Crypto KOL Community & Market Trends

A person with 1 million in savings
Doesn't dare to spend 400k to buy a car
A person with 100k in savings
Actually dares to take a loan of 400k to buy a car
Guess why this is?

#MyGateTradeStory

I bought a meme coin because I was angry.

Not at the market. At myself.

Three days earlier I had watched a token called $FLOKI run 280% in 48 hours. I had seen it on my watchlist. I had even opened the trade screen twice. Both times I talked myself out of it. Too risky. Too irrational. Not my style.

Then I watched someone in my trading group post their exit. 3.1x. In two days.

That feeling that specific mix of regret and ego, is the most dangerous emotional state you can be in as a trader. I know that now. I did not know it then.

So when the next meme coin started moving three days later, I did not think. I just bought. No chart analysis. No volume check. No liquidity research. I threw $850 into a token I had never heard of 40 minutes before, purely because I could not stand the idea of missing another one.

The token was called $RIBBIT.

I wish I was making that name up.

Within six hours of my entry, the chart did something I had never seen before in that specific pattern. It did not crash. It did not pump. It just went completely flat. Volume dried up instantly. The order book thinned out so much that even a modest sell order was moving the price against me.

I was trapped in a low-liquidity token with no exits that made sense.

I held for nine days hoping for a recovery. Every morning I would open Gate and check the chart the same way you check your phone after a bad argument hoping something had changed overnight. Nothing did. On day nine I accepted the reality and exited at a 67% loss.

$850 in. $280 out.

The trade itself was not the real mistake. The real mistake happened three days earlier when I let a missed opportunity turn into a grudge against the market. That grudge made the decision. I just executed it.

Here is what that loss forced me to understand about emotional trading.

Revenge trading has a very specific feeling. It feels like urgency mixed with certainty. You feel like you finally see something clearly, like the hesitation that made you miss the last trade was the mistake and now you are correcting it. That feeling is the trap. Real edge is quiet. It does not feel urgent. If a trade feels like you are owed something, close the tab and walk away.

FOMO and revenge are the same emotion wearing different clothes. FOMO says I need to get in because everyone else is winning. Revenge trading says I need to get in because I personally lost. Both bypass your actual analysis. Both lead to the same place a position you cannot rationally justify the moment the price moves against you.

Liquidity is not optional on meme coins. This was a technical lesson inside an emotional one. Before entering any low-cap token, I now check three things on Gate: 24-hour volume relative to market cap, order book depth, and how many active trading pairs exist. A token with thin liquidity is not just volatile, it is a potential trap. You can get in easily. Getting out on your terms is a different story entirely.

The market does not know you missed the last trade. This sounds obvious but it took a 67% loss to make it land properly. The market has no memory of your previous decisions. It does not owe you a recovery. It does not care about your frustration. Every trade is a completely fresh and independent risk decision, and treating it like anything else is where real money gets destroyed.

I still trade meme coins occasionally. The asymmetric upside is real and I am not going to pretend otherwise. But I now have a single rule before any meme coin entry: I write down my reason in one sentence. If that sentence contains the words "last time," "missed," "everyone else," or "should have", I do not place the trade.

RIBBIT cost me $570. That is actually cheap for what it taught me.

Stay curious. Always DYOR

I found something interesting. The last time we saw the Nasdaq index's increase significantly surpass the US M2 (broad money supply), it triggered the largest crash in history.
I wonder if this time will repeat that scene?

The Trade That Changed Everything

My biggest breakthrough came when I stopped chasing random signals and started treating trading like a business.

Late last year, I spotted an on-chain narrative gaining attention. Instead of FOMO buying, I mapped out my entry, risk, and targets in advance.

Then I waited.

When price finally reached my zone, I entered the trade and stuck to the plan.

Over the next couple of weeks, the narrative took off and the trade played out almost exactly as expected. Taking profits felt great, but the real win was seeing a plan come together from start to finish.

That trade gave me confidence in my process and became the most memorable chapter of my #MyGateTradeStory

What's the one trade that made you trust your strategy more than ever?

@Gate_Square

Bitcoin at $63,000, are you panicking?

First look at the surface: bad news is everywhere, sentiment has already collapsed.

Price dropped from nearly $97,000 to $63,000, a decline of over 35%. ETF outflows have continued for 13 days in a row, the longest in history. The new Fed chair's debut mentioned inflation as "sticky," and the dot plot hints at possible rate hikes this year.

Any random piece of news in 2021 could have caused BTC to fall 10%. But now? The price has stabilized between $62,000 and $65,000.

First thing: ETF outflows totaled $4.4 billion, but where did the coins go?

Net outflows for 13 consecutive days, BlackRock and Fidelity are selling. Sounds scary?

But check the on-chain data:

Exchange balances are continuously decreasing

Long-term holders' holdings account for 78-79%, unchanged.

In June, large addresses net accumulated 125k BTC.

Whale addresses (holding 100+ BTC) balances hit a 2026 high.

Second thing: The Fed is calling for rate hikes, but the market is already numb.

New Chair Warsh's debut shows nine officials expect at least one rate hike this year. Inflation expectations have been raised from 2.7% to 3.6%.

Market has become immune to the Fed's "bluff."

Last year, rate hike talk caused a 10% drop; this year, only 2%. Next time, it might be ignored altogether.

Rate hikes are not scary; unexpected hikes are.

Third thing: Technical analysis suggests the bottom is near.

The $63,000-$62,000 range is a high-volume trading zone after the 2024 halving, a major historical support.

Weekly RSI has fallen to around 30, the same level as the 2022 bear market bottom.

The 200-week moving average is at $58,000-$60,000, which is Bitcoin's lifeline; it has never been effectively broken in history.

Bull-bear confrontation, see for yourself.

One side is:

On-chain data: large holders accumulating, exchange balances decreasing, long-term holders holding steady

Price has dropped 35%, technical oversold

Market sentiment extremely pessimistic, contrarian indicators in place

Fed's "bluff" effect diminishing

The other side is:

ETF outflows for 13 days straight, capital pressure

Macro interest rates "higher for longer," risk appetite suppressed

Geopolitical uncertainties

Short-term trend still downward

Key levels: $63,000, critical line at $60,500.

Support below: $62,000-$60,500 → $58,000-$55,000 (extreme)

Resistance above: $65,000-$67,000 → $72,000-$75,000 → $87,000

Bullish strategies: hold $62,000-$60,500, volume rebound, break through $67,000 to confirm reversal

Bearish strategies: break below $60,500, target $58,000-$55,000

Spot dollar-cost averaging:

Buy in the $62,000-$60,500 range without hesitation, in batches, don’t chase rallies.

Target $72,000-$75,000, room for 15-20%.

If it falls below $58,000, add more; spot trading has no liquidation risk, just hold.

Swing trading:

Long at $62,500-$61,000, stop loss at $59,800.

First target $67,000, second target $72,000.

Position size 30-50%, don’t overtrade.

Short-term aggressive:

Rebound to $65,500-$66,500, small short position, target $62,500, stop loss at $67,500.

Or wait for volume breakout above $67,000 to go long, safer.

Futures traders:

Up to 5x leverage, risk per trade no more than 1-2% of total funds.

Long positions are more cost-effective than shorts at this level, but stop-loss is necessary.

You now think $63,000 is an abyss, but when it returns to $97,000, you’ll ask yourself:

“Why didn’t I dare to buy back then? I saw the bottom signals clearly.”

ETF is selling, big holders are buying. Retail traders are panicking, whales are laughing.

Every correction before a bull market is designed to shake out the indecisive.

When BTC dropped to $16,000 in 2022, everyone said it was going to zero.

And then? $97,000.

History doesn’t repeat exactly, but the rhythm $BTC is always eerily similar.

$XRP is sitting at a very important level right now.

The symmetrical triangle is still holding, and price continues to respect the support trendline. As long as that structure stays intact, the setup points toward a potential breakout that could catch many people off guard.

These types of patterns usually build pressure over time. The longer the consolidation, the stronger the move can be once price finally breaks free.

Right now, the trendline is the key level to watch. Hold above it, and the door remains open for a massive upward move.

The next big move may arrive sooner than most expect.

$BTC hasn't spent a full week below 200W SMA.
The bottom isn't in yet.

The prediction statistics for today's four World Cup group stage matches I sent yesterday are here.
USA match — secondary choice hit 2:0
Scotland match — secondary choice hit 0:1
Brazil match — main choice 3:0 accurately predicted 🎯
Turkey match — only miss
The hit rate has increased to 75%!
The data is continuously being improved, and I hope the accuracy will keep improving in the upcoming matches!
Continuing with tomorrow's match predictions ⬇️
🇳🇱 Netherlands vs 🇸🇪 Sweden
Main choice: 2:1
Secondary choices: 1:1, 2:0

USDD Zero Slippage Exchange Limited-Time Airdrop Event
Sharing a recent super-stable small opportunity with brothers! I just finished the process myself, and the experience was really good, definitely not some gimmicky activity.
Usually, when we exchange stablecoins, we are somewhat affected by slippage and hidden fees, which adds up and can be really costly. But this time, $USDD

Markets love narratives.
But eventually, numbers start speaking louder.
TVL keeps climbing.
Distribution keeps expanding.
Institutional connections keep growing.
And in a few days, the 500M $ZIG buyback program goes live.
Most projects spend revenue to survive.
$ZIG is using revenue to strengthen the ecosystem.
The chart may look bullish today, but the infrastructure being built underneath could be the real story of this cycle.

$70 HYPE, do you dare to buy the dip?

Arthur Hayes just called for $150, then sold all his HYPE holdings. While everyone is panicking and cutting losses, Bitwise bought $20 million in a day, and ETF inflows are nearing $36.4k. The big players have left, institutions are coming in—so is this the top, or a golden pit?

First look at the surface: big players are clearing out, retail investors are panicking.

On June 4th, Arthur Hayes liquidated all HYPE and NEAR, citing Middle East conflicts boosting energy prices, AI giants IPO siphoning funds, and Trump possibly adjusting AI policies. The price dropped from $76.9 down to around $66.

KOLs collectively mock, retail investors panic and place sell orders overnight.

But then look at another set of data:

Bitwise bought $20 million worth of HYPE in a single day, and staked $55 million. The three HYPE ETFs—Bitwise’s BHYP, 21Shares’ THYP, Grayscale’s HYPG—have accumulated nearly $183 million in net inflows since May.

Same news: Hayes called for $150, you chased high; Hayes liquidated, you cut losses—so I ask, who is actually buying?

First thing: Arthur Hayes liquidating has nothing to do with you.

Hayes probably bought HYPE below $20. He made a 3x profit and took profits, then moved on to the next target.

You panic and sell at $70, while someone else bought at $20—you're in the same market, but you're not doing the same trade.

Big players liquidating doesn’t necessarily mean the top; retail panic doesn’t mean the bottom.

Hyperliquid Strategies’ corporate treasury still shows huge unrealized gains, institutional holdings remain firm, they haven't run.

Second thing: this fundamental strength is mind-blowing.

Hyperliquid has accumulated $3.64 trillion in trading volume, with nearly $1 billion in revenue. Monthly trading volume is about $240 billion, annualized revenue close to $900 million.

And then? 97% of trading fees are used to buy back and burn HYPE.

Total buybacks exceed $2 billion, nearly half of last year's entire crypto token buyback activity. Over 46 million tokens have been burned.

Monthly active users grew 21.8% over five weeks, reaching 220k. DEX perpetual contract market share soared from 23% in January to 56.31%.

Translate into plain language:

The more profitable the platform, the more it buys back. The more it buys back, the less circulating supply. The less circulating supply, the more resilient the price.

This is a deflationary flywheel—the most straightforward model in the entire crypto market.

Third thing: technical analysis, the bulls are not dead.

From $76.9 retracing to around $66, with decreasing volume on the pullback and increasing volume on the rebound, the structure is healthy.

Key support at $64–66, buyers are actively defending this zone. EMA50 is supporting at around $68.

Analyst Ali Martinez points out that the next major upside target for HYPE is $97; if the rally continues, it could even reach $163 in the long term.

As long as $64–66 holds, the trend remains bullish. Breaking $77 could restart the price discovery process.

One side says:

Platform’s daily massive buyback and burn, continuous deflation model

Three US HYPE ETFs launched, institutional funds flowing in

Monthly active users skyrocketing, market share from 23% to 56%

Whales keep accumulating in the $66–70 range

Analysts see $97–$163

The other side says:

Arthur Hayes liquidated, KOLs collectively bearish

Monthly unlocks cause some selling pressure

BTC still oscillating around $63k, dragging overall sentiment

Short-term technicals need to digest profit-taking at high levels

Key level at $70, just 10% away from breaking $77.

Resistance above: $73 → $76.7 (ATH) → $80+

Support below: $68 → $65 → $60–62

Short-term traders:

Wait for a dip to $66–68 to buy in tranches, stop-loss at $64 (if broken, exit). First target: sell half at $73–75. Chase breakout above $77 with volume, stop-loss at $74, target $85–$90. Don’t chase high; if you buy at this level, a correction could wipe you out.

Swing traders:

Range between $65–$68, stop-loss at $62. Target $85–$100, add positions on breakout above $77. This is a high risk-reward zone.

Long-term believers:

DCA blindly, buy every month in the $65–$70 range. Target $150–$200. Betting on DeFi leaders + buyback flywheel + ETF funds flowing in continuously.

HYPE’s current situation is like SOL in 2023—

Rising from $8 to $200, experiencing countless “big players selling + unlocking dumps” scares. But what’s the result?

Every major rally uses the most terrifying ways to shake you off.

Arthur Hayes has sold, institutions are coming in. KOLs are bearish, but fundamentals are stronger.

$76.9 #我的Gate交易时刻 is not the top, just a comma.

Whales are疯狂 buying ETH, while project teams are selling coins to pay salaries? This is truly terrifying upon closer thought.

On one side, institutions are疯狂 buying ETH.

On the other side, the Ethereum Foundation is不断 selling coins to cash out.

These two events happening simultaneously are no coincidence.

【First, let's talk about the institutional side】

This week's fresh on-chain data:

New wallets have withdrawn 8,450 ETH and 108k HYPE from FalconX.

Bitmine bought 20k ETH.

Arthur Hayes's holdings increased to 4,400 ETH.

These are not retail investors buying; these are the “smart money” with brains, computing power, and information.

What are they betting on? ETF narratives? Staking yields? Or simply dollar devaluation?

No matter the reason, they are voting with real money.

【Next, look at the project side】

A former Ethereum Foundation contributor issued a public warning:

The ETH core development team may face a funding crisis within 3 to 9 months.

You read that right. The second-largest cryptocurrency by market cap in the world, its core development team is running out of money.

And the EF is still逐步 selling holdings to maintain operations.

【Terrifying upon closer thought】

Do institutions not know EF is short on funds? They knew earlier than you.

Then why are they still buying?

Because institutions are buying ETH’s financial attributes—ETF channels, staking yields, liquidity premiums.

And the protocol layer’s sustainability issues are temporarily being set aside.

【A soul-searching question】

If EF’s funding crisis truly materializes, leading to loss of core developers, delays in upgrades, and slower network maintenance—

Will this affect institutions’ long-term valuation logic for ETH?

In the short term, no. They profit from β and arbitrage.

In the long term, yes. Because a public chain that can’t even support its core team—what right does it have to sustain a trillion-dollar market cap?

Current ETH is like a magnificent shopping mall—crowded with customers, but the property is about to run out of electricity bills.

This hasn’t been fully priced into the market yet.

Because most people only look at the price, not the fundamentals.

But EF’s “selling coins to pay salaries” and institutions’ “buying at low prices to accumulate” will eventually intersect.

Either EF finds a new funding model (like large-scale staking yields covering R&D costs), or institutions will start re-evaluating whether ETH’s “long-term #我的Gate交易时刻 premium” still holds.

The European Union will implement the new AML regulations in July 2027.
The new rules require crypto platforms to perform stricter KYC for single transactions exceeding 1,000 euros, and services related to anonymous accounts and privacy coins will be fully banned.
At the same time, the EU has set the limit for commercial cash payments at 10k euros, and cash transactions over 3,000 euros must complete identity verification.
Whether in cash or crypto assets, the space for anonymous transactions is rapidly shrinking.
#加密货币 #AML #KYC #European Union

A ceasefire has been reached. The Strait of Hormuz is open. 700 ships have started moving.

But don’t think, everything is safe.

Trump just issued a final ultimatum to Iran: 60 days to reach a final agreement.

Nuclear issues? We’ll discuss them slowly. Oil export sanctions? We’ll discuss them slowly. Hezbollah in Lebanon? We’ll discuss them slowly.

All postponed to "talk about it next time."

They signed a memorandum of understanding, but the details of the agreement are still being argued over. Ceasefire negotiations can be halted at any time, restarted at any time, more exciting than a roller coaster.

This is not the end, but another chaotic beginning.

Oil prices are about to fall, inflation will slow down, BTC is about to take off?

Wake up.

The Strait of Hormuz is open, but how it’s open, for how long, and who oversees it — all are vague.

The market isn’t afraid of bad news; it’s afraid of not knowing whether it’s good news.

Anything can happen in these 60 days.

Today, negotiations collapse, oil rebounds to 95.

Tomorrow, negotiations succeed, oil crashes to 85.

The day after tomorrow, Iran issues tough words again, and the strait is blocked once more.

Trump’s words are more unpredictable than any candlestick chart.

In these 60 days, how should you treat your positions?

First, don’t bet on the direction.

During this 60-day window, oil prices will bounce back and forth between 85 and 100. Inflation expectations will fluctuate wildly, and Federal Reserve officials’ words will follow oil prices. Betting on a single side? If wrong, you’re done.

Second, reduce leverage, prioritize survival.

In these 60 days, any high-leverage contract is gambling. Not because your judgment is wrong, but because one sentence from Trump today or a statement from Iran tomorrow can wipe out both longs and shorts.

Third, keep an eye on three things:

What the Iranian foreign minister Araghchi says after heading to Switzerland. Hardline? Softening?

After the talks between US special envoy Witkov and Kushner, is there any word like "progress"?

In Trump’s daily tweets, are there words like "sanctions," "oil tankers," "nuclear facilities"?

Any trouble with these three things will cause BTC to react immediately.

Not rise, but fall.

These 60 days are not "uncertain" — they are "certain to be repeatedly uncertain."

The agreement is reached, but implementation is chaotic.

Ceasefire is confirmed, but details are still being argued over.

Oil prices have fallen, but they can rise at any time.

You think you’ve caught the bottom? Sorry, the bottom might be after the next news comes out. #我的Gate交易时刻 #美伊谈判推迟 #沃什首秀美联储利率不变 $BTC $CL $ETH

No rate hike, but the market has already scared itself silly. Wosh's silence is more terrifying than a rate hike.
Did you breathe a sigh of relief when you saw the FOMC kept rates unchanged?
Let me tell you, the truly tense moment has just begun.
On the 18th, Wosh presided over the FOMC announcement: keep the rate at 3.5-3.75%.
Isn't that good news? In line with expectations?
But the market doesn't buy it. CME data directly exploded—probability of a July rate hike soared to 39.6%, and the 25 basis point hike in September has been fully priced in.
You read that right.
“No rate hike,” actually caused the market to preemptively “hike” itself.
Wosh from start to finish didn’t give even a hint of a rate cut.
Over the past six months, the reason the market has been able to survive high interest rates isn’t because of “economic resilience,” but because of the hope that “just endure a little longer, and rates will come down next year.”
It’s like working overtime until dawn, and your boss says, “Just hold on two more months, and you’ll get the year-end bonus.” No matter how tired you are, you can endure.
But last night, Wosh’s message was: Year-end bonus? Did I say that? Don’t think about that for now.
The market’s biggest fear isn’t rate hikes; it’s “not knowing what will happen next.”
When “when will rates be cut” turns into “which month will rates be raised,” the entire asset pricing model needs to be reset. Wall Street’s algorithms won’t wait for you to figure it out; they’ll act first.
This is very painful when transmitted to the crypto market.
BTC is lying below 64k, unable to move.
This isn’t a fundamental issue with a certain coin; it’s the entire crypto market’s beta exposure—macroeconomic liquidity expectations tightening, all risk assets will fall first.
Panic and greed index at 23, extreme panic.
Short positions are piling up; once BTC breaks below 64k, the liquidation of mainstream CEX shorts will reach $786 million.
Market sentiment is very pessimistic, but the position structure is crowded.
Everyone is betting on a decline, and short positions have blocked the way. Once the direction becomes clear, whether up or down, it will be very intense.
This isn’t a “stabilize to get out of trouble” situation. It’s a spring compressed to the limit, just waiting for a foot to step on it.
What’s next?
64k is the watershed between bulls and bears.
Break through 64k → $786 million in shorts liquidated in a chain reaction, a stampede-like rally, FOMO entering the market.
Fall below 60k → panic intensifies, liquidity dries up, those who should leave will leave, those who should cut losses will cut losses.
No rate hike, but the market has already preemptively ‘hiked’ itself. Expectation gap is the real killer.
When the market can’t find an anchor, prices will drift wildly in a vacuum.

No rate hike, but the market has already peed itself. Wosh's silence is more terrifying than a rate hike.

Did you breathe a sigh of relief when you saw the FOMC didn't change interest rates?

Let me tell you, the real tense moment has just begun.

On the 18th, Wosh presided over the FOMC announcement: keep the rate at 3.5-3.75%.

Isn't this supposed to be good news? In line with expectations?

But the market isn't buying it. CME data directly exploded—probability of a rate hike in July soared to 39.6%, and the 25 basis point hike in September has been fully priced in.

You read that right.

“No rate hike,” actually caused the market to “pre-hike” in advance.

Wosh from start to finish didn't give even a hint of a rate cut.

Over the past six months, the market has been able to survive high interest rates not because of “economic resilience,” but because of the hope that “just endure a little longer, and there will be rate cuts next year.”

It's like working overtime until dawn, and your boss says, “Just hold on two more months, and you'll get the year-end bonus.” No matter how tired you are, you can endure.

But last night, Wosh's message was: year-end bonus? Did I say that? Don't think about that for now.

The market's biggest fear isn't rate hikes; it's “not knowing what will happen next.”

When “when to cut rates” turns into “which month to hike,” the entire asset pricing model needs to be reset. Wall Street's algorithms won't wait for you to figure it out—they act first.

This is very painful when transmitted to the crypto market.

BTC is lying below 64k, unable to move.

This isn't a fundamental issue with a certain coin; it's the Beta exposure of the entire crypto market—macroeconomic liquidity expectations tightening, all risk assets will fall first.

The fear and greed index is at 23, extreme fear.

Short positions are piling up; once BTC breaks 64k, the liquidation of mainstream CEX shorts will reach $786 million.

Market sentiment is very pessimistic, but the position structure is crowded.

Everyone is betting on a decline, and short positions are blocking the way. Once the direction becomes clear, whether up or down, it will be very intense.

This isn't a “wait and see to get out” situation. It's like a spring compressed to the limit, just waiting for a foot to step on it.

What’s next?

64k, the dividing line between bulls and bears.

Break through 64k → 786 million shorts liquidated in a chain reaction, a stampede-like rally, FOMO entering.

Fall below 60k → panic intensifies, liquidity dries up, those who should leave will leave, those who should cut will cut.

No rate hike, but the market has already pre-hiked. Expectation gap is the real slaughtering knife.

When the market can't find an anchor, prices will drift aimlessly in a vacuum. #我的Gate交易时刻 #美伊谈判推迟 #预测世界杯巴西VS海地 $BTC $ETH $SOL

I used to think trading was all about catching the next big move.

Then the market hit me with the most expensive reality check of my journey.

One day I was up nicely on a trade, already acting like I had unlocked some secret trading formula. The next day, one emotional decision erased most of those gains.

That moment changed everything.

I stopped trying to be the smartest trader in the room and started focusing on consistency. Less FOMO. Less overtrading. More patience.

Funny thing is, my best lesson didn't come from a winning trade. It came from a trade that completely humbled me.

Now whenever I see a perfect setup, I remind myself:

The goal isn't to look like a genius for one day.
The goal is to still be here next year.

Every trader has that one trade that changed how they see the market.

What's yours?

🏆 #MyGateTradeStory #GateSquare