It’s now been 402 days since Bitcoin’s ATH at $126,000.

In 2015, the $BTC cycle low was 408 days after ATH.

In 2018, it was 364 days.

In 2022, it was 378 days.

So, we are now at the very end of the cycle low window.

And in each of those past lows, Bitcoin dropped between 77% - 85% from ATH.

This time, the cycle low was a 53% drop to $60,000.

So either this is the smallest bear market drop in crypto history...

Or the real bottom hasn't happened yet.

My money is on the first option.

If past cycle drops repeated, Bitcoin would be at $29,000.

But I don’t think that will happen.

Bitc

#BTC #PPI
Friday 16.30: U.S. producer prices.
Friends, the week's last important data for Bitcoin $BTC will be released Friday at 16.30. The October producer price index is the last inflation data before the Fed's December 8-9 meeting.
The forecast is 0.4% month over month and 6.6% year over year. September came in at 1.3% month over month and 6.3% year over year. The core forecast is 0.3% month over month, versus 0.7% previously.
Tuesday's consumer inflation came in above expectations, strengthening expectations for a rate hike. If producer prices also come in high, this expectation will be

Good morning friends happy Thursday
Have a blessed day!
It’s time for me to get some rest then it’s back on the grind!💯

$PI Oh my, you've scored tokens starting at 0.06 again—seize the opportunity,

$ETH That’s a pretty shameless way to operate. At 21:50, I placed a conditional ETH short at 1999, with take-profit set at 1980. The slippage brought it to 1981, and the low clearly hit 1975. Why didn’t it take profit?

Can't you understand it from one chart? It basically covers all the bullish zones—how high the price could go, what level a break below would turn bearish, and what target it would head for. It's all in here $BTC

#美国10月PPI即将出炉 #每周来晒 A higher-than-expected PPI is likely to pressure U.S. stocks and BTC. If inflation cools significantly, all three asset classes could rebound.

October PPI will be released at 21:30 Beijing time on November 13. The market expects a 6.6% year-over-year increase, versus 6.3% previously.
October CPI was already running hot, and this report will mainly determine the size of the rate hike.
PPI above expectations
U.S. stocks: Tech valuations would face the most pressure, and the Nasdaq is usually weaker.
BTC: When the dollar and Treasury yields strengthen, Bitcoin often falls alo

September oil prices surged so sharply— is October’s PPI really a “paper tiger”?

I’ve read a bunch of recent macro research reports, and I think people may be overly pessimistic about tomorrow night’s PPI data. You can get a rough sense of where it’s headed just by looking at commodity prices, especially oil.

Last month’s explosive PPI reading was, frankly, driven by energy prices. Crude oil prices surged throughout September, directly pushing commodity prices up 2.6%, while gasoline rose more than 20%. But look at October: oil prices clearly pulled back, and by quite a bit. So tomorrow nigh

We both work in factories, so how come the older generation is so full of energy?

Holy shit! Jensen Huang's resignation is confirmed!
NVIDIA plunged 10% straight in premarket trading.
U.S. stocks are absolutely going to be a bloodbath tonight, and sentiment will drag crypto down.
Keep a close eye on the charts, guys! Don't rush in yet—wait until this bombshell hits!
#英伟达 #黄仁勋辞职 $NVDA

Shorts are getting very aggressive at this move down
Open interest is at a 3 year high and positioning seems one-sided with totally crushed sentiment
Last time OI was this high was in Aug 2023 where bets were on the long side and got obliterated. Now this burden is on the short side. So let's see how they battle it out and if shorts do win in the short term.

JUP puts half its on-chain revenue into buybacks, about $2.7M in the 30 days to mid-October.
Its mobile app passed 1.68M downloads in September.
Ten months stuck between $0.14 and $0.28, then September broke out. Now it's back testing the top of that range.

What are the odds?
buying 50 seconds before the endorsement tweet

$SOL
Back at support on the BTC pair.
It has to hold here.. otherwise.. death

Whoa! A god of war!
1v5?!

You’re acting like Tong Ge did you wrong by telling you to short.

After the National Day holiday, I kept repeating one thing: short the bounce, short the bounce!

I’ve been calling BTC lower from 87000 all the way to now, and 72600 has already been lost; ETH has fallen from above 2700 to below 2000 today.

For more than a month, haven’t I been sharing my analysis publicly almost every day? Has the direction ever changed? Have I given you opportunities?

You don’t have to follow every idea I post, and you don’t need to call the exact top. Just follow the plan a little when a bounce reaches a k

$NIGHT of the living alts, digging out of the grave with great moomentum