Why can some investors make money over the long term without predicting the market?
Harry Browne proposed an extremely simple strategy:
25% stocks, 25% long-term Treasury bonds, 25% gold, 25% cash.
Stocks thrive during economic booms, Treasury bonds during deflation,
gold during inflation, and cash during recessions.
You don’t predict when the next storm will hit;
you simply make sure you’re prepared to weather it.
A 54-year backtest of the U.S. market shows:
an annualized return of about 9.2% and a maximum drawdown of about 14.9%.
It’s not the highest-returning strategy, and it certainly does

$BTC The crypto market rally should be about over by now, right? Most have closed out their positions and are waiting to buy the dip in the bear market

Many people rush to buy the dip as soon as RSI falls to around 20, treating “oversold” as synonymous with “bottomed out.” Oversold only indicates that much of the downward momentum has been released; it does not mean the trend has reversed—this is quite clear in the current market.
The moving average structure remains bearish: MA5=68.018 is below MA20=70.4315, and the medium-term moving averages are exerting downward pressure, indicating that the current rebound is still just a corrective move. The MACD histogram is -0.1753. Bearish momentum is present, but it is not accelerating; combined wit

#BTC跌破8.2万 Bitcoin at $81,570: Has the CPI Shock Been Priced In, or Is $80,000 the Next Test?
Bitcoin’s move below $82,000 has shifted the market’s focus from the possibility of a $90,000 rally to the strength of the current support structure. Trading near $81,570, BTC is facing a combination of renewed US inflation pressure, changing Federal Reserve expectations, and uncertainty over leveraged positioning. The critical distinction is whether the market has already absorbed the inflation shock or whether another round of selling could follow.
September CPI Changed the Macro Picture
The US Bure

$AGT I am in the Air Force

$TIA Current price 0.6952, 24h +17.63%, trading volume 42.0M USDT, 30-candle range approximately 21.19%; compared with peers in the same sector, $AVAX is down 1.14% over 24h and $PYTH is down 8.23%. All three share the infrastructure/modular narrative, but TIA is the only asset gaining strength on rising volume against the trend. The relative strength gap is close to 19 percentage points, which is the main reason it deserves separate attention. The funding rate is -0.0028%; with prices rising while the rate remains negative, shorts have not capitulated and longs are not crowded, indicating

#GateBTCAndETHFuturesVolumeRanksTop3 #ShareWeekly Gate’s BTC and ETH Futures Enter the Global Top Three as Bitcoin Trades Near $81,550
Gate’s reported position among the global top three exchanges for both Bitcoin and Ethereum futures highlights its role in the crypto derivatives market. With BTC trading around $81,550 and ETH near $2,420, the key question is not simply how much traders are trading, but what futures volume reveals about liquidity, leverage, market participation, and price discovery.
**Gate’s Top-3 Ranking: The Numbers Behind the Market**
Reported October 16 market figures put

I was focused on $GOOGL , but didn’t open a futures long this time. Although my most recent take-profit on a futures position wasn’t near the top, at least I avoided getting stuck. As for the stock, I’ll continue holding and keep adding on dips. #美股存储板块跌幅扩大 #作手分析

$INJ
With this INJ run, the project’s Twitter is basically one step away from welding “get in now” onto its forehead 😏 I’m sliding in first; do what you want. Don’t get jealous when it pumps, and don’t complain when it pulls back 🤣

How are the guys who chased longs above 82500 yesterday evening doing now?!!! 😱
That market maker’s performance during the day deserved an Oscar: it played dead and moved sideways at 82180 all day, then from 6 to 8 p.m. deliberately pushed Ethereum to 2470 and Bitcoin to 82600!
How many retail traders saw that and thought, “Hey, it’s about to break out!” In a rush, they all jumped in to chase longs above 82500!
Then, as soon as the 8 p.m. candle flipped, the main players didn’t give them even a second to escape. Opening at 82598, they slammed the door shut and drove the price down hard, crash

$ELSA
Here you go, my friend. This is an investment trade of ours. We'll wait patiently for two months, with target prices of 0.08, 0.1, 0.14, and 0.2😎✋......$BASE
$SIREN Bitcoin Short-Term Holders Reach 4.08M BTC; Australia Proposes Crypto Transaction Reporting Law

What will happen this year will be amazing.#USSeptemberPPIReleased #GateWCTCS9GlobalTradingCompetition #WarshIMFSpeech #BitcoinTops$82K #USMemoryStocksExtendLosses

#每周来晒 #沃什IMF讲话
Warsh’s IMF Remarks: Can Bitcoin Sustain Its Recovery, or Is Another Pullback Coming?
Kevin Warsh’s IMF fireside chat has given financial markets another reason to reassess the Federal Reserve’s next move. With inflation remaining elevated and the Oct 27–28 FOMC meeting approaching, traders are trying to determine whether monetary policy will remain restrictive or move toward another rate increase.
My interpretation is that Warsh’s message was cautious rather than clearly dovish. He emphasized price stability, avoided promising a specific policy decision, and discussed artifici

The Scumbag’s Take on CL Crude Oil 10.17
Since breaking above the downtrend line, CL has rallied for more than a week. In my view, it’s now back near its previous highs, and the U.S. has already released a substantial amount of crude oil from its reserves.
Next, we’ll want to watch whether CL tests the false breakout level near 109 next week.
Once it reaches that level, U.S. stocks may also be due for a rebound. The inverse correlation between the two is clear for all to see.

$BTW 17th wealth code chart, bulls, keep up the good work

This morning’s market action was nerve-racking🔥. BTC fell straight below 81000, while ETH also tested the 2400 level. Altcoins were dragged down across the board, with SOL, XRP, and others all falling.
According to Coinglass data, there were 157 million in liquidations across the market over the past 4 hours, with the vast majority being long positions getting wiped out. Bulls took a major hit. There’s significant macro pressure: Brent crude surged to 112 dollars, reviving inflation concerns, and the S&P 500 fell more than 1%. Strategy’s stock plunged nearly 10%. Weakness in the BTC-heavy gia

The White House Waives Multiple Sanctions on Russia, and the Short Trade Hits the Mark Again! BTC and ETH Outlook for 10.17
On the 16th, the White House issued an executive order waiving multiple sanctions, restrictions, and tariffs set out in the Lindsey Graham Sanctioning Russia and Iran Act of 2026. The waiver covers measures including a 500% tariff on Russian goods exported to the U.S., as well as 100% tariffs on major importers of Russian energy and on countries that help Russia evade sanctions on its oil trade. It also covers sanctions targeting the Russian central bank, major commercial