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1. Current Market Conditions and Short-Term Outlook
Recently, Bitcoin’s price has shown a volatile pullback, once falling to the 11-day low (around $63,400), as it battles the key 50-day simple moving average. The overall market currently sits in a “fear” sentiment range, with wide-ranging fluctuations between $62,000 and $68,000.
2. Core Downside Pressure Factors and Downside Risks
1. Macro liquidity and rate-hike expectations: The Federal Reserve’s policy meeting at the end of July is the key variable in the near term. The market is currently split over whether the Fed will raise rates. If i

Bitcoin (BTC) is currently mired in a “tug-of-war” woven together by macro liquidity and micro fund flows. While the price keeps probing around $65k, neither bulls nor bears have managed to secure a decisive breakout. From the original deep logic, this current consolidation is not only building momentum on the technical side—it also reflects the market digesting a series of structural contradictions.
First, the “Sword of Damocles” at the macro level still hangs overhead. The FOMC monetary policy meeting by the U.S. Federal Reserve scheduled for this week will absolutely dominate near-term pric

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