Yang Guang Bit | October 17 $BTC — Oil prices surge as tech stocks plunge; favor shorting rallies in line with the trend
【Today's Plan】
Entry: Place short positions on a rebound into the 81,800–82,000 range
Stop-loss: Above 82,300
Take-profit targets:
First target: 81,200–81,000
Second target: 80,800–80,500
【Key Takeaways】
BTC turned lower from last night's rebound high of 82,900, pressured by a surge in international oil prices and a sharp drop in U.S. tech stocks. It fell below 81,000 late at night and is currently trading around 81,520. The 4-hour moving averages are fully aligned bearishly, with price below all of them; the weak trend remains intact. On the news front, Trump said Iran's nuclear facilities could be targeted, while the U.S. and Israel held secret talks on strike plans; Brent crude surged to $110, stoking risk aversion. Fed Chair Warsh said he would not prejudge the rate decision, and expectations of an October rate hike fell below 15%. ETF net outflows on the on-chain CPI day exceeded 3,100 BTC, as institutional capital remained cautious. Weekend liquidity is thin. The intraday plan is to favor shorting rallies, with light short-term longs at support; avoid chasing one-way moves and stay aligned with the trend throughout. No trend-driven crash is expected.
$BTC #比特币短线站上8.2万美元
【Today's Plan】
Entry: Place short positions on a rebound into the 81,800–82,000 range
Stop-loss: Above 82,300
Take-profit targets:
First target: 81,200–81,000
Second target: 80,800–80,500
【Key Takeaways】
BTC turned lower from last night's rebound high of 82,900, pressured by a surge in international oil prices and a sharp drop in U.S. tech stocks. It fell below 81,000 late at night and is currently trading around 81,520. The 4-hour moving averages are fully aligned bearishly, with price below all of them; the weak trend remains intact. On the news front, Trump said Iran's nuclear facilities could be targeted, while the U.S. and Israel held secret talks on strike plans; Brent crude surged to $110, stoking risk aversion. Fed Chair Warsh said he would not prejudge the rate decision, and expectations of an October rate hike fell below 15%. ETF net outflows on the on-chain CPI day exceeded 3,100 BTC, as institutional capital remained cautious. Weekend liquidity is thin. The intraday plan is to favor shorting rallies, with light short-term longs at support; avoid chasing one-way moves and stay aligned with the trend throughout. No trend-driven crash is expected.
$BTC #比特币短线站上8.2万美元
