One: Yesterday’s pickup code STAMP—we missed out on 100 million. We opened a short, and after combining the data, I figured resistance was around 0.0011. But I overlooked that the 21:00 candle’s high was 0.001148. I set the stop-loss at 0.0011 and went to sleep. The high ended up at 0.00115, just enough to hit the stop, then the price dropped all the way through to our take-profit level of 0.00083. We missed a 20% spot gain. The idea behind the pickup code is a small stop-loss and a large take-profit, and it can only be used once.
Summary:
Yesterday on the livestream, we also discussed

You can review the overall pace of today's early trading in the livestream

This is starting to feel like instant social death.
I open the nightstand and there’s a vibrator right there in plain sight.
At this point, I’ve really thrown caution to the wind.

When shopping, you’ve surely seen “50% off the second item.” Everyone knows that doesn’t mean everything in your cart is 50% off.
Some exchanges’ high-APR promotions have similar limits: they may only apply to a portion of your deposit.
Here’s a hypothetical example: the first 100U earns 20% APR, while any amount above 100U earns 2%. If you deposit 1000U, you can’t simply multiply your entire principal by 20%.
If these two rates stay in effect for a year, without compounding, the first 100U earns 20U, and the remaining 900U earns 18U, for a total of 38U. That works out to an overall rate of 3.

XAUUSD 10.28 Asian-European session outlook$XAUUSD
Last night's interest rate decision had limited impact, so gold is still expected to remain range-bound near the bottom. The current range is 4024-4080.
Support: around 4024 (1h), 3980-3990 (1h, 4h), 3943-3963 (1 day)
Resistance: 4066-4080 (2h, 4h), 4104-4111 (4h), 4124-4142 (1 day)

Big names have stumbled this year: Buffett and Duan Yongping $GOOG

$PEPE The final big move is here—Sun seems to have the inside scoop after all, with PEPE surging 14% yesterday.
Today, PEPE’s price climbed back above $0.000005, up more than 14% in 24 hours. On-chain data revealed that addresses linked to Justin Sun quietly started buying the dip in mid-October, at a purchase cost of just $0.000004115. His unrealized gains have now reached $9.62 million, and his holdings account for 2.86% of PEPE’s total supply, putting him among the largest individual holders on-chain.
There’s even more room for speculation: the first PEPE spot ETF has also made progress. U

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$BTC A massive crash is coming—you’ll be grateful for this profit later. Stop loss: $82200. Take profit: $80000 - 78000. Short now $BTC 👇

The match we've been looking forward to most
G2 is exposed, Guma risks it all
Fight with no regrets 👋😭👋
@Polymarket

#谷歌财报能否守住基本盘 🚨 Google and Microsoft release earnings on the same night! AI is raking in huge profits, but Wall Street is starting to lose faith!
This round of earnings reports from tech giants also offers a warning to the crypto world.
Google's third-quarter revenue was $127.6 billion, up 25% year over year, while Google Cloud surged 103%, more than doubling!
Microsoft also posted strong results, with quarterly revenue of $92.3 billion, up 19% year over year, and Azure cloud business growth of 48%.
Taken together, these two companies show that AI demand has not cooled at all: businesses are s

What Is Expected Shortfall (ES)? Why Can It Capture Tail Risk That VaR Misses?
In crypto markets, risk is not only about how much an account might lose, but also how large those losses could become when extreme market conditions occur. Value at Risk (VaR) can estimate a loss threshold, but it cannot directly indicate the average loss beyond that threshold. This is where Expected Shortfall (ES) is valuable.
First, what is ES?
ES measures the average level of tail losses when losses exceed a specified VaR threshold. For example, at the same time horizon and 95% confidence level, ES focuses on th

#The Fed decision is in and markets have steadied, but don’t think you can relax! Two major bombs are still ahead

The Fed’s rate decision came through last night, and markets are temporarily stable.
But the risks haven’t disappeared:
✅November 3 U.S. midterm elections
✅Trump said he does not rule out another military strike against Iran

Election results or conflict in the Middle East—either one heating up could quickly roil the crypto market.

👉Do you think a black swan event is likely next?
Likely: 1; short-term stability: 2
#美联储议息会议将至 #每周来晒 #中期选举 #币圈宏观 $BTC ‌

Crypto News | Datavault AI shares plunge 50% after disclosing it cannot withdraw Bitcoin from exchange Biconomy, forced to restate $92 million in financial data
The most noteworthy thing isn’t that Datavault AI’s stock was cut in half in a single day, but that it exposed one of crypto’s most uncomfortable wounds: does Bitcoin “booked off-chain” on an exchange really belong to you?😂
Shares plunged nearly 50% in a single day, with trading volume surging to 244 million shares, and closed at $0.067. The brutal crash was triggered by the company’s own disclosure that it has been unable to withdraw

$SOL 's direction looks clear, but volume has yet to weigh in
The price of 102.33 USDT feels like a piece of paper folded over and over. $SOL moved from 100.46 to 103.85 in 24 hours, and behind the +1.05% gain lies a subtler signal: both the 1-hour and 4-hour charts show strength, but trading participation is only 0.04x. This divergence between price and volume often tests judgment more than a straightforward rise or fall.
Price-volume dynamics are the first filter for observing the market. As price moves, volume should provide corresponding confirmation. $SOL's current trading participation of

What Is Walk-Forward Backtesting? Why Might a Fixed Period of Historical Data Fail to Adapt to a Changing Crypto Market?
In the cryptocurrency market, a strategy may perform well during an uptrend over the past two years, yet incur frequent losses during the choppy market that follows.
This does not necessarily mean the strategy has no value at all; the market environment may have changed. If a trading strategy is developed and tested using only a fixed period of historical data, it may not fully reflect how well it can adapt to different stages.
One method worth learning about is Walk-Forward

If you've come across this, it's fate. Absolutely do not copy trade. I lost money during that period and still had to share the profits with the lead trader

Wang Sicong visits the Musée d’Orsay with his 29-year-old girlfriend, who is very thin, has dyed blonde hair, and looks like a rebellious young woman.