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10/29 Intraday Levels Update! Follow for ongoing updates
‍#BTC / #ETH / #黄金 / U.S. stocks #SNDK
Overall strategy: Favor shorting at highs, with selective longs at lows; patiently wait for the next round of selling.
The short-term rebound after the rate decision has not changed my main view. Continue looking for short opportunities above; there is still room to fall below, so there is no rush to go in heavily on bottom-fishing.
Pay close attention to the market window from Friday through the weekend. I lean toward another accelerated move lower; wait for panic to subside and for support to emer
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BTC-0.67%
ETH-1.26%
SNDK+7.68%
MU+5.68%
Yuxuan Tan, head of rates and FX strategy at JPMorgan Private Bank, said gold faces downside risks due to low liquidity and the potential for interest rate hikes. The Federal Reserve is expected to raise rates in December and in the first quarter of 2027, pushing 10-year U.S. Treasury yields to a peak of 5.25% to 5.5% by midyear. Despite weakness in the gold market, its appeal as a hedge could lead prices to rise next year.
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The Fed just held rates at 3.75% to 4.00%.
Bitcoin's reaction:
Popped above $81K on the news.
Gave it all back within minutes.
Now sitting around $80.2K.
But two things caught my eye:
Two Fed governors voted for a HIKE.
So the next move isn't a cut. It's either a pause or another hike.
And right before the decision, nearly 15,000 BTC got pulled off exchanges.
That's over $1.2 billion moving into private wallets.
People don't withdraw coins they plan to sell.
Still not done this week:
Today: PCE inflation data
Tomorrow: $11B in Bitcoin options expire
$79K is the floor.
$82K is where things get
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BTC-0.67%
Waller warns that AI stocks aren’t immune to rate hikes! High-rate pressures are becoming apparent—
live-cover
LIVE2,102
$BTC Price dumped into our bottom pivot window (28-30th),
It didn't went for the sweep of the mFVG (75k) following our last fractal and is now starting to form bottom like structure here,
Considering it, I think we have already got the flush in the last pullback (to 75k),
This is still an idea for now but looking at the time pivot and the current market structure.
It looks like we have formed our purple dot and now it's time to hunt the cluster of liquidity above 88k and form the green dot there.
I am swing long from 80.1k and will be adding some alts if we get any pullback (SOL, ETH, HYPE)
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BTC-0.67%
Anyone still stuck in a position is dreading another month of waiting—but Shu Qin, the person on my list, has set two levels firmly: long at 78500 and short at 82500. He won’t act unless either level is reached.
The current price of 79900 is stuck in the middle, and he won’t chase either side. He also made one thing clear upfront: if neither level is reached, he’ll stay out. He won’t guess the direction himself.
I checked this month’s daily candles: 78500 hasn’t appeared even once, while the price was above 82500 for 22 days. These orders aren’t bets; they simply lock in prices for both direct
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What Is a Classification Threshold? Why Can Changing a Probability Threshold Alter an Entire Trading Strategy’s Returns and Risks?
In crypto quantitative trading, a machine learning model may predict a 65% probability that BTC will rise in the next period. But should a trader buy immediately? The answer depends on the classification threshold set by the strategy. A classification threshold is the cutoff that converts a model’s probability output into an actual trading signal. It affects the number of signals, the rate of false predictions, and the final trading results.
First, what is a classi
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BTC-0.67%
🔥 What are we talking about today? Trending topics on Gate Square have been updated!
🔹 #FedKeepsRatesOnHold
Rates remain unchanged, but two officials supported a rate hike. Will $BTC be more sensitive to inflation data or Fed policy signals going forward?
🔹 #GoogleCloudGrows103%ButStockFallsNearly10%
AI and cloud businesses continue to grow rapidly, but profits are under pressure. What matters more to the market now: growth or profitability?
🔹 #GateRanksNo2In24HourNetInflows
Gate saw approximately $57.97 million in net inflows over the past 24 hours, ranking second among global CEXs. Can
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GateSquare
🔥 What are we talking about today? Trending topics on Gate Square have been updated!
🔹 #FedKeepsRatesOnHold
Rates remain unchanged, but two officials supported a rate hike. Will $BTC be more sensitive to inflation data or Fed policy signals going forward?
🔹 #GoogleCloudGrows103%ButStockFallsNearly10%
AI and cloud businesses continue to grow rapidly, but profits are under pressure. What matters more to the market now: growth or profitability?
🔹 #GateRanksNo2In24HourNetInflows
Gate saw approximately $57.97 million in net inflows over the past 24 hours, ranking second among global CEXs. Can sustained inflows further boost trading activity?
Quality content can receive traffic support + featured recommendations.
💰 Got an opinion? Join the discussion:
https://www.gate.com/post/topic
repost-content-media
BTC-0.67%
Successfully bought the dip and made a small profit
#晒出我的持仓收益
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October 29, 2026 (Thursday) BTC Futures Analysis and Strategy (Updated, as of approximately 21:04 PDT / corresponding HKT)
Current Market Overview
BTC is currently trading around $79,800–$81,300, with 24-hour fluctuations of approximately ±1–2%. After Thursday's open, the price pulled back from around yesterday's $81,000 level and is now testing the $80,000 mark, with short-term trading still near most short- and medium-term moving averages.
After a sustained pullback from around the previous $84,500 level, the short-term structure is weak. Expectations surrounding the Federal Reserve meeting
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BTC-0.65%
10.28 BTC Strategy Review
Yesterday’s 81300-81700 range was hit precisely, then the market dumped, perfectly reaching the first target. The bulls weren’t having it, though, and the rebound dragged the price right back into our planned zone.
When opportunity knocks, there’s no reason not to take it. We entered with controlled orders for the second wave, and this time put the pedal to the metal, driving the price down to a low of 79666.9, right up against the second target of 79600.
Same playbook, same entry zone, harvested twice in a row.
With the zone laid out this clearly, if you couldn’t tak
BTC-0.65%
10.29 Gold Analysis
The current market is exhibiting a typical converging triangle consolidation pattern. The Bollinger Bands continue to narrow, and the middle band has flattened, signaling that short-term volatility has been significantly compressed and the market is building momentum. The candlestick pattern shows that after rising to 4088, price formed a long upper wick, followed by a large bearish candle with an engulfing pattern. It then fell to a low of 4033 and entered a weak consolidation. Notably, volume surged during the sharp drop but has now contracted to extremely low levels, sho
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BTC-0.67%
If you don’t understand, ask: What kind of future lies ahead for these people?
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Some high Ordinal sales happening today
0.47 BTC ($38.000,-)
Red Eye OMB @OrdinalMaxiBiz
0.40 BTC ($32.000,-)
Blue Eye OMB
0.10 BTC ($8.000,-) Green Eye OMB
0.15 BTC ($12.000,-)
Golden @nodemonkes
0.15 BTC ($12.000,-)
Golden NodeMonkes
Nothing beats art on Bitcoin
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BTC-0.67%
Bitcoin let up, and there was hope $BTC ‌
studehoff
Bitcoin is holding around $81,000 again, while the market awaits the Fed’s rate decision—which could set the direction for the coming days. After two weeks of outflows, U.S. Bitcoin ETFs returned to inflows, attracting around $301 million in a day, signaling renewed interest from institutional investors.[gncrypto +1]
At the same time, institutional tokenization is gaining momentum: DTCC launched a service to bring securities onto the blockchain, with JPMorgan, Citi, and Morgan Stanley participating. This is not about a “quick pump,” but about long-term infrastructure—major financial institutions are increasingly testing blockchain for real markets.[coindesk]
Bottom line: in the short term, macro factors and BTC’s reaction to the $80,000–$81,000 levels will decide everything; strategically, the focus is on tokenization, stablecoins, and ETF inflows. Not financial advice.
BTC-0.67%
Same gold, different prices.
On October 27, @Tether’s XAUT traded at a 0.16% discount to spot gold, while @Paxos’ PAXG traded at a 0.05% premium.
That’s a 0.21 percentage-point gap between two tokens backed by the same commodity.
Their market values also differ considerably:
→ XAUT: $2.97B
→ PAXG: $1.77B
PAXG offers monthly reserve attestations and direct redemption fees starting at 0.125%. XAUT provides quarterly attestations and charges 0.25% for direct redemption.
But for retail holders who aren’t redeeming physical bullion, execution price and secondary-market liquidity could outweigh thos
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XAUT+0.30%
PAXG+0.37%
**$GRASS /USDT Perp – "Extended Downtrend – Short"**
Trading Plan Short $GRASS
Entry: 0.6600
SL: 0.6672
TP1: 0.6361
TP2: 0.6298
GRASS is down -13.58% and in a downtrend from the 0.7542 high. MACD is negative; targeting the 0.6361 low.
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GRASS+1.38%
A friend sends you a screenshot of a strategy: “Using this method over the past year, the returns look great!” You look closely and realize it says “backtest.”
A backtest applies a set of trading rules to past market data to see what would have happened if you had followed them at the time. It can help test an idea, but it’s not the same as realized returns from live trading.
It’s a bit like taking exams from previous years. Doing well is certainly useful as a reference, but if you keep revising your approach by looking at the answers, getting a high score in the end doesn’t mean you’ll do jus
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Chinese version of Detective Conan:
Part 1: Standing in the Light
Part 2: Optical Module Murder Case
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