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I just read an article. According to traditional Kondratiev wave cycles, we should now be at the tipping point between “autumn” and “winter,” on the verge of a major reckoning for excessive debt and financialization.
The next five years can be divided into 4 phases—
1. False dawn and bubble burst (second half of 2026)
The debt wall effect emerges, and corporate default rates rise. At the same time, data on returns from AI capital expenditures disappoint the market.
2. Geopolitical shock and surging inflation (all of 2027)
A naval blockade or an extremely tense military standoff could occur, di
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XAG+0.47%
GLDX-0.40%
PAXG+0.37%
XAU+0.38%
BTC-0.67%
#事件合约 #ETH Funds hit $14k!
An original 100% win rate
ETH-1.23%
Trenches
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Gold has formed an upward structure. How much farther can this rebound go?🔹 BTC is approaching $82,
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$BTC The market was already facing correction pressure, and on-chain news that Trump Media had transferred a large amount of BTC to exchanges became the trigger for bearish sentiment. Longs panic-sold, and liquidations of leveraged positions added to the pressure, driving a rapid drop.#ETH跌5.5%
BTC-0.65%
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CopyTrading
🔥 Copy Trading Pros, Take Note! Compete on Merit for a Share of the 16,000 USDT Prize Pool

🥇 Copy Trading Volume Leaderboard: Top 10 finalists can win up to 1,000 USDT
👑 Most Popular Trader: One winner takes home 1,000 USDT + an extra 1% profit share
🚀 Trading Growth Breakthrough: Top 5 in trading growth can win up to 1,500 USDT

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📡 Signal Card · Just Captured
KOL: Two Degrees Below Zero Direction: $BTC Long Entry: 82400 Target: 83850 / 85250 / 85750 Stop-loss: 81000
Come to think of it, I reposted this person's $ETH trade earlier today, and they're back again. Pretty prolific 😂
Sis is only reposting this as-is; there's no guarantee about the signal. Whether to follow and how much to put in is up to you all—getting carried away on a single trade can get you burned.
Shared as a personal record, not investment advice. #AI Giants Financing Watch: Microsoft and Meta Issue a Combined $40 Billion in Bonds
BTC-0.67%
ETH-1.26%
MSFT-3.65%
$ELSA After this -26.8% bloodbath, I advise you not to rush to buy the dip.
I just finished watching the market, $ELSA is now at 0.0783, plunging straight from 0.1219 to 0.0770 in 24 hours, with trading volume hitting 210.9M—the kind of volume that would normally keep it moving sideways for a week was all used to sell off today. The order book is crystal clear: buy orders stacked above 0.08 were eaten up one bite at a time, and the rebound never even touched 0.085. This is a classic panic-driven sell-off, not a shakeout. The capital flows are even more obvious: heavy-volume decline + no meani
ELSA+5.80%
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Where Should You Set Your Stop-Loss? Find a Reasonable Level Step by Step—from Market Structure and Volatility to Position Risk

In the previous article, we discussed a question that confuses many traders: Why can the actual execution price still be worse than expected after a stop-loss is triggered?

But there is an even more fundamental question:

Where exactly should you set your stop-loss?

Some people habitually exit after a fixed 1% loss, some like to place their stop-loss below the most recent low, and others worry about getting stopped out by the market, so they keep widening the stop-
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#纳指# Add to the position. An 80% chance of buying the bottom, and a 20% chance of buying halfway up.
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NAS100-0.07%
Gate Live’s daily Red Packet Rain is here! Have you grabbed yours today?
🎙 Catch the latest market moves with pro streamers watching the charts live. Join the conversation, hop on mic, and talk trends & trading opportunities together~

Look for livestreams with the 🧧 icon on the cover, jump in, and grab your red packets!
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GateLive
Gate Live’s daily Red Packet Rain is here! Have you grabbed yours today?
🎙 Catch the latest market moves with pro streamers watching the charts live. Join the conversation, hop on mic, and talk trends & trading opportunities together~

Look for livestreams with the 🧧 icon on the cover, jump in, and grab your red packets!
⚡ Get your fingers ready: https://www.gate.com/live
repost-content-media
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What Is Statistical Arbitrage? How Can Historical Relationships Between Assets Reveal Trading Opportunities, and Why Might Historical Correlations Suddenly Break Down?

In the crypto market, some assets have long displayed similar price movements. When their historical relationship temporarily deviates, traders may try to use that divergence to identify opportunities. This is the basic idea behind statistical arbitrage, but historical patterns are no guarantee of future repetition.

First, what is statistical arbitrage?

Statistical arbitrage is a type of trading strategy that uses historical
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$AKE I didn’t believe it would fall, but it kept falling. Now I don’t believe it will rise, but it could keep rising too,
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AKE+6.07%
🔹Democrats Sweep Both Chambers of Congress as the Dow Surges Over 3! But AI Stocks F
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JD Vance put it pretty plainly: If you want to be American, learn the language, culture, and values; integration is the bare minimum. This isn’t some empty slogan. The U.S. naturalization test already selects 10 questions from a pool of 100 civics questions, and you have to answer 6 correctly to pass. You also have to pass basic English reading, writing, and speaking tests. In other words, the law has long made “language and civic knowledge” a requirement; Vance is simply being more direct about the next layer—“cultural identity and integration into American values.” Immigration policy has bee
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Compute is no longer a moat; politics is starting to put the brakes on AI.

Democrats’ AI regulations have moved from slogans to rules: energy use, compute procurement, and model audits are all being tightened. Microsoft giving up its right to expand capacity, put simply, means handing the spending risk over to policy. It would rather build less than bet wrong.

IPO valuation logic is changing too: from “discounting future compute” back to “pricing current cash flow.” As the bubble deflates, companies with customers and gross margins will be seen again.

The deciding factor in the next round o
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MSFT-3.65%
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BTC bears dominate the daily chart. The price has fallen below the Bollinger middle band and is approaching the lower band. MACD has crossed down bearishly, KDJ is rapidly entering oversold territory, and the larger-scale downtrend remains unchanged. The 4-hour chart is deeply oversold, with lows continuing to probe lower and indicators entering extreme territory. A technical rebound may occur, but beware of bull traps within the descending channel.
🉑Short near 76700 on a rebound, add at 77300, with downside targets at 75400 and 73500
ETH 🉑Short near 2260, add at 2290, with downside targets
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BTC-0.65%
ETH-1.23%
$HYPE The plan for this trade was pretty clear: enter at 86, with a target around 77. But I lost my nerve midway and cranked the leverage straight up to 20x. Looking back, if I’d simply stuck to 10x, I wouldn’t have come anywhere near the liquidation price. The market did indeed reach around 77, so my call was right, but my position management failed first. Once I was liquidated, I lost all my principal. Getting the direction right doesn’t mean you can withstand the volatility. Leverage amplifies gains, but it also raises the cost of having less room for error. $HYPE That was a hard lesson. Ne
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HYPE+0.33%
Bitcoin’s plunge yesterday has found its catalyst🍉$BTC

Trump Media transferred 4259 BTC to an exchange. The market interpreted it as preparation to sell and take profits, and panic quickly spread. Longs rushed for the exits, dragging down the market, along with ETH and Solana, while mass liquidations of longs further amplified the decline.

Longs panicked and scrambled for the exits; yesterday’s drop was driven by sentiment first😂
#加密市场承压
BTC-0.67%
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🤖 AI Stocks Sell Off — Could AI Applications Lead the Next Rally?

AI chip, server, and data center stocks are under pressure as investors question massive AI spending and stretched valuations.

But the AI story is far from over.

The focus is shifting from AI infrastructure spending to real revenue and profits.

🔍 Google: AI Search & advertising revenue

☁️ Microsoft & Amazon: Cloud and AI monetization

🚀 Meta, Palantir & Oracle: Enterprise AI growth

If capital rotates from AI infrastructure to applications, which company could lead the rebound?

Share your stock picks, market outlook, or
Gate_Square
🤖 AI Stocks Sell Off — Could AI Applications Lead the Next Rally?

AI chip, server, and data center stocks are under pressure as investors question massive AI spending and stretched valuations.

But the AI story is far from over.

The focus is shifting from AI infrastructure spending to real revenue and profits.

🔍 Google: AI Search & advertising revenue

☁️ Microsoft & Amazon: Cloud and AI monetization

🚀 Meta, Palantir & Oracle: Enterprise AI growth

If capital rotates from AI infrastructure to applications, which company could lead the rebound?

Share your stock picks, market outlook, or trading strategy on Gate Square with #USTechSelloff.

🎁 Gate's AI Applications Trading Event is live. Trade eligible AI and cloud stocks for chances to win rewards, including up to 1,888 USDT in Google stock trial funds.

👉 Event link: https://www.gate.com/campaigns/6916
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GOOGL-2.22%
MSFT-3.65%
AMZN-2.11%
PLTR-9.79%
ORCL-7.02%
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Captain Caffeine will save humanity with @elonmusk ☕️🚀☕️
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