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The Options Market Has Laid Its Cards on the Table, While Spot Is Playing Dead—The Volatility Arbitrage Logic Ahead of FOMC
Spend enough time in this market and you’ll notice an interesting phenomenon: spot traders watch prices, futures traders watch funding rates, while the real whales watch volatility. The BTC market is now putting on an extreme show of “volatility divergence.”
Deribit data shows that the options market has priced in a move of about 2.27% for the October 28–29 FOMC meeting window. Forward implied volatility (IV) for that window is as high as 43.4%, while IV for the following
META-1.21%
$CRWV
The latest decline showed us that past gaps matter for this stock. It also widened the wedge. Of course, the other gaps below still pose a risk
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CRWV+1.51%
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BNCB
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0x49...ec3f
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DJT
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DJTu...xvoF
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STONK
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6GmA...UNgx
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Frongus
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2BJD...pump
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crypto Market updates
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$PI I said I have 100k stockpiled—would proving it to you even mean anything? You keep insisting I'm v1 or whatever. I'm buying and withdrawing at the same time, so how could I reach v5? What are you thinking
PI-0.60%
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$SMTC
As you can see on the monthly chart, there is a bearish divergence and a liquidity sweep. Of course, the month has not closed yet. The price might move back above the BoS zone; I cannot know. The monthly close will be decisive
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SMTC+1.75%
I think Google will beat expectations this time, especially on Cloud.
Q2 Cloud revenue grew 82%, but the company’s free cash flow was negative $5.855 billion. Even if revenue beats expectations, how much more it will need to spend next year and how long it will take for those investments to pay off will affect the stock’s performance after earnings.
The full preview is on Planet, covering search monetization, Cloud margins, and next year’s spending.
$GOOGL $GOOG
GOOGL+1.38%
GOOG+1.58%
$SPCXB Currently at 143.94, 24H -4.13% (range 142.45-150.39). The 1H structure is weak, with RSI13 severely oversold; the 4H trend is also weak, with EMA20 at 148.13. The key is whether price can hold above the 150.39 resistance level; a break below the 142.45 support could accelerate the decline. Monitor volume for confirmation—the current 1H volume is only 0.47x the average, so any breakout needs a volume increase for confirmation. The market is highly volatile; for observation only.
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$SKUU $SKUU surges 24% as bullish breakout unfolds$SKUU After breaking out of its previous consolidation range, the price has surged to around $21.10. The 4-hour chart shows strong buying pressure, with the price nearing a local high of $21.19. Momentum remains bullish, but a pullback may occur after such a rapid rise. Trading strategy — Long entry: $20.40–$21.00 Take profit: $22.00 Stop loss: $19.70 If the price continues to break above $21.19, it could support further gains. Don’t blindly chase the price without confirmation, and manage leverage carefully. Buy and trade $SKUU
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SKUU+1.96%
$BEAT USDT is showing a significant surge in market activity, with volume jumping 2,010.7% while the price trades at $0.08199, down 9.8% over 24 hours. This combination suggests heightened volatility and a potential battle between buyers and sellers.
Support Zone: $0.0780–$0.0800
Resistance Zone: $0.0840–$0.0870
Next Bullish Target: $0.0900–$0.0940
A strong reclaim above $0.0840 could attract momentum traders toward the next resistance zone. However, losing $0.0780 may trigger another bearish move. Watch for a confirmed breakout and sustained volume before entering.
VIP Strategy: Wait for conf
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BEAT-1.33%
BTC keeps testing the $80,000 level—where exactly is its “line of life and death”?
BTC traded back and forth between $80,000 and $82,000 today, briefly touching $81,687 intraday, but never managed to hold above $82,000.‌
Looking at the charts, there are two key levels to keep a close eye on.
Support below: $79,000 to $80,000. CoinGlass data shows buying has increased noticeably in this range, strengthening short-term support. If BTC retests this area after tonight’s decision and does not break below it on heavy volume, that would indicate that bulls are willing to defend this level, and the $
ETH-1.23%
Meet my new crypto bodyguards @dom_kwok and @kwok_phil. Great seeing these guys, we are going to do another interview soon to discuss whats new with @easya_app.
#rippleswell #xrp
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XRP-1.15%
$BTC COULD SHOCK THE MARKET AGAIN!
Last time the FED hiked rates by 25 bps, Bitcoin reportedly surged 16% in just 6 days!
Today, the FED is expected to hold rates at 3.75%–4.00%, with all eyes on its next move.
Will $BTC repeat that explosive rally, or is a major reversal coming?
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BTC-0.67%
🇮🇱 Last night's exit polls: Eisenkot 52, Netanyahu 50.
The actual count: Netanyahu 54, Eisenkot 49, Arab parties 17.
Nobody has 61. Eisenkot only gets there with the Arab parties, which has happened once, in 2021. 👀
Which #memecoin do you predict will experience a significant surge in value this month? Share your pick for a potential #1000x gain! 🚀💸
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MEME-0.94%
Placing one more order before bed—going short on $BTC for a quick trade this time. My small account has taken a pretty big drawdown over the past couple of days, but my overnight trades have held up okay.
I’m betting on one quick dip before the meeting to hit my take-profit. But I still lean toward $BTC moving up after the meeting ends—the earlier price action feels like it has already priced in most of the expectations.
Keep an eye on things tonight. Is the FOMC meeting tonight? I’ve been working so much lately my brain’s gone foggy. $BTC
#October FOMC interest rate decision coming soon
Risk
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BTC-0.65%
Options open interest going ballistic into FOMC and MSFT GOOG earnings... 🍷😂
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MSFT+0.59%
GOOG+1.58%
ETH Technical Outlook: Ethereum Faces Selling Pressure Near $2,333 as Support Comes Into Focus
Ethereum (ETH) is trading around $2,333 after facing rejection from the $2,385–$2,420 resistance region. Following a strong recovery from the June low near $1,501, ETH has lost short-term momentum and is now testing an important support area.
Price is trading below the 20 EMA and 50 EMA, while RSI has dropped to 36.01, indicating increasing bearish pressure. The key question is whether buyers can defend the $2,300–$2,265 region or sellers push ETH toward lower support levels.
📈 EMA Structure
🔹 20 E
ETH-1.26%
Look at $NAORIS trending at $0.04+, just as I said, it really was a huge win—we’ve already made hefty profits, and we’ve won again
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NAORIS+0.66%
🔹SK Hynix Warns of Memory Chip Shortages Through 2030! Just How Strong Is AI Computing Demand, and
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