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This month, the odds of $ETH moving higher are at most 11%, with around 2560 the most likely ceiling for the month. If it tops out near 2430, people may see Ethereum below 2000 by month-end. And that may be all 2026 has in store; for the rest of the year, with no major events and no so-called narratives, all that remains is capital flowing out in search of a new world in 2027
Around 2430–2455: resistance from the 20-day/50-day moving averages and an institutional selling supply zone; until price breaks above this area on strong volume, it remains a “fake breakout zone”
Around 2560: the 50-day moving average and a recovery target at the previous high; the upper end of effective monthly resistance
2170–2220: the short-term lifeline; a break below opens up more downside
Below 2000: if 2170 gives way and ETF outflows continue, technicals could quickly test support at 2050→2000→1868