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Today’s wick—most people only saw that he lost two trades. In fact, I checked his new chart, and the 0.236 level almost perfectly overlaps with the low.
He also laid out the latest trade: got two trades wrong, lost 2% on this one—it’s not showing off a win, but putting both losing trades on the table.
Below, he gave me two levels: see whether 81600 can produce a strong rebound; only if it can’t hold will it drop to 80550.
This is what I look for in people—admit the losses, redraw the chart, and firmly write down the next level.
80550 hasn’t been touched for three weeks, while 81600 is
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BTC-0.60%
Samsung Electronics reported preliminary third-quarter operating profit of 107.4 trillion won, or roughly $80.1 billion, an increase of 782.5% from the same period a year earlier. It is the first time any South Korean company has surpassed 100 trillion won in quarterly operating profit, and the fourth consecutive record quarter for the world's largest memory chipmaker. Revenue came in at approximately 195 trillion won, up 126.59% year over year. The profit figure exceeded earlier brokerage estimates of around 101.7 trillion won, but the stock still closed at its session low the following day.
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$SAMSUNG #SamsungQ3OperatingProfitSurges782.5%
Samsung Electronics reported a preliminary third-quarter operating profit of 107.4 trillion won, or roughly $80.1 billion, an increase of 782.5% from the same period a year earlier. It is the first time a South Korean company has surpassed 100 trillion won in quarterly operating profit, and the fourth consecutive record quarter for the world's largest memory chipmaker. Revenue for the July-to-September period came in at approximately 195 trillion won, up 126.59% year over year.
The driver behind the surge is memory. Demand for high-bandwidth memory and server DRAM has outpaced supply as data centers powering artificial intelligence expand. Samsung's HBM bit shipments jumped nearly 50% quarter over quarter, and HBM4 revenue more than tripled from the previous quarter. The company's HBM market share rose from 21% in the first quarter to 33% in the second quarter, and its HBM4 chips are set to supply Nvidia's Vera Rubin AI accelerator in the second half of 2026. Analysts at SK Securities estimate the operating margin for Samsung's memory division reached 76% in the third quarter, unchanged from the prior quarter and among the highest levels the business has recorded.
The earnings beat expectations. The consensus estimate compiled from brokerage reports was around 105.4 trillion won for operating profit, and the actual figure came in above that mark. Samsung Securities, Meritz Securities, and KB Securities have set target prices for the stock at 400,000 won, while Hanwha Investment & Securities and SK Securities have targets as high as 580,000 won and 610,000 won respectively. Analysts at Meritz noted that DRAM prices are likely to rise further next year, and KB Securities projected that Samsung's HBM average selling price will more than double year over year in 2027, with HBM4 rising from 40% of total HBM revenue this year to 80% next year.
The market's reaction, however, did not match the strength of the earnings. The KOSPI closed 2.62% lower at 6,625.93, and Samsung shares fell about 1.5% after initially rising at the opening. The decline was attributed to a combination of factors, including the end of Samsung's share buyback program, the expiry of options, and a rebalancing of semiconductor exchange-traded funds. Foreign and institutional selling pressure weighed on the index despite the record results. The divergence between the earnings report and the stock price reflects the fact that the market had already priced in strong results, and investors were focused on what comes next rather than what had already been delivered.
The full earnings report, including divisional breakdowns and a conference call with management, is scheduled for October 29. That release will provide more detail on the memory business, the foundry division, and the company's outlook for the fourth quarter and beyond. For now, the preliminary figures confirm that the memory cycle is still expanding, driven by demand that has not yet shown signs of slowing. The question going forward is whether that demand remains strong enough to sustain the current pace of earnings growth, or whether the market's cautious reaction reflects concerns about the durability of the cycle.
This article is not investment advice. Analysis is based on publicly available information and does not guarantee future outcomes.
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A stablecoin shows $1. That dollar is a claim on the issuer, and most holders reach it through the market. 🪙
Four things to check:
→ Reserves: what backs it, and where it's held
→ Reporting: how often, and who checks it
→ Redemption: who can redeem directly, at what minimum and fee
→ Version: the issuer's own token, or a bridged one
In March 2023, with redemptions paused over a weekend, USDC traded as low as 86 cents.
Fed note on that weekend:
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USDC+0.02%
September minutes lean hawkish, yet October hike odds have slipped below 20%. That divergence is now the core focus for risk assets, with Oct 14 CPI seen as the key trigger.
The tone of the September 16-17 meeting record was firm. All voters backed the 25bp hike, and 16 of 18 officials still see at least one more hike before year end to guard against sticky price pressure. The record stressed that policy should stay restrictive for longer and that upside risk to price growth remains. At the same time, senior officials signaled no rush for October, pointing to a likely hold in October and a liv
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Analyst Gu Jingci: 10.8 Bitcoin/Ethereum Evening Trading Strategy and Market Analysis
The short-position strategy for Bitcoin/Ethereum that has been repeatedly highlighted over the past two days has seen the market continue to fall to around 81700 and 2500. The overall trend is weak, with limited rebound momentum, and those who followed the strategy successfully captured substantial gains. Going forward, focus on the support around 81000 and 2460 below. If these levels are breached again, the market will retest the 78000 and 3350 levels below. The market is now near round-number levels, so the
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$MINA Third round, preparing to short again after the second round brought us substantial profits. I’m back now, ready for the third round. MINA has fallen sharply from the 0.15–0.17 range and is currently around 0.082. The daily trend is clearly under pressure, so I’m looking for the next downward move rather than chasing a rebound. Short entry: 0.082–0.086 Stop-loss: 0.094 Take-profit 1: 0.075 Take-profit 2: 0.068 Take-profit 3: 0.060 The key zone is 0.09–0.10. If sellers continue to suppress any rebound below this zone, I’ll remain bearish. The second round was profitable. The third round
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MINA-12.73%
#USGovernmentAddressesMove$670MInCryptoOver32Hours
US GOVERNMENT MOVES $670M IN CRYPTO: WHAT DOES IT REALLY MEAN FOR BITCOIN AND THE ENTIRE CRYPTO MARKET?
My Market View
A major crypto-wallet story is attracting attention: U.S.-government-linked addresses moved roughly $670 million in digital assets over a 32-hour period. The reported flow included 6,215.7 BTC worth about $520 million, 119 million USDT and 40,285 BNB worth roughly $31.63 million. About 5,382.1 BTC, valued near $448 million, was sent to Coinbase Prime in the latest major transfer. The key point, however, is simple: a wallet mo
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Why is everyone ignoring the signal buried inside SYMBOL right now?

$ADA /USDT - LONG

Trade Plan:
Entry: 0.2444 – 0.2460
SL: 0.2348
TP1: 0.2530
TP2: 0.2582
TP3: 0.2660

Why this setup?
Why now? The daily trend is range-bound, yet the 1h ATR at 0.003329 signals a compressed setup about to expand. The 15m RSI sits at 33.42, deep in oversold territory, hinting at exhaustion in the downtick. The entry zone between 0.2444 and 0.2460 aligns with the 1h price of 0.2452, offering a precise confluence point. TP1 at 0.2530 and TP2 at 0.2582 represent measured moves that respect the range structure.
ADA-3.01%
#FedSeptemberMinutesLeanHawkish September Minutes Lean Hawkish
The latest Federal Reserve meeting minutes are giving markets a clear signal that policymakers remain cautious about the inflation outlook. The September discussion showed that the path toward easier monetary policy may not be as straightforward as traders had hoped.
A hawkish tone from the Fed matters because interest rates remain one of the biggest forces influencing global markets. When policymakers emphasize inflation risks and show less urgency to cut rates, markets often have to adjust expectations for liquidity and future mo
BTC-0.44%
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Today, another day of steadily reaching the target and banking profits from the subscription signals. The short at 74 paid off twice this afternoon. Earlier, I told everyone on the livestream to go long around 06; it’s now nearly 30 points, profiting again! ✌️🥳#ETH
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eth update
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#每周来晒 #美联储9月纪要偏鹰 October rate hike? Most likely "dovish"—but the "tail risk" of an upside CPI surprise is not priced in
I. Will there be a rate hike in October? My view: Most likely not; the bar for "hiking in consecutive months" is too high
The logic is simple:
- September just saw a hike (3.75-4.00%, the first restart of rate hikes since 2023)—two consecutive monthly hikes would be an "extreme move" in Fed history, requiring data to show a "cliff-like deterioration"
- Nonfarm payrolls were only 29k, with unemployment at 4.2%—the labor market does not support consecutive rate hikes
- The mee
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ThisIsTranslateContent:
#每周来晒 #美联储9月纪要偏鹰 October hike? Most likely "dovish"—but no one is pricing the "tail risk" of CPI exceeding expectations
I. Will there be another hike in October? My view: most likely not—the bar for "making it two months in a row" is too high
The logic is simple:
- September just saw a hike (3.75-4.00%, the first resumption of hikes since 2023)—consecutive monthly hikes have been "extreme action" in the Fed's history, requiring a "cliff-like deterioration" in the data
- Payrolls were only 29,000 and the unemployment rate was 4.2%—the labor market does not support consecutive hikes
- The minutes said "most officials expect one more hike this year," but did not say "one more hike in October"—leaving room for maneuver
So, a CPI upside surprise → October odds jump from <20% to 30-40% → the market gets "nervous again"; but for an October hike to actually happen, we would need "hot CPI + another payrolls collapse + officials talking tough" all three together—the odds are still not high. CPI's role is not to "decide October," but to "determine the December and next year's path."

II. How will the CPI scenario play out? Two versions, opposite directions
Scenario A: CPI cools (core monthly increase ≤0.2%) → October is completely off the table, December odds also fall → Treasury yields decline and the dollar weakens → BTC rebounds to $85K+, while U.S. AI hardware stocks get a new lease on life. This is the bulls' scenario.
Scenario B: CPI exceeds expectations (monthly increase ≥0.3%) → October odds return to 30-40%, and December becomes "a done deal" → the 30-year Treasury yield surges back above 5.8%, the dollar continues strengthening → BTC tests $82K again, with $80K in sight if it breaks. This is the bears' scenario.

Oil prices returning above $100 (Brent) + the situation in the Middle East mean the probability of "sticky" inflation is not low—don't assume CPI will definitely cool.

III. Impact on crypto and U.S. stocks: BTC is waiting for judgment at $82K, while U.S. stocks struggle to survive in the "gap" under 5.7% Treasury yields
- Crypto: $82K is the courtroom—CPI cooling → hold and rebound; CPI surging → breakdown toward $80K. Today's $550 million in liquidations has already washed out leverage once; the direction depends entirely on the data
- U.S. stocks: 30-year Treasury yield at 5.72% (the highest since 2002) + dollar at 102—high-valuation assets are all under pressure. AI hardware (Micron rising 4% against the trend) has "earnings protection," but unless yields fall, any rebound is just "jumping the gun"
- Don't forget the linkage: Treasuries are the "pricing anchor" for global risk assets—if they don't turn back, neither crypto nor U.S. stocks can fly solo

IV. Has the market's expectations been "fully priced in"? The answer is: half and half
Already fully priced in: "no October hike"—with odds below 20%, traders have already lined up; "hawkish minutes"—BTC did not crash after the minutes were released (it was hit by Treasuries + the dollar, not by the minutes).
Not fully priced in: the tail risk of "CPI exceeding expectations"—the market currently assumes that "CPI will cool and December is the real focus"; if 10/14 proves that wrong, it will be a "double whammy": higher rate expectations + Treasuries making new highs.
This is the real "asymmetry": downside risk is even less priced in than upside risk.

An October hike will most likely be a "false alarm," but a CPI upside surprise would be a "real landmine"—the market has heavily priced in "no hike" but not enough "blowout" risk. Don't take a heavy position before CPI; after CPI, use $82K to determine the direction.
This week's market is like the night before an exam—everyone knows there will be a "test" (CPI), but no one knows "how difficult the questions will be." Don't guess the questions; wait for the paper. $82K is the "passing line": if it breaks, hand in the paper and leave; if it holds, wait for the results.

Are you waiting for CPI or have you already taken a side with your position? Let's discuss in the comments 👇
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Eshu Live_Over all crypto market updates
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Which #memecoin is a must hold for 2027?
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#USGovernmentAddressesMove$670MInCryptoOver32Hours US Government Addresses Move $670M in Crypto Over 32 Hours
A major on-chain development is drawing attention across the crypto market as the US government addresses the movement of approximately $670 million worth of cryptocurrency over a 32 hour period.
Large government-linked wallet activity always deserves attention because the market tends to react not only to the size of a transaction, but also to the destination, timing, and potential purpose behind the movement. When hundreds of millions of dollars move on-chain, traders naturally begin
BTC-0.44%
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#RobinhoodAdds$25MBitcoinToBalanceSheet
ROBINHOOD JUST PUT ITS OWN MONEY INTO BITCOIN
Robinhood has added approximately $25 million worth of Bitcoin to its corporate balance sheet, creating a notable shift in how one of the biggest retail-focused financial platforms is approaching crypto.
The amount itself is not large relative to Robinhood's overall scale. Its market capitalization is around $100 billion, making the $25 million BTC allocation relatively small. Robinhood's crypto chief Johann Kerbrat described the purchase primarily as a way to align the company more closely with Bitcoin and t
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Greed remains, so why has $SUI
fallen to the lower Bollinger Band?
The answer lies in sector rotation amid broader market correlation: the Fear and Greed Index remains in the greed zone at 64, but funds are clearly moving from major public chains to small-cap narratives, with $JTO ’s 10.48% rise against the trend serving as evidence. $SUI is currently at 1.0955, down 2.60% over 24h, and has fallen below the lower Bollinger Band at 1.10142. MA5=1.11366 has crossed below MA20=1.1239, forming a short-term bearish alignment. The MACD histogram remains negative at -0.001933, while RSI=33.0 is app
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#KoreanStockMarket: AI Boom Meets Investor Caution
South Korea’s stock market remains one of the most closely watched markets in Asia, with the KOSPI heavily influenced by the technology and semiconductor sectors. On October 8, the KOSPI fell 2.62% to 6,625.93, as foreign and institutional investors increased selling pressure.
The major focus remains on semiconductor giants Samsung Electronics and SK hynix, which have benefited enormously from surging global demand for AI infrastructure and high-bandwidth memory (HBM). Samsung recently projected a record 107.4 trillion won in Q3 operating pro
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The Federal Reserve released the minutes of its September 15–16 meeting on October 7, and the document carried a message that the market has spent the days since trying to interpret. The headline is straightforward: all 19 officials supported the quarter-point increase that took the federal funds rate to 3.75%–4.00%, the first hike since 2023. Most participants believed another increase by year-end could be appropriate. Yet the market's reaction since the release suggests that investors are not treating the minutes as a signal that a move is imminent.
The distinction between "by year-end" and
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GateSquare
🏦 The Fed’s September minutes were hawkish, but could it hold steady in October?
The Fed’s latest meeting minutes sent a clear signal: Most officials believe one more rate hike may still be needed this year, but the market does not seem to be in a hurry.
📊 The probability of an October rate hike is below 20%, with traders more inclined to expect a pause in October and another hike in December.
The real test is still ahead—U.S. CPI is due to be released on October 14.
Can inflation continue to cool? Will a stronger U.S. dollar and higher Treasury yields further pressure BTC and other risk assets?
Bring #美联储9月纪要偏鹰 to Gate Square to discuss your rate expectations, BTC outlook, and trading strategies.
👉 https://www.gate.com/post
NAS100-0.53%
USDJPY+0.09%
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