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MSCI’s Major Review! MSTR Reaches a Critical Juncture, $2.8 Billion in Passive Selling Pressure Hangs in the Balance

MSCI will announce its final November review list today. Under the new rules for “non-operating companies,” MSTR (formerly MicroStrategy) has been placed on the potential deletion list.
✅Timeline:
11.11 Final list announced
11.30 Index adjustment officially takes effect after market close
JPMorgan estimates that if the deletion is confirmed, passive funds tracking MSCI will be forced to sell approximately $2.8 billion worth of MSTR shares.

⚠️Key clarification:
Passive funds wo

Why Can a High-Win-Rate Trading Strategy Still Lose Money Over the Long Term?

Many traders like to pursue a high win rate.

A 70% win rate sounds pretty good.

An 80% win rate seems even better.

But one easily overlooked issue is this: if each loss is much larger than each gain, you can still end up losing money even if you’re right most of the time.

Win rate determines how many times you win, but it cannot, by itself, determine how much you ultimately make.

I. A Simple Mathematical Example

Suppose two strategies each make 100 trades.

Strategy A: High win rate, low reward-to-risk ratio

Why Does Trading More Frequently Make Profits Easier to Eat Away?

Some traders believe that continuously looking for opportunities will increase their chances of making a profit.

But in reality, every trade can incur new costs. The more trades you make, the more easily these costs accumulate.

Even a strategy that is fairly good at predicting market direction may ultimately fail to deliver the desired net returns if it trades too frequently.

I. Fees: Each One Seems Small, but They Can Add Up

Assume the combined cost of buying and selling for each trade is 0.10% of the trade's notional valu

How can you tell whether a trading strategy has a genuine statistical edge rather than making money by chance?

One of the easiest ways to misjudge things in the trading market is to treat making money as proof that a strategy works.

A string of winning trades could mean the strategy has an edge, or it could simply mean the market happened to be favorable to it.

So how can you tell the difference?

The key is not how much a few trades made, but whether the strategy has a repeatable positive expectancy after costs under sufficiently reasonable testing conditions.

I. First, understand what a

$BTC The next bull market may be closer than most people think.
The current market is gradually approaching that familiar phase,
and when we break down the real starting point of the previous bull market, we find:
the previous bull market did not take off directly from the bottom.
📍 November 2022: Fell to $15,479, forming the bear market bottom
📍 January 2023: Reclaimed $20,000
📍 February 2023: Rebounded to $25,270
📍 March 2023: Retested $19,569
📍 April 2023: Broke above $30,000 for the first time
📍 June and September 2023: Returned to consolidate around $25,000 twice
📍 October 2023: B

Why Might Holding 10 Cryptocurrencies Still Mean Taking on the Same Risk?

Many investors believe that as long as they don't put all their funds into Bitcoin, buying Ethereum, SOL, BNB, and other tokens will reduce their portfolio risk.

But there's an easily overlooked issue:

Having more assets does not mean risk is truly diversified. What matters is why these assets rise or fall, and how they behave under market stress.

I. Holding Different Coins Doesn't Mean Having Different Sources of Risk

Suppose you hold BTC, ETH, SOL, and several other crypto assets at the same time.

These assets re

Solana ruined crypto

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Both strategies are bearish and raking in profits—how is nobody watching such perfect strategies? 🥺

MSCI’s major review! MSTR reaches a critical juncture, with $2.8 billion in potential passive selling pressure hanging in the balance

MSCI will announce its final November review list today. Under new rules for “non-operating companies,” MSTR (formerly MicroStrategy) has been placed on the potential removal list.
✅Timeline:
11.11 Final list announced
11.30 Index adjustment officially takes effect after market close
JPMorgan estimates that if removal is confirmed, passive funds tracking MSCI will be forced to sell approximately $2.8 billion worth of MSTR shares.

⚠️Key clarification:
Passive f

$VVV did its biggest monthly burn yet on Monday, 21.7K tokens.
Valour also listed a VVV ETP in Sweden last week.
From last year's low it ran about 38x. Now it's pulling back to the May high near $20, old resistance that has to hold 🤝

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Can 20 consecutive winning trades prove that a trading strategy works?

Not necessarily.

Without knowing the number of trades, the distribution of losses, the risks taken, and whether the strategy was repeatedly fine-tuned, those 20 wins may not tell us much.

What really needs to be verified is not how much the strategy has made in the past, but whether it has an edge that can be repeated, explained, and tested.

I. Look at the sample size, not just the win rate

Suppose two strategies both have a 70% win rate.

Strategy A has completed only 20 trades, while Strategy B has completed 1,000.

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