#沃什IMF讲话 Waller's Bangkok speech goes live at 11:30 today: the last "chance to speak" before the blackout period, with the dollar, U.S. stocks, and BTC all having their "needles moved"

At 11:30 a.m. Beijing time today (10/16), Fed Chair Waller will hold a fireside chat with IMF Managing Director Georgieva at the IMF/World Bank Annual Meetings in Bangkok ——this is the final public statement before the October 27-28 policy meeting blackout period. The market is currently swinging sharply between an "October pause (priced at 80% before CPI)" and an "October rate hike (which briefly surged to 42

Tesla defined cars, Huawei defined brakes!

I'm having a drink, so I'm taking today off from the livestream.

#ShareWeekly $BTC $XAU USD
The most significant signal right now is that persistent inflation necessitates a more "hawkish" (restrictive) stance in central bank policies. Volatility in the technology sector and the sideways movement of Bitcoin are side effects of interest rates remaining high for an extended period.
The most critical indicator is whether inflation will remain high enough to keep interest rates elevated for a prolonged duration. This directly impacts bond yields, the US dollar, technology stock valuations, gold, and interest in cryptocurrencies.
My approach is to trade based on t

Bitcoin Google search interest hits a six-year low; Charles Schwab opens the door for clients to buy $BTC —I’m bullish
Bitcoin Google search interest has fallen to a six-year low, $BTC is currently at 81948.0, still up 1.597% over 24h. With the whole internet playing dead, I’m going straight bullish.
News broke around noon that Charles Schwab is letting clients buy crypto. More than 9 hours later, the market has swung from 82228.32 to 81948.0, down 0.34%. Wall Street opens, but crypto prices aren’t reacting.
Market data shows no panic. The volume ratio is 1.026, the funding rate is 1.577e-05,

First, let me speak on behalf of the bulls $ZRO , then on behalf of the bears.
The bulls need to prove there are buyers above 2.282; the bears need to prove that once 1.975 breaks, no one steps in to buy. $ZRO is currently at 2.188, up 10.73% in 24 hours. 1-hour support is at 1.975, resistance at 2.282, and current volume is 0.76 times the average of the past nearly 20 bars.
Until both sides have presented all their evidence, I’m more focused on the fact that after $ZRO’s sharp 24-hour rally, momentum and continuation are not the same thing. I won’t extrapolate the large move that has already

U.S. stocks opened on the evening of October 16, with the three major indexes diverging. The Dow Jones Industrial Average edged up 0.35%; the S&P 500 rose 0.1%; and the Nasdaq Composite edged down 0.23%.
Among individual stocks, Tesla strengthened intraday, gaining 1.6%, as the official launch of the all-new Roadster boosted its share price; Apple also climbed 1%, after its new iPhone Duo quickly sold out as soon as preorders opened.
Memory chip stocks extended their weakness throughout the week, opening lower on all five trading days. After the opening bell, SK Hynix plunged 3.8%, while SanDi

i cannot overstate how important it is to have a life beyond the computer in order to do well in markets
you are often your own worst enemy.
distracting yourself from irrational and impulsive decisions at times where opportunities contract is a form of edge
stop calling it discipline; call it self-respect.

Bearish restest or a flush out!? 😂

Is it true that Dayi, the big U merchant, got arrested? There haven't been any updates for almost a month.

$BTC is showing strong bullish momentum after a sharp recovery from the lows.
Buyers are regaining control as price reclaims key short-term structure.
EP 82,250 - 82,320
TP TP1 82,450 TP2 82,600 TP3 82,750
SL 82,100
$BTC swept downside liquidity near 81,600 and reacted with strong buying pressure. Price has reclaimed the 82,200 zone, confirming a bullish structural shift. Holding this support could trigger further upside liquidity expansion toward the recent highs.
Let’s go $BTC ‌

#美股存储板块跌幅扩大
The core question is whether this represents a healthy correction following a rally driven by artificial intelligence (AI), or the beginning of a deeper repricing process within the storage sector. Rather than buying simply because prices have fallen, it would be more prudent to focus on earnings expectations, memory pricing, and whether each company can maintain its profit margins.
My perspectives on storage sector stocks:
* Micron (MU): Monitor demand for DRAM and HBM, memory growth linked to AI, and gross profit margin forecasts. Strong AI demand could bolster earnings, though

BTC remains bearish, eyeing 770-760. Still holding the short from 824. At 19:00, the market makers stirred things up, pushing it to 830. There was resistance at 828—a deliberate fake breakout.
For reference only, not investment advice. Contract trading carries significant risks; best not to trade.
$BTC

Many people treat the funding rate as a “vote on the number of longs and shorts,” seeing a positive value and calling for a long, or a negative value and calling for a short. This is a classic misconception: the rate reflects the cost of holding a position, not the direction itself. What really matters is who is paying, how much they’re paying, and how price reacts to that cost.
$ETH Current price 2473.01, 24h +3.67%, trading volume 744.6M USDT. On the moving-average front, MA5=2467.56 has crossed above MA20=2453.19; RSI=61.3 is in strong but not overbought territory, and the MACD histogram a

Review the morning livestream replay and the orders at each price level, use quantitative tools to help set your levels for steady gains, and follow the copy-trading account’s livestream for real-time updates

As shown in the chart below,
BTC is in a divergence phase of “daily bearish + 4h overbought + weakening 1h/15m momentum.” Don’t chase longs or shorts. The preferred strategy is to short a rebound that meets resistance; the alternative is to go long if a pullback stabilizes at support. Keep positions small and stop-losses tight.
Daily bearish pressure, 4h overbought, 1h/15m momentum weakening. Overall, this is a short-term rebound within a bearish trend, and the rebound momentum is fading, bringing pullback pressure. Chasing longs is risky; for shorts, wait for signs that the rebound is meeting

$BTC BTC: Take a small long position around 81800 tonight, and add to it at 80700 and 79800. Stop-loss at 79000. Open a small short position around 82700, and add to it at 84000 and 85500. Stop-loss at 86200.
#BTC走势分析
$ETH : Take a small long position around 2425 tonight, and add to it at 2380 and 2325. Stop-loss at 2300. Open a small short position around 2480, and add to it at 2525 and 2575. Stop-loss at 2600.
#ETH走势分析
Volatility always arrives once Friday night rolls around. Prices surged tonight, but have now come all the way back down. All four aggressive short positions from this after

I’ve seen $COIN survive many difficult periods before. I still think it’s forming an inverse H+S here