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David’s Trading Notes (Higher Timeframe)
October 16, 2026
The downturn offered a few bites at the apple. Now that prices have risen, it’s time to talk about the higher timeframes.
At this stage, I think it’s a good time to build positions—a stage where you can calculate and manage your risk and reward.
BTC $BTC (Figure 1)
A weekly close above 81333 would signal strong bulls and mark the first entry point for positioning long.
For a higher win rate, the second long entry: enter after a daily close above 84000.
This is higher-timeframe positioning, not an intraday trade.
ETH $ETH (Figure 2)
Us
BTC+1.66%
ETH+4.40%
10.15 BTC Long/Short Ratio Analysis: Retail traders are sitting on the sidelines; large holders are sitting on the sidelines — a hands-off structure
A. The current ratio for retail traders is 0.4964, with the curve declining, indicating a cautious and bearish stance.
B. The long/short ratio for large holders is 0.87, with the curve flat, indicating a cautious and bearish stance among large holders.
Summary: A “hands-off structure.” After the market rebound, both retail traders and large holders are cautious and bearish, with no funds following through, so the rebound is bound not to go far.#美国
BTC+1.71%
ETH+4.46%
$ZEC Anyone who chased ZEC at 1233 will most likely become fuel for this 13.76% rally.
Don't rush to flame me. Look at the data: 24h trading volume is $1.937 billion, and the price surged from 1075 to 1253, a 16.6% range. This isn't a healthy rise; it's a classic short squeeze plus sentiment-driven trading. ZEC is an old coin that typically sees daily trading volume of just $300 million-$500 million. What does it mean when volume suddenly surges to nearly $2 billion? It means a lot of short-term leveraged money is betting on the action, not that the market is discovering long-term value.
My st
ZEC+14.45%
Borrowing money to pay social security contributions is definitely pretty ahead of its time.
Galaxy Family is printing 🖨 🍾
If you wanna be part of our Trading Community 👉
↗️ The price of $BTC reacted to the previous low and began an upward move.
🔥 Profit on the long position: $BTC
BTC+1.66%
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$BT
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TSLA+3.67%
  • 5
  • 3
ETF: U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs saw net inflows of about $5.06 million on Oct 15 (IBIT led with +$16.79 million) → slightly positive, bullish; ① Expectations that the Fed will hold rates steady in October are rising (Warsh speech, 13:25 Beijing time); the 10-year Treasury yield fell to 5.089% (-10 bp), and the U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) was 101.81 (-0.24%), indicating relatively loose liquidity; ② BTC is currently at $82,351 (+1.11%/24h), with a funding rate of 0.000016 (near neutral) and a 24h range of $79,795-$82,630, nearing the upper end; ③ Crypto security incidents (Irish police X account hacked
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IBIT+0.84%
USIDX-0.29%
A guy in the group suddenly popped up: "Is FIL about to halve? My friend says AI plus storage is the next big thing, and told me to buy some more."
I stared at that message for ages, not knowing where to start trying to talk him out of it.
Filecoin really is adjusting its reward mechanism these days, shifting toward enterprise clients and AI Agents. That's an official move, not something someone made up. The price has moved too, up around ten percent today. But think about it this way: when a project needs to adjust its incentives, it means it currently has to hand out rewards to keep people a
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FIL+11.64%
Today's earnings: $15
I had things to do today and no time to watch the market, so I made a few trades and earned a small $15 profit. That wraps up this week. See you next week, guys.$XAUUSD
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XAUUSD+0.11%
  • 2
CRYPTO MARKET LIVE SESSION
live-cover
LIVE2,075
Once this breaks on the $WLD vs BTC chart, WLD shoots back to $1.5-$2 area for WLD.
It has all the bullish narratives to do so. So lets monitor closely.
post-image
WLD+14.63%
BTC+1.66%
Is the official CPU price quietly pumping? Did the #2 whale get some news or something???
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U.S. September PPI far exceeds expectations, putting Fed rate cuts in doubt again
U.S. inflation has sounded another warning bell for markets! Data released on October 15 showed that U.S. PPI rose 1.3% month over month in September, far above market expectations of 0.5%; the year-over-year increase climbed to 6.3%, the highest level since December 2022. More notably, the index excluding food, energy and trade services still rose 0.5% month over month, indicating that price pressures are not entirely driven by energy.
What does this data mean? The rate-cut path the Fed may have been considering
MU+1.93%
BTC MARKET UPDATES
live-cover
LIVE2,185
Almost NO BITCOIN sell orders until $90,000.
HUGE buy orders stacked all the way down to $75,000.
You know what’s next, right?
BTC+1.66%
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$BTC $ETH $TSLA
repost-content-media
BTC+1.66%
ETH+4.40%
GT+2.06%
TSLA-1.30%
BREAKING: Metric has opened its public DEX on BNB Chain, letting users trade bStocks, tokenized US stocks and ETFs, and provide liquidity. Its BNB Chain volume hit a record $75.81M on October 14.
@BNBCHAIN
BNB+1.82%
#BitcoinTops$82K
#ShareWeekly
Bitcoin Reclaims $82K: Hot Inflation, Warsh Signals, ETF Stress and the Road Ahead
Bitcoin has pushed back above the $82,000 level, and the move is worth a closer look because the path to get here was anything but smooth. Over the past few sessions, the market has been battered by one hot inflation print after another, a bond market that refuses to calm down, and spot ETF flows that turned from a tailwind into a headwind. Yet BTC is still holding its ground around $82,000 to $82,500, and that tells us something about where the real buyers are standing. My take i
【October 16 Options Settlement Data】
18,000 BTC options expired, with a Put Call Ratio of 1, a maximum pain point of $83,000, and a notional value of $1.47 billion.
Today, 4.5% of Bitcoin options open interest expired. This week, U.S. stocks saw a sharp pullback due to poor macroeconomic data, while cryptocurrencies followed the decline for most of the time, leaving the market relatively weak.
Judging from the major options data, IV is currently at a relatively low level. At 35%, there is not much room for further decline, and the market's expected volatility for future price movements has rea
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BTC+1.71%
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