gm frens 💙
Happy Friday 😊

Accepting normal volatility is the only way to have a chance of riding out the cycle 🫡
The worst is passing. As I said before, after the U.S. midterm elections, the time it took Bitcoin to bottom and start moving up again was:
◾️2014: Bottomed 71 days later, then started rising
◾️ 2018: Bottomed 39 days later, then started rising
◾️ 2022: Bottomed 13 days later, then started rising
Yesterday, Bitcoin surged from 77k to 81k, and today it fell back to around 75k. Technically, this is completely normal—nothing out of the ordinary. If I were a market manipulator, I’d at least push it down to arou

The owner is going to abandon the puppy, right? Then add to your positions $INTC $Google $bnb and use time to make room over the long arc of history.
Tech stocks and BTC plunged last night, and several major tech-stock funds were liquidated one after another. This round of deleveraging was thorough.
The market believes the plunge was caused by the Democrats' AI regulatory proposal, which carries a maximum penalty of 20 years in prison for violations. AI development is a major trend, and the Democrats will ultimately continue to support it. News like this is more of a smokescreen for delever

How Much Can One Trade Actually Lose? Don’t Choose Leverage First—Calculate Your Risk Budget

When opening a position, many traders’ first thoughts are:

Will BTC go up or down?
How much leverage should I use this time?
How much should I buy?

But there’s a more important question that often gets left until last:

If I’m wrong about this trade, how much can I afford to lose at most?

Once you get the order backward, position size can easily be influenced by emotion. The more confident the market looks, the more money you put in; after consecutive losses, you rush to increase your position to w

What Is Arbitrage Trading? Why Don’t Price Differences for the Same Crypto Asset Across Markets Necessarily Mean Risk-Free Profit?

In the cryptocurrency market, the same asset may have different quotes on different exchanges, and price gaps may also exist between spot and futures markets. Arbitrage trading seeks to profit from these differences, but in practice, fees, slippage, transfer delays, and market volatility can all erase seemingly certain profits.

First, what is arbitrage trading?

Arbitrage trading is a strategy that seeks to profit from price differences between different markets,

#Banknifty
Almost a month old chart
Personally i wanted a LL to go little lower
Nevertheless, the up move came as expected 🤝

Samsung Wallet Adds USDC on Solana as Stablecoins Go Mainstream
Samsung Wallet is putting digital dollars in the same app where users already keep their credit cards and boarding passes.
Stablecoin accounts went live on Thursday for eligible U.S. Galaxy users, letting them buy, hold, send, and receive Circle’s USDC on the Solana blockchain without downloading a separate crypto app or managing private keys. The feature reaches about 82 million compatible Galaxy devices in the U.S., according to the announcement.
⚠️ Personal market analysis only. NFA — manage risk and DYOR.
Educational content,

I just read an article. According to traditional Kondratiev wave cycles, we should now be at the tipping point between “autumn” and “winter,” on the verge of a major reckoning for excessive debt and financialization.
The next five years can be divided into 4 phases—
1. False dawn and bubble burst (second half of 2026)
The debt wall effect emerges, and corporate default rates rise. At the same time, data on returns from AI capital expenditures disappoint the market.
2. Geopolitical shock and surging inflation (all of 2027)
A naval blockade or an extremely tense military standoff could occur, di

Things have felt great these past few days; everyone’s been making gains, guys.

This path, winding along the mountainside, calls to me—further on, deeper in. 🏔️

What Is Statistical Arbitrage? How Can Historical Relationships Between Assets Reveal Trading Opportunities, and Why Might Historical Correlations Suddenly Break Down?

In the crypto market, some assets have long displayed similar price movements. When their historical relationship temporarily deviates, traders may try to use that divergence to identify opportunities. This is the basic idea behind statistical arbitrage, but historical patterns are no guarantee of future repetition.

First, what is statistical arbitrage?

Statistical arbitrage is a type of trading strategy that uses historical

A loud bang has sounded on Wall Street, where a real-life "Battle Royale" is unfolding among hedge funds.
First, take a look at these alarming figures:
**Walleye Capital, a $17 billion fund, couldn't hold on.** The multi-strategy hedge fund has cut its core long-short equity team, returned capital to investors, and begun restructuring. It lost 5.9% in October alone, its worst performance since March 2020—remember, that was the month of U.S. stock market circuit breakers.
**Even more striking are the figures disclosed by Goldman Sachs: Hedge funds net sold about $20 billion in tech stocks over

BTC falls below $76k: How can quants identify the next market regime shift?
The Nasdaq plunged 5.5%, and BTC fell below $76k! Last night’s sell-off: many people only understood half of what happened. The market was quite interesting last night. After the results of the U.S. midterm elections were announced on Wednesday, U.S. stocks surged for a time, and BTC climbed back toward $80k. But on Thursday, the market suddenly reversed. The Nasdaq plunged 5.5%, the S&P 500 fell 4.4%, and the Dow dropped more than 1,800 points. Chip and AI-related stocks faced concentrated selling. BTC couldn’t hold u

$BTC
My hedge short setup
And levels I'm interested in looking for longs:
Deviation/SFP of upper green line = long
0.5 fib - bounce or deviations = long... Least favorite, 0.5 Fibs usually bring chop
Deviation/SFP of lower green line = long
NOTE: SFP's can get SFP'd

Three locations, a killing spree, and 8 lives gone just like that—what kind of lunatic is this!
In Afyonkarahisar Province, Turkey, an armed attack spanned three locations, leaving 8 dead and 1 seriously injured; the governor’s office statement laid out the figures clearly
The suspect was arrested by police in neighboring Eskişehir Province, meaning the person fled after the killings and was only caught after a cross-province manhunt
What’s infuriating is that the motive still hasn’t been disclosed. Eight people are dead, and not a word about why. Hearing “a judicial investigation is underway”

#DemocratsWinBothChambers
Democratic Control of Both US Congress Chambers: Political, Economic, and Market Analysis
The Democratic Party has secured majorities in both the House of Representatives and the Senate following the 2026 midterm elections. This shifts the balance of power in Washington for the final two years of the current presidential term, creating a period of divided government. The House of Representatives is the lower chamber of Congress, where all 435 seats were contested. The Senate is the upper chamber, with roughly one-third of its 100 seats up for election. Democrats fli

$BTC ‌ BTC’s fakeout the day before yesterday, followed by yesterday’s 5,000-point plunge—how many people did it lure in? Actually, BTC has held up pretty well; US stocks are shitting themselves😅. The daily chart is currently in a short-term weak bottoming phase, with conflicting mid-term signals. Price has just experienced a sharp drop, falling below several short-term moving averages, but is now approaching a key long-term moving average support zone. The price has returned to around $75,000. Liquidity is certainly most abundant below $75,000, but you can go long as long as it hasn’t broke