A Brief Analysis of BTC Short-Term Trends from Dow Theory, Chan Theory, Elliott Wave Theory, Volume-Price Relationships, Order Flow, and Price Action
I. Dow Theory
Primary trend (1-hour timeframe): The primary downtrend from the historical high of 82,814 on May 6 was confirmed to have reversed in mid-August. The price began a strong rebound from the August 14 low of 62,488. After forming a secondary bottom at 63,979 at 03:00 on August 18, the bulls launched an epic rally. BTC surged from 63,979 to the August 28 high of 81,346.95, a new stage high, for a cumulative gain of 17,368 points (approx

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What truly determines trade quality is not the rise or fall itself, but the position. Before opening this trade, I first confirmed that the range structure was still intact. Only after the upper boundary had been tested repeatedly did I assess whether it could be treated as a breakout.
The price-volume coordination during the final breakout of the range’s upper boundary was relatively clean, and the pullback did not fall back inside the range. I entered after confirming the key level around 0.01136. The position was not filled all at once, leaving room to add.
The price has now reached 0.01166

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In September, prevailing market expectations suggest Ethereum could reach the $2,600 level; there is some probability of challenging the $2,700 high, while the downside risk of falling back to $2,300 should not be ignored, as the market has not entered a one-way trend.

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After the massive rise since yesterday and profits have been secured, it is now time to go short with a target at the 0.382 Fibonacci level.

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$SOL — Key Levels I’m Watching 👀
Solana is currently defending the $98 support zone, and this is the level I’m watching most closely.
As long as SOL continues to hold above $98, the broader bullish structure still has room to develop. A strong defense here would show that buyers are willing to step in on weakness and prevent a deeper correction.
On the upside, $147 is the key resistance.
A clean breakout above $147, ideally confirmed with strong volume and a daily close, could mark a meaningful shift in momentum and open the door toward higher levels.
For now, the setup is simple:
🔹 $98 — M

Yesterday’s surge once again forced many traders stuck in losing positions into the most uncomfortable situation.
Selling feels too painful.
Holding makes you anxious.
Adding to the position makes you worry it will keep falling.
I’ve been in this industry for nearly 10 years and have seen far too many situations like this.
That’s why I’d rather first help you reassess the current trend, price position, and position size.
Get a clear view of the path ahead before deciding which way to go. bitcoin:native #ETH # Get out of the trapped position.

Early-morning outlook✅
Overnight, affected by jobless claims, the morning ushered in sideways consolidation.
Keep up with the pace—this move once again securely locked in 21 points of profit!$XAUT

[ $APR Signal] Long continuation + 1H/4H momentum resonance
$APR RSI 4H 71.24, 1H 61.91, funding rate 0.0164%, with no extreme reading. Order book imbalance is 2.98%, with buyers slightly dominant. The MACD 4H histogram remains positive at 0.0079 but is shrinking, while the 1H histogram at 0.0024 is also weakening. Price is currently at 0.2625, above the 4H Bollinger middle band, with short-term support at 0.2607.
🎯 Direction: Long
⚡ Entry/limit order: 0.262012 - 0.262800
🛑 Stop-loss: 0.260172
🚀 Target 1: 0.266742
🚀 Target 2: 0.268713
🛡️Trade management:
- Execution strategy: After reac

I originally just wanted to freeload a breakfast, but the market ended up serving me six months’ worth of dumplings. I opened the chart this morning, and with this kind of move, I didn’t even need to think—the account was dancing on its own. I had my eye on it when funds quietly entered earlier, and I knew this move was not going to be that simple. I held from 76872.9 all the way to 80851.4, with a position return of +900.05%. That was a satisfying piece of meat. The sleepless nights were worth it—those already on board should have woken up laughing.

The market is waited out, and profits are

$XAUT 4487 encountered resistance nearby; we followed the trend and caught 14 points on the way down. When the market rhythm is right and opportunity arrives, even luck can’t be stopped!

☀️ GM! Yesterday, we were still waiting at the crossroads.
Today, BTC is already on the move.
BTC is back above $81K,
and ETH has climbed back to around $2.5K too.
But don’t forget —
we still have NFP to get through tonight.
Yesterday: 🟡 Wait a little longer
Today: 🟢 Time to run?
👇 Are you already on board, or are you waiting for tonight’s data?
💬 Head to Gate Square and see what everyone’s watching today:
https://www.gate.com/post

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Bad-Boy Watch Issue 1 update, 26.9.04 (UTC+8) 11:30
Figure 1: SNDK daily candlestick chart
SanDisk closed at 1554.99, with an intraday high of 1576.80 and a low of 1511, up 0.10%
SanDisk is currently oscillating within the 1450–1580 range, so our strategy is simply to wait for a breakout direction.
Figure 2: ETH daily candlestick chart
Ethereum has once again risen above the upper boundary of the range with a large bullish candle, so our next target is around 2600, at the annual moving average.