35.4% of all #BTC (7.12M) has a visible public key, the part a future quantum computer could target.
25.8% of supply is exposed due to address reuse, 11.6% on exchanges. Moving those coins to a fresh address ends this exposure.
Charts now live in Studio:

Damn, the probability of a December rate hike has reached 96%, and Bitcoin has already hit a new low of 73,500
U.S. October CPI came in well above expectations across the board, completely crushing hopes for a Fed rate cut! 📉
Market forecasts have laid their cards on the table: the probability of a 25-basis-point rate hike in December has surged to 86%, and adding the 10% probability of a 50-basis-point hike, a December rate hike is virtually a certainty (as high as 96%)!
Liquidity is tightening across the board, and high interest rates are directly puncturing risk assets. U.S. stocks plunged

$SOXLB Currently at 55.18, up 9.81% over 24H. The 1H trend is somewhat strong, with EMA20 at 54.27, RSI at 48, support at 51.01, and resistance at 57.76. The 4H trend is also somewhat strong, with EMA20 at 51.50, RSI at 64, support at 41.32, and resistance at 57.76. Volume is 3.95x the average. The key focus going forward is whether it can hold above 57.76; if it breaks below 51.01 and fails to reclaim it, the bullish structure will be invalidated. Continue monitoring. Markets are volatile; for observation only.

Two hours ago, I shared a market-price short opportunity, now up 180%. Remember to reduce your position! The market broke below daily support as expected, and short opportunities have been flagged repeatedly #美国10月CPI即将公布

📊 $INIT [ Bullish ]
Weekly support at $0.20–$0.25 reclaimed. The 1D 200 EMA has also been retested.
If this range holds, $0.60–$0.80+ could be next. 📈
#INIT #Initia #Crypto #Alts

$ZEC Currently trading at 1141.07, down 6.31% over 24H, with the price having drifted near the previous low. The 1H and 4H structures are both weak, with the price continuing to trade below EMA20 (1162/1208). RSI is 32.8 and 26, respectively—oversold, but that does not mean the decline has bottomed. If the price can hold above the resistance level at 1235.64, we can assess the strength of a recovery; if it breaks below the support level at 1132.26, weakness will persist. In the next review, the key point is whether the price can promptly reclaim 1132.26 after losing it. If it cannot, the expec

The bearish drop already played out earlier today. Don’t chase shorts now, don’t chase shorts now, don’t chase shorts now. 73,700 straight up $BTC

SoftBank lost 1.1 trillion yen in a single quarter, after earning 2.5 trillion yen in the same period last year. Is that swing dramatic enough?
Revenue is still growing, up 16% year over year, from 1.9 trillion yen to 2.2 trillion yen.
But volatility in its investment portfolio hammered profits. Once swings in the valuation of its AI holdings are amplified, the financial statements look this ugly.
Names like OpenAI and Arm sound like the future, but the future can bleed in quarterly reports.
Concerns about AI investments weighed on the quarter’s results. Put simply, everyone is starting to rep

The power of CPI!
October CPI: +0.4%, versus +0.3% expected.
Core CPI: +0.3%, versus +0.2% expected.
The probability of a rate hike in December rose to 87%.

Yesterday I just told someone to short the pump, and sure enough, it only bounced to 75,500 before weakening 🤣
It bounced from 73,510 but couldn't even touch 76,000, then got pushed back to 74,200. ETFs saw another $200 million in outflows yesterday, marking three straight days.
My hands are itching to short right now, but CPI is tonight at 21:30. I’ll hold off until the data comes out.....

11.10BTC
CPI is bearish, so all I can do with this position is open a hedge to push up the liquidation price.
This time, after the CPI came out, there was no second leg down. It wicked down and then rebounded sharply.
I think a December rate hike has basically been priced in; the only question is whether it’ll be 25 or 50 basis points.
A rate hike is pretty much inevitable, but you can also buy the dip now—it’s already priced in.
Just one slightly positive catalyst should be enough to push it up. Just be prepared for a drop.

US CPI came in at 0.4% vs 0.3% expected
US Core CPI came in at 0.3% vs 0.2% expected.
THIS IS NOT GOOD FOR OUR BAGS 🩸

#Anthropic启动纳斯达克IPO路演 For this IPO roadshow, I’m more inclined to see it as the starting point for a repricing. For now, though, it looks more like a cooling of lofty valuations than a completed revaluation.

Why call it the starting point for a repricing?
Valuation has been slashed: A few months ago, people were still talking about $2 trillion; now some investors have pushed it down to $1.1 trillion–$1.3 trillion.
The pricing logic is changing: The market is no longer looking only at revenue growth, but is starting to price in computing bills and earnings stability.
The IPO price has industry

$INIT has bounced strongly from around $0.12 and is now near $0.226 on this 4H chart.

The key test is $0.237–$0.24 resistance. A close above it, followed by a successful retest, could open the way toward $0.26 and $0.30.

My view: buyers have momentum, but I’d wait for confirmation before chasing. If price gets rejected, I’m watching $0.20 as support, followed by $0.18.

#INIT #Crypto #TechnicalAnalysis

Shorted from 75123 to 74400, 722 points, +377%
The market has never rewarded the loudest voices, but those with a framework who stay disciplined and keep pace. I set the direction and provide the entry points; you execute and wait. $BTC

We now have:
1. Goldman Sachs' ~$105B Treasury fund available on Lynq, a private Avalanche chain
2. BlackRock's BUIDL on Avalanche since 2024
3. Franklin Templeton, which manages $1.81T, with its BENJI fund on Avalanche
@avax

#ShareWeekly #AiStocks #WCTCS9

AI Stock Sell-Off: Is History Repeating Itself? Lessons From the Dot-Com Bubble

The recent decline in AI-related stocks has brought back one of the most painful memories in financial market history: the collapse of the dot-com bubble in 2000. Investors who experienced that period remember how quickly optimism surrounding revolutionary technology turned into widespread panic, destroying trillions of dollars in market value and leaving the Nasdaq struggling for years to recover its previous record.

Today, artificial intelligence is at the center of another mass

$13T Charles Schwab adds trading for Solana $SOL , Avalanche $AVAX and Chainlink $LINK