Rodrigomoura

good morning =)

This World Cup should be really fun for prediction markets.
Right now on @Polymarket, Europe is the clear favorite to win the 2026 FIFA World Cup, sitting around 71%.
But I’m looking at the less obvious side of the trade.
South America is currently priced around 23%, and I think there’s room for upside, especially if Brazil and Argentina start strong and make a deep run.
My thesis is simple: if Brazil and Argentina both reach the knockout stage and push into the quarterfinals or beyond, the market could start repricing South America higher.
Europe is the safe consensus.
But the best opportunit

good morning =)

Adding another 1.33 to my wallchain bag.
gQuack

A small slap in the face to the somnia:native community.
After more than a week waiting for an announcement, the result was basically:
- no airdrop date
- almost no real changes from what had already been said before
At this point, there not much left to do besides accepting the harsh reality of airdrops in a bear market.
Wishing luck to everyone who participated. Hopefully the project gets at least a decent pump, so people can recover part of the damage from this season.
Not the announcement the community was expecting, but it is what it is =)

good morning =)

good night =)

Playoff Week 1 on @hibachi_xyz 🔥
The regular season is done. This is the final stretch of the airdrop.
My numbers this week:
Volume: $5,360,397
Fees paid: $1,929.74 (tier 3)
Points earned: 21,275
Cost per point: $0.091
Total so far:
241,694 points
$21,222 spent in fees
Why am I still excited?
Because the asymmetry still looks very interesting.
If Hibachi launches at a $100M FDV, my points could be worth around $92,959. About 4.4x on my fee cost.
Other scenarios:
$50M FDV → $46,479 (2.2x)
$250M FDV → $232,398 (11x)
$500M FDV → $464,796 (22x)
Want to run the numbers on your own stack? Use my ca