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Machi Big Brother is making a killing again!
He’s not only going long but also adding to his position, using 25x leverage to build from over 2,000 contracts to nearly 6,700. His latest average entry price is 2366, and his unrealized profit has surged past $460k, but his liquidation price has also been pushed up to 2391.
Big Brother is charging ahead with full confidence, but I’m actually not very bullish on this move in the short term. I recommend positioning for shorts around 2450.
The reasoning is simple:
This rebound after the election results came in looks more like a short squeeze followi
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ETH-1.23%
🚨 VANECK: AI-PIVOTED BITCOIN MINERS ARE OVERSOLD!
According to VanEck, after a 35% decline in October, stocks of Bitcoin miners with AI exposure are oversold.
Stocks have fallen amid funding fears, while no signed lease has been canceled.
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BTC+2.93%
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If the AI bubble really bursts for Micron and SanDisk
and they return to the bottom of the memory cycle
they could fall another 4x, or -80%
back to the median PE of a normal cycle😂
But if the bubble doesn’t burst
in an optimistic scenario
long-term contracts lock in capacity and profits through 2030
then even SK Hynix could buy itself
Actually, the bottom is right now: -10% to -30%
This is the point
where people are unsure whether it’s cyclical or non-cyclical
To balance things out
combining an extreme scenario with long-term contracts
they could fall another 30%
If you’re taking a left-side
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SNDK-7.93%
NVDA-3.03%
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Found an opinion that resonates with you? Share your thoughts! Disagree? Tell us why!
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⭐ Featured comments: Each round, 3 users with high-quality comments will be selected, and
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I'm trading on Gate, a top-tier exchange with a 13-year track record. Come join me and dive into the hottest events right now! https://www.gate.com/campaigns/6766?ref=VLARBF1YAG&ref_type=132
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What Is Overfitting? Why Can More Finely Tuned Parameters Make a Strategy More Fragile?
In cryptocurrency trading, some strategies show increasingly high historical returns and increasingly attractive backtest curves after repeated parameter adjustments. However, once they enter live markets, their performance can quickly deteriorate. A common reason behind this is overfitting.
First, what is overfitting?
Overfitting occurs when a strategy adapts too closely to specific fluctuations and chance patterns in historical data, leading it to perform well in the past but lack the ability to adapt to
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$CAP It’s up 29% in a day and now sits at 0.0947. Anyone chasing in at this point is basically handing a red envelope to those who got in earlier at 0.0732. I’m disciplined about buying dips and selling rallies: I provide plans, not emotional reactions.
First, the data: 24-hour low of 0.0732, high of 0.1005, and trading volume of 113 million. Turnover is high, meaning tokens are changing hands rapidly. At 0.0947, the price is only 6% below the high, so it’s consolidating near the top—not at a dip-buying level.
My plan is clear: Entry: Wait for a pullback to the 0.086–0.089 range and buy in bat
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$LINK #Link Breaking Consolidation, Breakout Above Trendline Can Lead Rally Towards 15$
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What Happens If BTC Breaks Above $82,000?
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LIVE2,589
Many people are unsure where Crypto is headed after the midterm elections, but Ajian’s view is that Democrats winning both the House and Senate is neither a sure-fire positive for Crypto nor an outright negative. The market tends to compress political outcomes into a single candle to trade—for example, yesterday’s sharp drop in $TRUMP —but the chain of effects through laws, institutions, and budgets moves much more slowly. Banks and payment companies won’t immediately halt financial infrastructure development just because political uncertainty has increased; they care more about where the comp
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Review of yesterday's 11.4 ZEC long/short thesis (posted late)
[translate-ref-0]: $ZEC
Yesterday morning's thesis failed to play out as expected, with no low-level range-bound trend. However, while reviewing the 11.3 thesis in the afternoon, I gave trading advice to recoup losses, and those gains were realized in the evening.
[Strategy review]:
Morning long/short thesis failed
Short entered at 1330, target around 1280 reached
Long entered at 1280, target around 1330 reached
[Current market]:
After spiking to 1352 yesterday, the price pulled back and formed a high-level range. Market depth sho
ZEC+1.29%
BTC-0.65%
ETH-1.23%
How can you identify market conditions? Why might the same trading strategy perform very differently in bull, bear, and ranging markets?
In crypto trading, many people look for a fixed strategy that can keep generating profits regardless of how market conditions change. But markets do not always behave the same way. When trends, volatility, and capital flows change, the same strategy can perform very differently.
First, what are market conditions?
Market conditions refer to the overall characteristics of the market during a given period, and are usually categorized as bull, bear, or ranging ma
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#10月非农数据聚焦
Strong employment data does not always signal a rally; markets will focus on how these figures might influence the policy of the U.S. Federal Reserve (Fed).
Ahead of the Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) report, my stance is one of "cautious optimism." Rather than taking aggressive positions before the data is released, it would be wiser to observe the market's initial reaction and the movement in interest rates.
My NFP Strategy: Strong Employment or a Healthy Cooling-Off?
The ADP report for October showed that the U.S. private sector added 86,000 new jobs—a figure that exceeded economists'
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BTC-0.67%
NVDA-3.03%
XAUUSD+1.65%
XBRUSD+0.30%
GT-2.41%
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crypto market update btc
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The big one is coming—Trump has started cashing out his crypto assets.
He’s probably about to face a reckoning, so he’s rushing to cash out his BTC while he still has some power.
The scary thing is, if the whales and their affiliates start dumping too, who’s going to buy?
BTC-0.67%
10u🦌 Gold Challenge, Day 1
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GLDX-0.40%
PAXG+0.37%
If $ADA can get back into the ascending channel, we could see a push to the $0.25 area.
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ADA-1.48%
What Is the Sharpe Ratio? How Can You Measure Whether the Returns From a Trading Strategy Are Worth the Risk?
In cryptocurrency trading, a high return does not necessarily mean a strategy is good. If a strategy can generate high returns but comes with sharp volatility and significant drawdowns, we need to further assess whether those returns are worth the associated risk. The Sharpe ratio is one tool that can help answer this question.
First, what is the Sharpe ratio?
The Sharpe ratio measures the excess return earned by a portfolio or trading strategy per unit of volatility risk. Generally, t
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Today is the 717th day I’ve been posting updates. If you think I’m a serious person, you can join me, and I hope my daily posts can help you. The world is big, and I’m small. Follow me so I’m easy to find.
I woke up this morning to find that the sky had fallen: the world’s largest exchange had been hacked, too. Fortunately, it froze some of the on-chain funds in time, preventing the losses from spreading. I guess the market will consolidate for several more weeks.
Crypto users have it so hard, really. Keep funds on exchanges, and the exchanges keep getting hacked, with the amounts stolen
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BTC-0.67%
TRX+0.42%
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