It seems the odds of treating the current $73,000 level as bottom support aren’t favorable.

The U.S. October inflation data released last night shattered the market’s optimistic outlook for inflation to cool.

CPI rose 0.4% month over month (vs. 0.3% expected), while core CPI rose 0.3% month over month (vs. 0.2% expected). Both readings came in above Wall Street’s estimates.

The data landed right on the warning threshold previously set by Fed Governor Waller: if core inflation reaches 0.3%, the option of discussing a 50-basis-point rate hike at the December meeting will be on the table.

Aft

Despite the broader market's overall decline, $NEAR NEAR has still held its ground over the past few days. It could very well rebound from here.

Cant help myself... prob market tanks tomorrow to vaporize my contra ass.
Ant IPO price up is at least a short term signal. Still bearish for next ~6 months but fk it a few days out of cash might be fun.
Disclaimer: I am retarded and clearly incompetent.

$SUSHI Short the broader market now, sell later at $0.0051. Entry price: $0.1769, short $SUSHI 🔥

BIG NEWS! GOLDMAN SACHS, CITI, & BANKS TO LAUNCH STABLECOIN! XRP LEDGER QUANTUM! MOODY'S CHAINLINK
WATCH ▶️
#crypto #cryptonews #bitcoin #xrp #chainlink #solana #stablecoins #tokenization #banks #thinkingcrypto

tell ur agent my agent said hi

🇺🇸 US TREASURY @SecScottBessent MOVES TO MILITARY BASE!
🪖 Bessent has reportedly relocated from his home to a US military base following threats against his life allegedly linked to Iran. 🎯

$AKE Can you support individual users? I joined today and everything is in the red

🇰🇿 KAZAKHSTAN INVESTS $190 MILLION IN CRYPTO! ₿
🏦 Kazakhstan’s Central Bank has committed:
↳ 💰 $100 MILLION to crypto-focused funds.
↳ ₿ $90 MILLION to digital assets and Bitcoin-linked ETFs.
🌐 The investment is part of the country’s $700 MILLION National Strategic Crypto Reserve.
🔥 A growing sign of institutional and government interest in crypto! 📈

This damn weather is so cold, I can’t get out of bed. How’s everyone been trading lately?#BTC #ETH

Why Can You Still Lose Money Even When AI Predicts an 80% Chance That BTC Will Rise?

More and more traders are starting to use AI to analyze cryptocurrency markets. Some models may even predict an 80% chance that BTC will rise and a 20% chance that it will fall. But one easily overlooked point is that a high probability forecast does not mean a trade is guaranteed to make money.

First, an 80% probability forecast does not mean the price is certain to rise. It usually means that, under similar historical conditions, the model estimates a higher probability of an upward move. If the model has

What Is Strategy Overfitting? Why Should We Be More Cautious When the Historical Returns Curve Looks Better?

In cryptocurrency trading, some strategies have their parameters repeatedly adjusted until their historical returns curve becomes very smooth and their win rate is high. But once they enter the live market, their performance drops significantly. This may be strategy overfitting: the strategy has adapted too closely to specific patterns in historical data without learning how to cope with future market changes.

First, how does overfitting happen?

Common causes include repeatedly adjus

What Is Order Book Depth? How Can the Distribution of Bids and Asks Help Determine the Potential Price Impact of Large Orders?

In cryptocurrency trading, the latest price shown on screen does not mean all traders can execute trades at that price. What really affects the execution of large orders is the number of buy and sell orders at different price levels. Order book depth can help traders assess the market’s ability to absorb orders and the potential price impact of buying and selling.

First, what is order book depth?

The order book records limit buy and sell orders in the market that ha

How Should You Read Order Book Depth? How to Identify Real Buying and Selling Pressure

In crypto trading, many people see a buildup of buy orders and assume the price has support; they see a concentration of sell orders and conclude that the market is about to fall. But the order book only shows current open orders—it does not guarantee future market movements.

What is order book depth? Simply put, it shows limit buy and sell orders at different price levels. Buy orders are usually below the current market price, while sell orders are usually above it. Looking at these orders can help us und

The sensitive aspect of this data is that core CPI has exactly met the conditions for the 50 bps threat Waller mentioned earlier.
FedWatch data shows the market currently assigns an 87.3% probability to a 25-basis-point rate hike in December and a 12.7% probability to a 50-basis-point hike.
Inflation calls for rate hikes;
Financial markets and politicians don’t.
As for timing, high inflation has also pushed up long-term bond yields and the cost of new debt issuance; not cutting rates doesn’t mean the government’s borrowing costs will fall.
There’s another very important juncture here:
November

What Is Out-of-Sample Testing? How Can Data Not Used in Strategy Optimization Help Determine Whether Backtest Results Are Meaningful?

In cryptocurrency trading, even a strategy that performs well in historical backtests may simply be tailored to specific data. Out-of-sample testing uses data that was not involved in strategy design or parameter optimization to check whether the strategy remains effective in unfamiliar market conditions, reducing the risk of misjudgment caused by overfitting.

First, what is out-of-sample testing?

Data used to develop a strategy is called in-sample data, whil

Morgan Stanley: Chinese IT Budget Forecasts Rise for 2026

: A Morgan Stanley survey indicates that Chinese IT budget forecasts have risen to 6.1% growth for 2026, up from 4.8% in the first half of the year. Morgan Stanley's stock (MS) is up slightly at +0.27%.
This is a crucial macroeconomic data point that contradicts the prevailing narrative of a severe economic slowdown in China. IT budgets are a leading indicator of corporate health; when companies increase IT spending, it signals confidence in future growth.

An upward revision from 4.8% to 6.1% suggests that Chinese enterprises are prep