What Is Trade Expectancy? Why Does It Better Reflect a Strategy’s Long-Term Profitability Than Win Rate Alone?

In cryptocurrency trading, a high win rate does not necessarily mean making money, and a low win rate does not necessarily mean losing money. What really matters is how much profit or loss each trade generates on average over time when you keep trading according to the same set of rules. This is the core meaning of trade expectancy.

First, what is trade expectancy?

Trade expectancy (EV) is a metric that combines win rate, average profit, and average loss to estimate the long-term a

#USOctoberPPIComingSoon BTC falls below $70k; can tonight’s 9:30 p.m. PPI print a long wick on the weekly candle?
Could the weekend bring a violent rebound? U.S. PPI tonight may be an important catalyst.
BTC has fallen to $69,199, down 6.02% in 24 hours, after hitting a low of $67,568—about 5.4% below its 200-day moving average of $73,137.
First, tonight at 9:30 p.m., the U.S. October PPI will be released. Here are four scenarios for the key data:
Strongly bullish: Headline ≤0.2%, core ≤0.2%. Inflation comes in clearly below expectations. If the dollar and Treasury yields also retreat, BTC cou

#ShareWeekly
#JensenHuangResigns
📊 **NVIDIA: SHORT-TERM PANIC OR LONG-TERM OPPORTUNITY?**

In my view, Jensen Huang’s resignation as NVIDIA CEO is a major surprise for the market. However, I wouldn’t immediately conclude that the company’s fundamentals are also weakening.

NVIDIA still holds an important position in the AI and semiconductor industries. Its biggest challenge now is maintaining investor confidence and ensuring a smooth leadership transition.

🔍 **My strategy:**
- Short term: Watch out for volatility and selling pressure on NVDA shares.
- Medium term: Monitor financial perfor

$AKE The project team is showing off now! No wonder this dog market maker even uses dog emojis—any little rebound is a 100% gain! Short sellers are really hurting

What is slippage? Why might the order price differ from the final execution price?

In cryptocurrency trading, sometimes you see a certain price, but by the time your order is filled, the price has changed. This phenomenon may be slippage. It may seem like a minor detail, but it can affect trading costs, stop-loss performance, and your final returns.

First, what is slippage?

Slippage is the difference between the expected execution price and the actual execution price. For example, you plan to buy a token at 100 USDT, but your order is ultimately filled at 101 USDT. This is unfavorable slipp

What Is a Liquidation Cascade? Why Can a Round of Forced Liquidations Amplify Short-Term Volatility in the Crypto Market?

In the crypto market, a rapid price drop can sometimes trigger the forced liquidation of more long positions. The resulting selling pressure may push prices down further, triggering another round of liquidations. This self-reinforcing process is a liquidation cascade.

First, how does a liquidation cascade form?

When losses on leveraged traders’ positions grow and their margin becomes insufficient, the trading platform may forcibly close their positions. If many positions

What Is Trendline Trading? How Can You Identify a Valid Trendline, and Why Might the Same Trendline Be Broken Repeatedly?

In cryptocurrency trading, a trendline is an intuitive technical analysis tool. By connecting a series of price highs or lows, traders can observe the market’s overall direction and look for potential entry and exit opportunities. But a trendline is not an impenetrable boundary. No matter how neatly it is drawn, it cannot guarantee that the price will move as expected.

First, what is trendline trading?

Trendline trading involves connecting significant price highs or lows

$PEPE ‌
The market structure has recently shifted from a sustained downtrend to a short-term consolidation and potential reversal phase. After a steep drop, the price bottomed out around the 0.000004294 level and has been forming a rounded base, pushing back up to the current price of 0.000004604. The K-line analysis shows a series of higher lows forming, and the price has successfully broken above the middle Bollinger Band (MB: 0.000004478), which is now acting as dynamic support. The Bollinger Bands are also beginning to narrow slightly, indicating a decrease in volatility and a potential s

The first target has been hit, around 68,700. The short position paid off smoothly, but I can't feel happy at all. From 73,000 to 67,449, one bearish candle after another. $BTC
How many people rushed in to buy the dip, thinking “it's fallen so much, it has to rebound now,”
and how many kept adding to their longs at 70,800, 70,000, and 69,000,
only to get wiped out near 68,000 in the end? When I posted the strategy, I wrote “don't blindly buy the dip.” $ETH
But I know that behind those four words are countless liquidation orders. The money made is real, but so is the money lost.
In trading, y

Scumbag Watch: BTC

Looking at the weekly chart, Bitcoin’s price reached the 200-week moving average today. Normally, this area should offer some support. Scumbag bought near 68,200 today.

🚨 CRYPTO MARKET IS GETTING HIT HARD.

Roughly $135 BILLION wiped from crypto’s market cap in 24 hours.

$1.62 BILLION in positions liquidated including $1.46 BILLION in longs.

$BTC : down 7.46%
$ETH : down 6.71%
$BNB : down 7.21%
$SOL : down 5.46%
$XRP : down 2.97%

#JensenHuangResigns
#USOctoberPPIComingSoon

Has it been listed on Ccmax? The data looks pretty good.

#BTCD #ALTCOIN
Bitcoin is falling, and dominance is falling too.
Friends, Bitcoin dominance bounced from 61.10 on Thursday and fell to 60.10 on Friday morning. It dropped below the rising support line in place since late September.
This means Bitcoin is falling, but altcoins are falling less than Bitcoin. On Friday morning, Bitcoin fell 3.6%, while Solana fell 1.8%, XRP fell 1.2%, and Pepe was in the green.
If the daily close comes below the line, the 58.19 level I marked on the chart will be the target. This means altcoins are strengthening against Bitcoin. It does not mean they are rising in

What Is Forced Liquidation? Why Can Even a Small Move in the Opposite Direction Put an Account at Risk of Liquidation?

In crypto derivatives trading, many traders focus on how much the price could rise while overlooking how much of a move in the opposite direction their account can withstand. When margin is insufficient to meet the exchange’s maintenance margin requirements, the platform may automatically close part or all of a position. This is forced liquidation.

First, why does forced liquidation happen?

After a position is opened, a move in the opposite direction causes unrealized losse

$ETH ETH has reached the starting point of its rise on 2026/8/18. Did you buy the dip, guys!👀#BTC跌4%

What is breakout trading? How can you tell whether a price breakout from a key level is likely to extend the trend rather than turn into a false breakout?

In the cryptocurrency market, when the price breaks above a major resistance level or falls below key support, it often attracts a lot of traders' attention. Some choose to enter in the direction of the trend, hoping to catch the start of a new trend; others suffer losses from chasing rallies and selling off in a false breakout. What really matters is not whether the price crosses a certain line, but whether the market provides further conf

$AKE Keep half, wait for 100x, 100x,