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Gate Research: Over the past two weeks, the crypto market has transitioned from a post-deleveraging compression phase into a low-crowding recovery phase. BTC posted a range gain of approximately 2.2%, while ETH rose about 9.5%; measured from local lows to highs, their recovery magnitudes reached roughly 15.8% and 24.9%, respectively. This report analyzes recent market dynamics in BTC and ETH by examining price volatility, account long/short ratios, open interest, ETF net inflows, funding rates, and liquidation structures. It also reviews live trading signals, parameter sensitivity, and strategy performance over the past two weeks using a 4-hour dense moving average breakout strategy, highlighting that the market has gradually shifted from a defensive recovery phase to a trend-following trading environment.

Gate Research: Large language models and AI agent technologies are pushing trading systems into a new stage of development. Quantitative trading, which previously relied heavily on programming skills and complex engineering systems, is gradually evolving into product forms with much lower barriers to entry. Gate has introduced products such as AI Quant Workspace and Gate for AI, which aim to integrate strategy generation, backtesting, and automated execution within a single platform through natural language interaction, no-code quant tools, and unified trading interfaces, allowing more users to participate in strategy trading. As AI technology continues to mature, trading platforms are also evolving from traditional matching tools into AI-driven trading infrastructure.

Over the past 24 hours, BTC rebounded to around $74,672.2 before pulling back and repeatedly testing support near $71,000. ETH rose to around $2,350 but then weakened, dropping to $2,150 and entering consolidation. ETN, ENJ, and SIREN surged 33%, 25%, and 19% respectively, driven by expectations around EVM compatibility, gaming/metaverse momentum, and options demand, with trading volumes expanding in tandem. The Bank of Japan held rates steady as expected, signaling a “gradual” approach to tightening based on economic and inflation conditions. Polymarket will launch a “Situation Room” bar in Washington, D.C. focused on real-time event monitoring. Meanwhile, Nasdaq has received approval from SEC to enable trading of tokenized securities.

Over the past week, global markets have been primarily driven by energy shocks and geopolitical risks. WTI crude rose more than 4%, with higher oil prices reinforcing inflation expectations and further constraining the scope for rate cuts. The Dollar Index moved back above 100, while Treasury yields climbed in tandem. Risk assets broadly came under pressure, yet the crypto market showed notable resilience. Consecutive net inflows into BTC ETFs indicate continued institutional accumulation during the pullback. On-chain, stablecoin supply continued to expand, with liquidity increasingly concentrated in leading protocols. Lending and LST sectors also rebounded, reflecting a marginal recovery in risk appetite. In derivatives markets, funding rates remained largely negative while implied volatility declined, suggesting market sentiment is gradually recovering from extreme caution. Looking ahead, markets will focus on the upcoming Fed rate decision and policy signals from major central banks

Global macro conditions remain highly uncertain. Escalating tensions in the Middle East continue to raise concerns over oil supply, keeping crude prices elevated at around $90–$100 per barrel. At the same time, shifting expectations around the Fed’s rate path remain a key driver of market sentiment.

Gate Research Institute Daily Report: March 17—The crypto market continued its rebound, with BTC holding at elevated levels and ETH demonstrating even stronger momentum. Funds are shifting from single defensive allocations to more dynamic assets among mainstream tokens. Overall market sentiment improved further from yesterday, although fear indicators remain in the fear zone. Leading the gains among popular tokens with market caps above $10 million, FET, APT, and DRIFT represent three key sectors: AI-powered networks, public chain infrastructure, and on-chain derivatives. Industry growth is primarily focused on three fronts: digital asset partnerships among Korean financial institutions, the development of tokenized securities and stablecoin platforms, and rising expectations for stablecoin licensing in Hong Kong. Regional market attention is increasingly turning toward regulated stablecoins, tokenized securities, and institutional-grade infrastructure implementation.

On March 16, the crypto market showed a recovery trend. BTC reclaimed levels above $72,000, ETH's gains further expanded, and market funds were heavily concentrated in mainstream assets. Mid- and small-cap tokens mostly exhibited structural rotation. DKA, G, and NOS ranked as the top three gainers among assets with market caps exceeding $10 million, corresponding to the logistics data network, cross-chain infrastructure, and decentralized computing power sectors, respectively. At the same time, controversies over stablecoin taxation in Latin America, advancements in tokenized stock trading frameworks, and shifting regulatory expectations for payment-oriented stablecoins are driving the industry's focus to gradually shift from price speculation toward deeper financial infrastructure such as payments, settlement, and on-chain securities.Gate Research:

Gate Research Daily Report: On March 16, the crypto market showed a rebound and recovery, with both BTC and ETH moving higher. However, capital continues to concentrate primarily in major assets, while opportunities among altcoins are mainly reflected through structural rotation. Among trending tokens, DKA (+43.34%), G (+30.98%), and NOS (+25.81%) ranked as the top three gainers among assets with circulating market capitalizations above $10 million. At the industry level, the tax dispute over stablecoins in Brazil is intensifying, tokenized stock distribution is accelerating, and the regulatory treatment of payment stablecoins under net capital rules is showing signs of easing. Overall, the sector’s main trajectory continues to shift toward payment compliance, on-chain securities, and institutional-grade financial infrastructure.

In February, BTC declined by approximately 15.5%, while ETH also corrected in tandem. The Crypto Fear & Greed Index fell into the Extreme Fear zone, reflecting a significant rise in market risk-off sentiment. Despite the volatile market environment, the fund portfolio maintained relatively stable overall performance, though short-term returns showed some divergence. Among the strategies, Stellar Core Smart-Invest (USDT) delivered the highest one-year return of 9.5%. Meanwhile, Interstellar Hedge (USDT) and Orbital Arbitrage (USDT) recorded cumulative returns of 18.0% and 17.2%, respectively. Notably, Interstellar Hedge (USDT) achieved positive returns in all 20 cycles during the observation period, resulting in a 100% win rate. Gravity Hedge (USDT) also performed strongly, with a 95% overall win rate.

The pricing of Chinese meme coins is not grounded in expectations of future cash flows or technological progress, but is jointly shaped by structural changes in narrative transmission efficiency, the intensity of emotional consensus, and the density of attention. From the perspective of narrative economics, meme coins are not an exception marked by the collapse of value, but rather an extreme manifestation of “consensus preceding value”: price no longer serves as a shadow of intrinsic value, but as a metric of whether a narrative continues to be believed. Chinese meme coins are therefore not merely financial assets, but also vehicles for social sentiment and identity formation, with trading behavior simultaneously encompassing risk-based speculation, emotional compensation, and group belonging. In recent years, as attention has become an increasingly scarce resource, price has effectively become a quantitative expression of attention density.

Gate Research Daily Report: On March 13, BTC reclaimed the $71,000 level, ETH climbed above $2,120, and GT continued to consolidate above $7.00. UAI and TURBO led the gainers. Meanwhile, Trump is set to hold another Mar-a-Lago lunch for token holders, while Royaltiz launched its first fully on-chain talent asset, highlighting growing attention on event-driven narratives and emerging tokenization models.

Gate Research Daily Report: On March 13, BTC reclaimed the $71,000 level, ETH climbed above $2,120, and GT continued to consolidate above $7.00. UAI and TURBO led the gainers. Meanwhile, Trump is set to hold another Mar-a-Lago lunch for token holders, while Royaltiz launched its first fully on-chain talent asset, highlighting growing attention on event-driven narratives and emerging tokenization models.