There's a slight bearish divergence in oil I hope it plays out

I can eat bare-bones meals and drink water from a big bottle, but you can’t. You can’t follow me into hardship or suffer with me. We’ll share the good times, but if trouble comes, I’ll set you free.#晒出我的持仓收益 $ETH $XAUUSD ‌

Stop treating “buy the dip whenever it falls” as a rule. Look at $LDO : current price 0.3305, down 6.67% in 24h, MA5 has crossed below MA20, and RSI is only 32.8. The trend is clearly weak, but the MACD histogram has turned positive, while the funding rate is -0.0104%, so crowded shorts could trigger a rebound. Plan: wait for a pullback to around the lower Bollinger Band at 0.3285 and cautiously enter a long position; take-profit 1 at 0.3342 (MA20), take-profit 2 at 0.3399 (upper Bollinger Band), and stop loss below 0.3260. Also watch $OG and $UNI , both of which are relatively stronger than LDO

Tonight at 02:00, four outcomes, one table to match them.
A (45%): Hike 25bp, median at 4.00%, with 1–2 dissenting votes. 10-year yield retreats to 4.85–4.90%, S&P 7,650–7,700, gold 4,400, BTC 77,000–78,000.
B (40%): Hike 25bp, median above 4.00%, unanimous decision. 10-year yield holds above 5%, S&P 7,500–7,450, gold pulls back to 4,278, BTC breaks below 75,000, targeting 72,000–73,000.
C (8%): No hike, violent short squeeze first, with the bond market potentially selling off in reverse.
D (<5%): Hike 50bp, with everything falling in the same direction.
92.5% already priced in: The threshold

On the night of the rate decision, check the operating guide in advance!
Let’s discuss tonight’s strategy. First, we need to look at everything in conjunction: treat ZEC as the vanguard and trend indicator, while BTC and ETH are the main forces. Since this is a strategy, we need to make bold predictions. I’m sharing my personal view, not to persuade any opposing traders, but for reference only. My subjective view is to continue shorting at high levels, because the recent correction has not released the trapped positions or achieved deep cleanup; in other words, the short-term trapped positions

9.16 Gold Midnight Review

U.S. retail data came in significantly above expectations in the evening, sending gold prices up to the 4360 resistance level. The evening review had predicted that the resistance zone would hold, and the price action fully matched expectations. Gold is currently around 4347.

Technical analysis: The 1-hour Bollinger Bands remain open to the upside, with gold prices trading near the upper band; the 30-minute Bollinger Bands are trending upward, but the price came under pressure after touching the upper band. Although short-term bulls still have the upper hand, sell

Smart ring maker Oura filed an S-1 to pursue a Nasdaq IPO, with a potential valuation of $16 billion.
It disclosed revenue of $1.21 billion, up 74%. At a time when tech company valuations are broadly being questioned, these figures have put the “hardware + subscription” story back on the table.
The market sentiment is worth comparing: on one side, crypto assets are waiting on the Federal Reserve; on the other, a physical consumer goods company is taking high growth to the public markets to seek a valuation. Risk appetite has not disappeared—it has simply found a different outlet.
Click the Gat

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① Sign up 👉 https://www.gate.com/campaigns/6244
② Post with #ShareWeekly and #WhereToParkStablecoinsWhileWaiting
③ Share your market view to win rewards!
💬 This Week’s Hot Topic
Bull or bear market—which way next? Not sure what to post? Share your asset allocation strategy: How do you manage your stablecoins when the market direction is unclear?
💡 Discussion
1️⃣ Hold and wait, or buy the dip gradually?
2️⃣ How do you put idle stablecoins to work?
3️⃣ If the market turns bullish, how would you adjust your position

$BNB is trying to recover after buyers defended the $704.4 support.
On the 1H chart, price is stabilizing near $710.8. A reclaim of the moving-average zone could trigger the next move higher.
My bullish setup:
• Key support: $704.4
• Confirmation zone: $711.7–$714.5
• First target: $721.1
• Next target: $725.3
• Major target: $727.3
If $BNB breaks and holds above $714.5, momentum could build toward $721 and then $725.
The bullish setup becomes invalid if price loses $704.4.
$BNB #BNBChain #CryptoTrading #Altcoins

#FedAnnounceRateDecisionSoon
The Fed hike itself may not be the biggest market event tonight. What matters more is what comes after the 25 bps decision.
My current market view is that the Fed is more likely to raise rates by 25 basis points, taking the policy range from 3.50%–3.75% to 3.75%–4.00%. The reason I’m leaning this way is simple: markets are already pricing a very high probability of a hike, while oil prices have created another inflation risk that the Fed cannot completely ignore.
But this is where it gets interesting.
August core CPI came in at 0.3% month over month and 2.4% year

$ARGUS what’s happening 💀

$ZEC ‌Short limit orders at 1665–1879
Low leverage, no stop-loss; leave it to fate—when fate arrives, instant profits starting at 30%
No more subscription orders, bros—safety first$ETH ‌

GLOBAL BOND YIELDS ARE SURGING!
🇺🇸 U.S. 10Y → 5%
🇺🇸 U.S. 30Y → 5.4%
🇯🇵 Japan 10Y → 3%
🇬🇧 UK 10Y → 5.4%
🇫🇷 France 10Y → 4.5%
🇩🇪 Germany 10Y → 3.5%
Higher yields = higher borrowing costs, more pressure on stocks, crypto & housing.
Markets are going to feel it; let's see how $BTC handles this!

$GT is consolidating around $9.08 after buyers defended the $8.96 low.
On the 1H chart, price is trying to stabilize, but the MA30 near $9.11 is still acting as resistance.
My levels:
• Support: $9.02 and $8.96
• First resistance: $9.11
• Breakout level: $9.18
• Next target: $9.30
I’m watching for a clean hourly close above $9.11. Until then, this remains a range, so confirmation matters more than guessing.
A loss of $8.96 would weaken the setup.
$GT #GateToken #CryptoTrading #Altcoins

WE’RE BREAKING THE FAST 🧩
Today, there is a Memecoin Launch on the #solana network at 21:00 Türkiye time.
We had made 17x on $pythia ; I posted it here from a $6k mc, and it had reached a $100k mc.
At 18:00 UTC.
Hold SOL in your Phantom wallet.
I’m going into this.
A project whose story has been combined with a stock. 🐻‍❄️

🔴 $BTC SHORT
Bitcoin is trading around $75.9K after breaking below the $76K area. Short-term structure remains weak while $76.3K–$77.5K acts as resistance, with support near $74.8K and $72K.
Entry: $76.3K–$77.2K
TP1: $74.8K
TP2: $73.5K
TP3: $72.0K
SL: $78.2K
I’d wait for rejection in the entry zone. A clean reclaim above $78.2K would weaken the bearish setup.
#BTC #Bitcoin #Trading
$BTC ‌

Polymarket Signals a 25bps Fed Hike
Polymarket traders are pricing in roughly an 88% chance of a 25bps rate hike at the upcoming Fed decision.
That expectation puts monetary policy back in focus, with markets watching closely for how the Fed balances inflation, growth, and financial conditions.
Will the Fed deliver the expected 25bps move? 👀
#GateTrenchesExclusive0GasTrading#

FIDSON
One news for the Bulls: don't lose the N74/share, or the next point is N61.2/share, which will be below N45.85/share.
Again, do not lose N74/share.
#NFA