VIP Weekly Industry Report

Gate Research: BTC established strong support around the $80,000 level before breaking above $82,000 on strong volume. ETH showed higher volatility, while whale accumulation and short covering helped drive a gradual price recovery. Among top gainers, VVV, TON, and JUP led the market with gains of 74.31%, 65.54%, and 43.50%, respectively. Cross-chain capital flows showed a clear “Ethereum-centric” trend. Ethereum recorded more than $2.6 billion in net inflows, while Arbitrum also posted approximately $350 million in net inflows. Meanwhile, Uniswap v4 Hooks expanded rapidly, with mechanisms such as dynamic fees and JIT liquidity beginning to reshape value capture and liquidity competition across DEXs, further strengthening Ethereum’s position as on-chain financial infrastructure.

BTC briefly attempted to break the key psychological level of $75,000 but later pulled back under pressure from tightening macro liquidity expectations. ETH underperformed BTC in this rebound. Assets such as DeXe and edgeX led the market, rising by over 51% and 45% respectively. Gate announced that subscriptions for its first Pre-IPOs project, SpaceX (SPCX), will soon open. Following the KelpDAO rsETH hack, the Ethereum-centered DeFi ecosystem experienced significant capital outflows, with a net outflow of approximately $411 million over 7 days, extending to chains such as Arbitrum. The incident, rooted in a cross-chain bridge vulnerability, resulted in an estimated $292 million loss in assets. This hit Aave's liquidity and lending structures particularly hard, triggering a rapid decline in TVL.

Bitcoin has formed a broad consolidation base and rebounded strongly, with the $68,000–$69,000 range acting as a solid near-term support zone. Ethereum has shown slightly greater resilience and signs of relative independence. Cross-chain capital flows have taken on a clear one-way pattern, with funds rotating out of holding-oriented ecosystems such as Arbitrum and Ethereum into trading- and event-driven venues represented by Hyperliquid and Polygon PoS. This shift points to a broader transition from a positioning-driven market to a more trading-driven, high-frequency environment. After introducing fees, Polymarket posts strong profits, with weekly fees surpassing $10 million for the first time. Its business model is shifting from event-driven revenue to a more stable, transaction fee–driven model.

Gate Research: On the 4-hour timeframe, both BTC and ETH showed a similar pattern—rallying early in the week, pulling back thereafter, and retesting lows over the weekend. Among altcoins, MemeCore stood out, gaining about 27.55% over the past seven days, making it the best-performing major token during the period. Over the past week, cross-chain capital flows gravitated toward a few key ecosystems. Driven by volatility in commodities such as crude oil, Hyperliquid and Polygon PoS emerged as the primary destinations for inflows, while Arbitrum and Ethereum accounted for the bulk of outflows. Ondo is driving the evolution of RWAs from yield-oriented, hold-to-maturity assets toward more actively traded instruments. Trading activity in on-chain equities and ETFs has picked up, reshaping the valuation framework for this sector.

Global macro conditions remain highly uncertain. Escalating tensions in the Middle East continue to raise concerns over oil supply, keeping crude prices elevated at around $90–$100 per barrel. At the same time, shifting expectations around the Fed’s rate path remain a key driver of market sentiment.

Over the past week, BTC experienced a sharp pullback on the 4-hour timeframe before gradually entering a low-level consolidation phase. ETH has underperformed BTC during the same period and remains in a downside structure. NEAR has gained approximately 39.62%, making it the top performer in this cycle. Arbitrum recorded a single-sided net outflow of about $235 million, with capital primarily reallocating to Base and other ecosystems. Amid geopolitical tensions, some capital has rotated into safe-haven assets, while other funds have shifted toward on-chain macro trading and hedging strategies—reflecting portfolio rebalancing rather than a broad-based sell-off. Meanwhile, increased activity on Polymarket has driven higher Polygon fee revenue, highlighting how real-world events are accelerating the conversion of macro narratives into on-chain cash flow.

On Feb. 9, the crypto market entered a choppy recovery phase after a deleveraging shock, with flows showing a clear structural split: capital crowding into BTC while major altcoins remain under pressure. Sentiment is deeply risk-off, with the Fear & Greed Index at just 14 (Extreme Fear). High-beta opportunities are concentrated in event-driven AI Agent and meme trades, led by BNKR, PIPPIN, and PENGUIN. On the macro and industry front, Vitalik argued that algorithmic stablecoins represent “true DeFi”; Cathie Wood said gold strength has often preceded Bitcoin’s cyclical breakouts and reiterated her “big three” thesis on BTC, ETH, and SOL; and Tether is accelerating global, diversified investments while strengthening governance and expanding hiring—signaling a faster shift from a stablecoin issuer toward a broader conglomerate model.

Over the past week, BTC's trend has shifted from a consolidation phase to a bearish-dominated structure. ETH has underperformed BTC, forming a pattern of accelerated downside followed by sideways consolidation at lower levels. This indicates cautious bottom-fishing capital, with limited appetite for chasing rallies. STABLE has gained approximately 32.56% over the past seven days, making it the standout performer.

Last week, BTC showed a weak consolidation pattern after a failed rebound on the 4-hour chart. The market saw a volume-driven decline followed by a low-volume rebound, indicating that the current bounce is more of a technical correction rather than a trend reversal. ETH's price action mirrors BTC's, but it is noticeably weaker. The structure remains a weak rebound within a bearish trend. On-chain capital flows are showing clear signs of defensive rebalancing. Ethereum net inflows have approached $350 million. Hyperliquid and StarkNet saw net outflows of over $200 million and $167 million, respectively. In the prediction market, industry competition is being reshaped by a "points + zero-fee" strategy.

Last week, BTC moved into a high-level consolidation phase after the previous sharp rally, but the market structure has not flipped bearish. ETH showed greater resilience than BTC, holding up better during pullbacks. On-chain flows clearly reflect a "trading-scenario-first" trend. Capital is rotating out of low-velocity, general settlement layers and into networks with higher trading efficiency and stronger support for active strategies. Perp DEXs and prediction markets have become the main liquidity magnets in this cycle. Both Hyperliquid and Polygon PoS recorded net inflows of over $100 million. Meme activity across the Solana ecosystem is also picking up again. Bags App has risen quickly on the back of its "donation-driven" mechanic, amplifying FOMO and viral growth dynamics.

Gate Research: BTC has stabilized again on the 4-hour timeframe, with a clear upside structure in place. Overall price action points to a mild and orderly recovery. ETH's catch-up move is gradually taking shape, with a noticeably steeper trend slope than BTC. Supported by returning capital inflows, its upside pace has continued to accelerate. Capital flows across public blockchains are showing clear divergence. More conservative, allocation-oriented capital is rotating back into core settlement layers, led by Ethereum. Base, as a user onboarding and asset distribution layer, is also seeing sustained net inflows. Polymarket Builders trading volume has reached a new all-time high, further strengthening the head effect. The increase in trading activity is mainly concentrated in a small number of mature tools, including betmoar.

BTC consolidated between $87,000 and $90,500 and gradually stabilized, but upward momentum remains limited. ETH continued its low-level recovery, slowly climbing after finding solid support around $2,900. CC surged 43.84% over the past week, standing out as the top performer. Ethereum led net inflows with nearly $200 million. This trend largely reflects defensive capital reallocation during a contraction phase. Transaction volumes on crypto payment cards continue to expand, and stablecoin payment use cases are accelerating, emerging as one of the few areas that maintain growth certainty in a cautious market environment.