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Article
What Is Trading Expectancy? How Can You Tell Whether a Strategy Actually Has an Edge Over the Long Term?

In cryptocurrency trading, some people review their win rate every day and look for better entry points, but overlook a more fundamental question: If you repeatedly trade according to the same rules, how much can each trade earn or lose on average over the long term?

That is the question trading expectancy aims to answer.

First, what is trading expectancy?

Trading expectancy refers to the theoretical average return per trade under a given strategy and set of statistical conditions. It a
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11.7 BTC Public Trading Plan
[Short Trade Idea] $BTC
　　Entry range: around 764-768
　　Stop-loss level: 774
Take-profit tiers
　　First target: 758
　　Second target: 748

Trading factors: Last night’s low was 74810.8. The Bollinger Bands are opening downward, and after a MACD golden cross signal, the price failed to stabilize, extending the bottom-range-bound market. Market depth observations show the long side has a comprehensive advantage.

Trading recommendation: The weekend market is bottom-range-bound, and the probability of a rally tomorrow evening is relatively high. Focus on range
BTC-0.65%
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C5xp...pump
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Diamond
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5VCE...pump
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GM
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DOGE
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#美股史诗级抛售 #每周来晒 #Gate股票畅聊季 How should we view the sharp drop in U.S. stocks?

On November 5, U.S. time, the S&P 500, Nasdaq, and Dow Jones fell 4.4%, 5.5%, and 3.4%, respectively, each posting its biggest single-day decline since the tariff shock in April 2025. AI-linked stocks led the losses: the Nasdaq 100 fell more than 6%, and the Philadelphia Semiconductor Index plunged about 12%, both marking their biggest single-day declines since March 2020.
How should we view the sharp drop in U.S. stocks and what comes next? Here are some brief thoughts:

I. Characteristics of this sell-off: sharp los
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Institutions fleeing? BTC ETFs saw $870 million in outflows in one week—should Bitcoin be worried this time?

Bitcoin has been having a rough time lately. It had been counting on Wall Street institutions to bring real money into the market, but instead, funds have kept flowing out. U.S. spot BTC ETFs saw nearly $870 million in cumulative net outflows this week, and institutional investors seem to have suddenly turned cautious.
What signal does this send? Are institutions starting to lose confidence in Bitcoin?
Don’t rush to declare a bear market. ETF outflows don’t mean all institutions are se
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Bitcoin Open Interest Rises Despite Market Selloff

Bitcoin’s derivatives market is showing an interesting trend. According to Glassnode, BTC open interest increased by nearly $1.5 billion during the recent price decline.

This suggests traders are opening new leveraged positions even as market prices move lower.

Rising open interest during a selloff can increase market volatility, especially if leveraged positions face liquidation.

However, open interest alone does not reveal whether traders are positioning for a rebound or further downside.

The next move in BTC will be important to watch
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BTC-0.67%
Bitcoin: The next levels to watch are 73,000 and 73,000. If 73,000 breaks, 69,000 basically won't hold. If 73,000 breaks, I see 40,000 as a possibility. There is a chance it could bounce straight back up from 69,000, but that chance isn't very high. 69,000 is the absolute limit. If 73,000 breaks on heavy volume, it's basically game over. If it wicks down at this level and then goes back up, that would be the bottom. Normally, if we're going to see a bullish trend, 73,000 won't break. If 73,000 breaks, there's an 80% chance this rally is over, and then we're looking at 40,000.#非农就业数据推升加息预期 The
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BTC-0.65%
【No market action this weekend? Head into nature to “cash out” and unwind】 🌿☀️
The weekend market is moving sideways like a straight line, volatility has gone flat, and even the candlesticks can’t be bothered to move. Since the market isn’t offering any opportunities, go ahead and close your trading app. Head out for a stroll in the park and some fresh air.
Looking at people camping and picnicking on the grass, the shadows of trees by the lake, and the blue sky and white clouds, it suddenly hits you: trading isn’t all there is to life. Knowing when to step away and enjoy life is the real “hig
📊 ANKE AI — An AI-assisted charting platform for traders

Trading shouldn’t require spending so much time writing indicators and debugging code.

ANKE AI aims to lower the barrier to developing indicators and strategies, allowing traders to describe their trading ideas in natural language and use AI to generate indicators and standalone strategy code.

From trading charts to strategy development, technical tools are brought closer to traders’ real-world needs.

Make it easier to turn ideas into strategies and simplify strategy development.
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U Sister 11.7 Weekend BTC $BTC Strategy

Current market: After a sharp drop, the market has entered a low-level sideways range. The 1-hour moving averages are tangled, with short-term bulls and bears battling and no clear one-way direction. This is a post-drop recovery and bottoming phase, with shrinking volume and a weak rebound.

Short entry: Go short if price stalls in the 76200-76500 range
Stop-loss: Above 76850
Targets: 75400-74900

Go long if price pulls back to 74800-75000 and holds firm
Stop-loss: Below 74500
Targets: 75800-76200

Selling pressure from the earlier sharp drop has not b
BTC-0.65%
#10月非农数据聚焦 #BTCETH #WCTCS9

BTC contract trading strategy (latest reference price: around 76100)

BTC long at lower levels
Entry range: 75050～74750
Take-profit reference: 76500～77500
Stop-loss reference: 74300

BTC short at higher levels
Entry range: 77160～77460
Take-profit reference: 76400～75000
Stop-loss reference: 77860

ETH contract trading strategy (latest reference price: around 2240)
ETH long at lower levels
Entry range: 2205～2185
Take-profit reference: 2250～2305
Stop-loss reference: 2145

ETH short at higher levels
Entry range: 2305～2325
Take-profit reference: 2240～2185
Stop-loss
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$MITO is performing impressively, up as much as 18.82%! A strong breakout has pushed the price close to $0.0080. If buyers break through $0.00809, a new rally may be ahead! Entry: $0.00770 – $0.00785Target: $0.00810 / $0.00835 / $0.00860Stop-loss: $0.00735
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Justin Sun predicts that building muscle will be more valuable than holding gold over the next 10 years

Justin Sun must have been shocked by Zhang Jike, huh?
He keeps talking about building lean muscle every day,
thinking he’s rich and talented, but Jing Tian still doesn’t love him.
Justin Sun, you’re so good at making predictions—
why didn’t you predict back then that Jing Tian would break up with you? 🤔
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Democrats Won the Election, and AI Hardware Crashed First—How Did Politics Become a “Nuclear Bomb” for Chip Stocks?

A lot of people still don’t get it: What do the midterm elections have to do with Nvidia and AMD? A lot.

The valuation of the AI hardware supply chain is essentially built on the assumption of “unlimited capital expenditure expansion.” Microsoft, Amazon, Google, and Meta spend hundreds of billions of dollars each year building data centers, creating orders for Nvidia’s GPUs, Micron’s HBM, SanDisk’s NAND, and Marvell’s optical modules. The starting point for this chain is that “
AMD+11.55%
The VIX surged 70%, South Korea triggered a circuit breaker, and the Nikkei fell 6%—the “stress test” for global risk assets has only just begun

The shockwaves from the U.S. stock market sell-off have already spread to Asia-Pacific.

South Korea’s KOSPI plunged more than 8% on November 6, triggering a circuit breaker and halting trading for 20 minutes. This was the 11th time South Korea has triggered a circuit breaker this year. The Nikkei 225 fell as much as 6.2%, retreating about 20% from its June high and entering technical bear market territory. SoftBank Group plunged as much as 16% intra
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$PUMP The coin is falling rapidly. Sell at 0.003955 and 0.003985. Targets: 0.003910, 0.003876, and 0.003840. Stop loss: 0.004065
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M1. 200 EMA just crossed
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[NEW STREAMER]hot prediction market update💕
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#Gate股票畅聊季 #美股财报季 Lessons from the US Stock Market Plunge: AI Investment Enters the Earnings-Delivery Era

Thursday night’s US stock market must have left everyone stunned. The Nasdaq plunged 5.52%, the Magnificent Seven lost $1.04 trillion in market value in a single day, and the entire market shed $2.9 trillion—equivalent to more than 7 trillion yuan. These aren’t just numbers; real wealth vanished into thin air.
Many people’s first reaction was: Is AI completely finished? Don’t rush to judgment. Recent policy documents, institutional research reports, and industry data all show that the ess
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[New Streamer] 🔹 High prices continue to erode purchasing power, and US consumer confidence remains
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BTC spent the day moving between $75.1K and $76.2K, with just $1,100 of volatility. Compared with the 6% bearish candle the day before yesterday, it’s eerily quiet.
Da Chao explains why it’s so quiet.
Lately, BTC has been following the Nasdaq, not itself. The drop the day before yesterday came from AI stocks dragging it down. U.S. stock markets are closed over the weekend, and with no one to lead the way, BTC doesn’t know where to go either, so it can only churn in place.
Also, everyone who wanted to run already did so the day before yesterday. More than $1 billion in leveraged positions got w
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