demeter0215

Looking at Predict and Polymarket, I get the feeling that the whole Web3 prediction market idea is about to be debunked. Damn, how did you guys turn a casino into this?😭

Every time a new SOTA model comes out, there’s a huge wave of anxiety-inducing hype: this model is the end, that industry is sunset. A month later, everyone’s still using models to build shit apps and write shit code. Another month later, they’re saying it’s gotten dumber and is unusable. Then another new SOTA model appears.

There are very few people who make me stop and listen. I don’t know why, but right now, aside from my family, I can count on two hands the number of people I’m willing to approach and start a conversation with.

I feel like I’ve become a bit socially withdrawn. I can’t talk for long with people I’m not particularly close to. When I’m thinking to myself or chatting with AI, I often get so absorbed that I can’t take in a single word anyone says. I feel like they’re wasting my time, and that what they say is getting more and more stupid. I have no interest at all in hearing about the trivial things happening in their lives.

Galxe is getting ready to say bye to airdrop hunters, too. The end of a grand old era of airdrop farming is drawing ever closer. Whether the new era of AI airdrop farming can usher in a fresh start remains to be seen!

The current state of crypto is the result of how quickly people made money in the past. No one is willing to spend years refining a good product, and no one is willing to wait years for one to launch.

If you’re not part of the inner circle or the industry’s vested-interest groups, I think making a career change has become an extremely urgent personal need. Chinese CT has reached the point where there’s nothing to talk about unless people are tearing into and hurting each other. In the end, it’s simply that the pie is getting smaller, and the various interest groups and factions are nearing the point where they can no longer coexist.

At this point, don’t expect any project to send you an airdrop. Every script I run on any platform now is aimed at making a profit, whether it’s Perp or prediction markets. I start scaling up after testing with a small amount and confirming I’m not losing money.

When prices are rising: Too good for any ads.
When prices are falling: One ad a day.
Inspired by certain KOLs.

Damn, I’ve been grinding away here every day for these 10 or 20 U, losing so much sleep. I opened my A-share and exchange accounts, then passed out—guess that counts as catching up on sleep 🤡

This is killing me, Elon! And CZ even replied with a “shot in the knee” meme. Old Ma, you’ve got plenty of problems of your own now. Have you considered settling down in Shanghai? I’d love to treat you to some xiaolongbao!

So most of the gurus on Twitter have no real skill. They just shout random calls, and if one happens to hit, they become trading gods. When they lose money, all they can do is sleep under a bridge. Not me, though—I started sleeping on the couch last night, and I’ve already found a bench in my complex. Once the A-share market closes today, I’m planning to move my bedding out there and sleep in the complex.

I'd like to see the consecutive market circuit breakers during the pandemic! Thanks!

This door is standard! bitcoin:native Take another look at U.S. stocks! Still a bull market? That’s why you can’t take the KOLs talking shit on Twitter at face value. Yesterday, everyone was buying the dip and going long; today, show us your short positions!

This was so much fun—totally outshining the other parents! I was invited to give a lesson to my daughter’s class today, and I chose an introduction to AI. I made an HTML demo with antigravity, and it was already pretty cool on its own. Then I used grok bot, with my phone and computer working together. Using the voice feature, I talked to the bot on my phone, and the kids could not only chat with Grok in real time, but also see everything displayed on the big screen. We made pictures and played together—it was a total blast.

Claude and Codex are both $20 subscriptions, so no freeloading; Grok is on the Premium plan. They’re all the most basic tiers, but they’re basically enough once you divide up the work.

Claude helps me refine things and create outlines; Codex writes scripts and handles monitoring; Antigravity helps me make lesson materials for my daughter; a Grok bot monitors Twitter and takes care of some other day-to-day stuff. I’m getting ready to set up a DeepSeek harness with a local model to handle work for my organization.

Life really is impossible without all this stuff now. But even though it’s made me more efficient, I’m not any less busy, because the workload naturally keeps growing. It’s fucking ridiculous—the more you can do, the busier you get. A wage slave is always a wage sla

The benefit of communicating with silicon-based life is that there’s no sycophancy or social games—say whatever you want. No deception or fraud in your actions, no orchestrated scams; you stay away from traps others have set. No boot camps, no organized networking events, no rug pulls, and no pile of rotten gossip you never wanted to hear in the first place.

Silicon-based life + arbitrage: any losses come from your own lack of ability or failed strategies. Any gains come from monetizing your own knowledge and market insights.

I started building my position the day before yesterday, but I didn’t buy any semiconductor stocks. Now I’m kicking myself🤡