Before the U.S. stock market opens tonight, the most important number to watch is not how much S&P futures are up, but the Brent crude–WTI spread.
Over the past seven trading days, this spread had remained stable between $5.61 and $7.33. Today, it narrowed to $2.51, contracting 57%. WTI rose 4.94% on the day, while Brent rose only 1.10%—the former gained four and a half times as much as the latter.
Direction determines the nature of the move. If this oil price surge were driven by Middle East geopolitical risk, Brent, as the global seaborne benchmark, would lead the gains, and the spread shoul

5-minute trial, lost 2.78 U—the lesson was no less valuable than with a large trade
Continuing to share my trades, this time a small 5-minute BTC bullish position, an old trade dug out from a screenshot.
The period was very short, 07-31 01:45-01:50. I bought just 5.60 contracts, with a cost of 2.78 USDT and an opening average price of 0.49. It also ended up at zero, resulting in a 100% loss.
The amount was small, but the lesson was deep. A 5-minute period is basically just noise. At the time, I simply had itchy fingers: I saw the one-minute chart pull up a bullish candle and chased in, only fo

Bitcoin at a confluence of resistances: The most important indicator for a trend change
For some time now, I have included one of the best Moving Averages for Bitcoin in ParadigmShift.
There have been over 12 months of backtesting and live analysis in the weekly calls, and so far it has been as precise as a Swiss watch, alongside Ichimoku, explained in detail in today’s edition of the ParadigmShift Weekly Newsletter:

#BTC - FIB CIRCLES ARE TELLING A DIFFERENT STORY $365K:🌀
💡Not many people use Fib Circles in macro TA.
💡Unlike traditional Fibonacci retracements, which mainly measure price, Fib Circles attempt to combine PRICE + TIME.
💡That makes them particularly interesting on a monthly bitcoin:native chart, where we are studying entire cycles rather than short-term moves.
Look at the structure 👇
👉In 2013–2014, bitcoin:native pushed into the 1.414–1.618 Fib Circle region during the late phase of the cycle before eventually transitioning into the macro top/bear-market structure.
👉Now look at where we

Good afternoon, recap
Sold spot yesterday and withdrew 4k
Now just shorting Nvidia
Keep it up, things will definitely get better

Hello everyone!👋
The market is down today, with most altcoins in the red.
#BTC is currently trading around $77,900.
#ETH around $2430.
⭕Fear/Greed Index: 62 - greed
A few news items:
• Elon Musk: AI + robots will solve the national debt problem.
• CoinGecko: The crypto industry has lost $3.63 billion since 2025 — 60% of hacked projects had successfully passed audits.
• Solana ETF record — Inflows reached $138 million in 10 days, while Bitwise's BSOL fund was the first to surpass $1 billion in AUM.
• The U.S. Treasury announced the weekly imposition of secondary sanctions on banks for ties

XAUT/USDT Technical Analysis: Is Tether Gold Consolidating or Preparing for Another Breakdown?
Tether Gold (XAUT/USDT Perpetual) is currently trading around $4,435.6 after experiencing a swift correction from recent swing highs. Here is a multi-timeframe breakdown of the technical indicators to help guide your trading strategy.
Multi-Timeframe Breakdown
1-Hour Chart (Short-Term Focus):
Price Action: After dropping to a local low of $4,387.8, XAUT recovered slightly and is consolidating around $4,434.8.
Parabolic SAR: The SAR dots remain above the price action at $4,407.2, indicating short-term

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Provided the range for buying on a pullback, and the market rebounded and rose as expected.
The target levels were reached smoothly, and the market trend completely matched the prediction.
#美军袭击伊朗BTC下挫 $BTC

Everyone, today is day 18 of earning living expenses with 30U, and my total assets are currently 31.4U
Today, I worked on $ETH and earned 1U, so that counts
I’ll keep it up and continue working hard tomorrow

I was just about to curse it out, but then I checked my account. Never mind—let it pump however it wants; I’ll shut up.
When the dump started in the early session, buying support was insufficient, and every push upward fell just short. This kind of pattern won’t go far. Opened a short at 0.33936, now at 0.17001, +980.37%—feels really good.
Lock in 80% of the juicy gains, and move the stop-loss on the remaining 20% closer to the entry price. Hold it steadily. Panic comes from having no plan; losses come from overthinking. Staying out of the market isn’t a sin—opening random positions is the mis

#Bitcoin faces renewed pressure as Gulf conflict pushes oil above $90, reviving inflation fears and raising expectations of a September Fed rate hike.
Higher oil, elevated bond yields and tighter policy expectations drain liquidity from risk assets. Markets now price roughly a 58% probability of a September increase.
Russia’s new crypto framework and plans to permit #BTC, #ETH and #USDT as collateral is structurally significant.
But for near-term prices, #oil,#inflation and the #Fed matter more imo

“Niulai” has not only not been removed; its screening date has been postponed to the National Day holiday period.

This move is so obvious I don’t even need to think—the account is dancing on its own. A few nights ago, I glanced at $SKYAI before bed. The rebound stalled at 0.07390, a typical weak rebound, with the price-volume divergence written all over it. I casually placed a short order, treating it as a little bedtime assignment. 😎

I woke up completely stunned: 0.05987, with +465.21% credited. It felt amazing. This wave was purely the market being in a good mood and casually scattering some gold coins, which just happened to land on my head. Money earned is the monetization of your understanding; mo

$COMP
UPDATE
#COMP has completed the retesting period. In this move we can see 40%+ gain here ✍🏻
#COMPUSDT #COMPBTC #BTC #Bitcoin #NFTs

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This month’s return was 68%, which is acceptable.
Looking back at this month’s trades, the entry points for many positions were excellent, but the exits were terrible! This is probably one of my weaknesses!
Starting in September, we will focus on improving our exit points and position allocation, which should significantly boost our returns!
Looking forward to achieving even more impressive results in September! Let’s work hard together! ✊

My thoughts on bitcoin:native are that I'm generally waiting for a smol pullback before sizing into new swing longs
4H close above 78.7k though and i'd start to aggressively look for pullbacks to size in
Until then I'm a little bit defensive on adding big size on longs