BTC Technical Analysis Report | June 19, 2025

1. Technical Analysis
The daily chart maintains a symmetrical triangle convergence pattern, currently in the 5th wave consolidation structure (ABCDE wave form). On June 18, the price effectively tested the trend support line and rebounded, confirming the resilience of the key support level, and the pattern has not broken.
2. Long and Short Directions
▶ Maintain Bullish Trend Strategy
• Core logic: The lower trendline of the triangle is firmly supported, and the convergence end has a complete accumulation structure.
• Momentum Confirmation: Need to break through the upper resistance to confirm direction choice.
3. Target Levels and Risk Control
Elements Price Range Time Window
Bullish target 109,000-109,500 5 trading days
Stop-loss zone 102,500-103,500 Immediate trigger
Risk-return ratio 1:3.5+
4. Position Management Recommendations
• Use a probing position building strategy, with the initial position accounting for 20% of the total position.
• Breaking through the upper trendline of the triangle (currently at 107,200) allows for the opportunity to increase positions.
• Strictly follow the 2% account risk principle (stop-loss space ≤ total funds 2%)
5. Key Observation Points
• Volume Change: A breakout needs to be accompanied by an increase in volume to 120%+ of the monthly average.
• Triangle Convergence Duration: Approximately 72 trading hours of pattern validity remaining.

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