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MyMyDjan

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KatyPaty
#MetaEarningsBeatExpectations
#TeslaQ3ProfitFalls43%
Both reports are out, and the divergence is clear: Meta grew revenue 26% year over year to $64.6 billion, while Tesla’s GAAP net income fell 43% to $787 million. But the headline numbers alone do not tell the full story.
The detail that matters most to me: Tesla’s automotive gross margin (excluding credits) rose to 18.1%, up 180 basis points quarter over quarter and well above the 16.7% consensus. This is the single most important data point because it shows the core car business is still generating cash to fund the AI and robotics transition. Net income fell sharply, but a large part of that drop is tied to higher R&D spending ($2.76 billion, up 69% year over year) and one-time items. If the margin had missed, the entire investment thesis would be under pressure. It did not.
On the questions:
Which matters most - revenue growth, earnings performance, or forward guidance? For Tesla, I prioritize margin trajectory over headline EPS. The company is deliberately spending heavily on AI, so GAAP earnings will be volatile. What I need to see is whether the automotive segment can sustain profitability while that spending continues. The 18.1% margin suggests it can.
Has my trading plan changed? No. I am not adding to $TSLA based on a single earnings beat. The stock initially rose after hours but reversed to a loss of over 3% as the market digested the lowered 2026 capex guidance ($20 billion versus the prior “over $25 billion” expectation) and the delayed AI timelines. My plan remains to watch the next two quarters for confirmation that the margin recovery holds and that Robotaxi milestones stay on track.
What is your read - is the margin recovery enough to offset the profit decline?
$TSLA ‌$META ‌$SPCX ‌
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META-0.65%
KatyPaty
#USAIAndCryptoStocksRise
#美股AI和加密概念上涨
U.S. tech stocks rallied overnight, with the Nasdaq up about 1.05%. What makes this move notable is that AI chips and crypto-linked names rose together, not in rotation. AMD gained 3.4%, NVDA added 2.5%, MSTR jumped 7.5%, and COIN rose 3.6%.
Why NVDA is my main focus here
Among the four, NVDA is the one I am watching most closely, and not because of the 2.5% move itself.
· Valuation context: NVDA closed at $221.97 with a market cap of $5.36 trillion and a forward P/E of 18.35. For a company that grew revenue 106% year over year last quarter, that multiple is not stretched by AI-leader standards.
· The bar is already high: Q2 FY2027 revenue was $96.22 billion, data center revenue was $89.0 billion (up 117%), and non-GAAP gross margin held at 75.0%. Management guided Q3 to $108.0 billion ±2% with gross margin at 74.0% ±50 bps.
· The real question is guidance, not the beat: NVDA has posted six straight earnings beats, yet the stock has barely moved over the past month. The next report is expected around November 18 . What matters is whether Q4 guidance and the Vera Rubin ramp can exceed what is already priced in.
My read on who leads from here
AI chips are the more durable leader, but not because crypto is irrelevant. The difference is in what drives each group. NVDA's demand is tied to data center buildouts, hyperscaler capex, and enterprise AI adoption — slower-moving, contract-backed spending. MSTR and COIN are more directly levered to Bitcoin sentiment and liquidity conditions, which can reverse faster.
That said, a single session of AI and crypto rising together does not confirm a sustained regime. The rally can continue only if upcoming earnings justify the move. For NVDA, the risk is not a weak quarter — it is a strong quarter with cautious forward guidance, which has been enough to stall the stock before.
What I am watching: NVDA's Q4 revenue guide, gross margin trajectory through memory-cost pressure, and whether the crypto names hold their gains once Bitcoin volatility returns.
Discussion: AMD, NVDA, MSTR, COIN — which one are you watching most closely right now, and is your plan to hold through the November earnings or trade the move?
$NVDA $AMD $MSTR $COIN ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌
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NVDA-0.09%
#Gate 2025 Year-End Community Gala#
Top Streamers & Content Creators Year-End Awards
Who will be the Top Streamers of the Year? Who will claim the top spot on the Content Creator leaderboard? Join me in voting to support your favorite streamers and creators, and witness the rise of community stars!
https://www.gate.com/activities/community-vote-2025?ref=VVDDBW0JBG&refType=2&refUid=40353270&ref_type=165&utm_cmp=xjdtmcgP
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#Gate 2025 Year-End Community Gala#
Top Streamers & Content Creators Year-End Awards
Who will be the Top Streamers of the Year? Who will claim the top spot on the Content Creator leaderboard? Join me in voting to support your favorite streamers and creators, and witness the rise of community stars!
https://www.gate.com/activities/community-vote-2025?ref=VVDDBW0JBG&refType=1&refUid=40353270&ref_type=165&utm_cmp=xjdtmcgP
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