation can’t be brought down, growth can’t be increased. For risk assets, this is called Davis Double Kill: liquidity expectations tighten, and narratives and earnings expectations both deteriorate.
On June 16-17, global liquidity will face a double blow.
The Bank of Japan announced its rate decision on the 16th, reportedly considering further rate hikes. The world’s last “zero interest rate funding pool” is also starting to shrink—closing arbitrage trades will be like pulling the plug on a bathtub, draining money from various markets.
Then on the 17th, Fed Chair Powell will preside over the FOMC for the first time. The market prices a 97.4% chance that rates will stay unchanged in June, but the real game isn’t about whether they will hike or not, but whether the dot plot and statement will reintroduce rate hike options.
Powell’s debut will likely be hawkish. New officials need to establish authority first.
So what is the current situation?
A macro stress test Bitcoin has never experienced: 5.2% on 30-year U.S. bonds + stagflation + Japan rate hikes + possible hawkish shift by the Fed.
Don’t talk to me about halving, ETFs, or narratives. In the face of long-term rates above 5%, all risk assets are slaves to gravity.
Trading strategy, simple and direct:
Before June 17, any rebound is an opportunity to reduce positions.
Don’t expect a V-shaped reversal. Wait for the two central banks’ decisions to see if long-term rates can fall back below 5%. If they do, a rebound is likely; if not, just endure.
If Powell unexpectedly turns dovish—that would be the real “buy on divergence” moment. But the probability is low, don’t bet on it.
A final message to everyone still holding full positions:
“The money you made in the past four years was earned in an environment with 3% interest rates. Now that rates have doubled, your trading system hasn’t been updated.”
The tuition Bitcoin will pay this time may be more expensive than ever before.

Bitcoin Has Never Survived a Full Bull-Bear Cycle Under 5% U.S. Treasury Bond Yields—This Time Is the First

Guess what the 30-year U.S. Treasury yield was on the day Bitcoin was born?

About 3.5%.

And today? 5.2%—the highest in nearly 19 years.

That means: from the genesis block to today, Bitcoin has never fully made it through an entire bull-bear cycle in an environment where “long-end interest rates have stayed above 5%.” This time, it’s the first time.

This isn’t just about high interest rates.

CPI at 4.2%, PPI at 6.5%, and the European Central Bank has just raised rates—“stagflation” is already written all over the face.

Inflation won’t come down, and growth can’t go up. For risk assets, this is called the Davis double kill: liquidity expectations tighten, and both narratives and earnings expectations deteriorate together.

On June 16-17, global liquidity is about to take a double hit.

On the 16th, the Bank of Japan will release its rate decision, and reports say it is considering further rate hikes. The world’s last “zero interest rate funding pool” is also starting to shrink—closing arbitrage trades will be like pulling the plug on a bathtub, siphoning money out of every market.

Then on the 17th, the new chair of the Fed, Wash, will preside over the FOMC for the first time. The market is pricing in a 97.4% probability that nothing will be changed in June—but the real game isn’t whether there will be a rate hike or not; it’s whether the dot plot and the statement will reintroduce rate-hike options.

Wash’s debut is likely to be hawkish. When a new official takes office, the first order of business is to establish authority.

So what’s the situation right now?

A macro stress test Bitcoin has never experienced: 30-year U.S. Treasuries at 5.2% + stagflation + Japan raising rates + the Fed possibly shifting hawkish.

Don’t talk to me about halving, ETFs, or narratives. With long-end interest rates above 5%, all risk assets are slaves to gravity.

As for the trading strategy—simple and straightforward:

Before June 17, any rebound is a chance to reduce exposure.

Don’t fantasize about a V-shaped reversal. Wait for the two central bank decisions to land, and see whether long-end rates can fall back below 5%. If they can, a retaliatory rebound is on the cards; if they can’t, just keep enduring.

If Wash unexpectedly turns dovish—that’s the real moment to “buy on divergence.” But the probability is low, so don’t bet on it.

The last sentence is for everyone still holding full positions:

“The money you made over the past four years was made in an environment where interest rates were 3%. Now that rates have doubled, your trading system hasn’t been updated.”

The tuition Bitcoin has to pay this time may be more expensive than in any previous time. #我的Gate交易时刻 #TradFiCFD黄金大师赛 #美PPI创两年半新高 $BTC $ETH $SOL

Actions speak louder than announcements.
While most projects are focused on the next headline, $EB1 is securing trademarks across 29 countries with the USA set to make it 30
That’s the kind of long-term execution I like to see.
More info:
Pre-sale starts June 15.
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$BILL – 1H Trade Setup

* Bias: Bullish / Long 📈
* Entry Zone: $0.0600 – $0.0615
* TP1: $0.0660
* TP2: $0.0720
* TP3: $0.0800
* Stop Loss: $0.0560

Setup Rationale:
BILL is maintaining a bullish market structure on the 1H timeframe with higher lows forming above key support. Momentum remains positive as buyers continue defending the $0.06 region. A successful hold of this level could fuel continuation toward the next resistance zones and liquidity targets. #MyGateTradeStory #MarvellSurgesOver11%LeadingChipSectorWithAI

Is $68 SOL still worth chasing?

First, look at the surface: bullish news bombarding, price hesitating.

Dropped to a low of $60.11 in early June, now rebounding to $67.8-$68.3. Slight 0.1%-2% increase over 24 hours, 7-day gain of 7%, but still down 25% over a month. Market cap is $39.3 billion, ranked 7th. The candlestick chart shows: after bouncing from $60, forming a “higher low + higher high,” testing resistance at $68.5, with support at $62-$63.5. RSI/MACD are neutral, volume moderate—breakout imminent, but needs a spark.

First thing: WSOP + SpaceX, is this real landing or fake hype?

Solana becomes the official sponsor of the World Series of Poker, players can register with SOL fee-free. SpaceX stock tokens are directly tradable on Solana after tokenization. Morgan Stanley allows clients to lend out SOL for ETP shares.

But after these announcements, SOL only rose less than 10%.

Why can’t it push higher this time?

Two reasons:

Macro environment is too tight. CPI at 4.2%, Fed not cutting interest rates, liquidity tightening.

In a bull market, news is fuel; in a bear market, news is traps.

Second: Is there really a problem with Solana’s fundamentals?

TVL is $4.7 billion, stablecoin market cap over $15 billion, daily active addresses between 2-4 million, RWA daily transfers once hit $1.49 billion. Staking volume hits new highs.

At the 2025 peak, SOL was close to $300. Now at $68, down 77%.

ETH dropped from $4,000 to $2,000, a 50% decline.

Solana’s volatility is always twice that of ETH.

Third: Technical signals show a “must break through” pattern

Daily chart has formed a “higher low + higher high,” indicating a bullish structure. Successfully breaking out of the previous downtrend channel, entering the decision zone at $66.8-$68.5.

But—

SOL has hit the $68.5 level three times.

If it can’t break through this time, it will retest $62-$63.5, possibly even $60.

Weekly and monthly charts are still adjusting, MACD has not fully confirmed a golden cross.

Break above $68.5, target $72-$75; if not, continue the rollercoaster.

Bull-bear showdown, see for yourself.

One side:

WSOP sponsorship + SpaceX tokenization, phenomenon-level adoption

RWA net inflow ranks first across the chain, Securitize fund landing

Morgan Stanley support, positive ETF inflows

Daily active users 4 million, staking hitting new highs, solid fundamentals

Other side:

Macro liquidity tight, high CPI, Fed not cutting rates

$68.5 blocked three times, technicals need volume confirmation

Down 25% in a month, trend not fully reversed

High-volatility asset, pullbacks could be painful

Key level at $68, just 0.5 away from the critical $68.5 death line.

Resistance above: $68.5 (bulls’ life/death line) → $71.5 → $72-$75 → $80+

Support below: $65-$66.5 → $62-$63.5 → $60 (strong bottom)

Short-term traders:

Wait for retests at $65-$66.5 to buy in chunks, stop-loss at $60. Or wait for volume breakout above $68.5 to chase, stop-loss at $67. First target $72-$75, second target $80+.

Swing traders:

Break above $68.5 and hold, aim for $85-$100. If stuck in the $66-$68 range, watch and wait for a clear direction.

Long-term believers:

DCA in the $60-$65 zone. Solana’s RWA + payment narrative is the main theme for the next three years, but don’t go all-in. Add on every 10% dip, keep cash for black swans.

Risk rule:

Keep position size at 10-20%, don’t go all-in.

Watch BTC closely: if BTC drops below $62k, SOL will fall even deeper.

Pay attention to the Fed meeting on June 17-18, hawkish signals mean reducing holdings.

Leverage no more than 3x, prioritize spot.

SOL now is like ETH at the start of 2023—

Everyone said “L2 will kill Solana,” but what happened?

Solana went from $8 to over $200.

A truly good project isn’t without negatives, but each negative causes shallower dips, each positive #我的Gate交易时刻 causes sharper rises.

World Cup tomorrow has 4 matches. Just give the results, my predictions:
🇨🇭 Switzerland vs Qatar 🇶🇦 🇨🇭 Switzerland wins ✅
🇲🇦 Morocco vs Brazil 🇧🇷 🇲🇦 Morocco wins ✅
🏴 Scotland vs Haiti 🇭🇹 🏴 Scotland wins ✅
🇹🇷 Turkey vs Australia 🇦🇺 🇹🇷 Turkey wins ✅
Among them, Brazil vs Morocco.
Many people will choose Brazil.
But I am more optimistic about Morocco continuing to play the first upset of this tournament.

$TAO is waking up.

After weeks of compression and higher lows, price just exploded through local resistance with momentum.

This isn't the type of move you see in weak charts.

As long as $240-$250 holds, the path of least resistance remains higher. Bulls are back in control.